La scuola delle quote

Palmeiras v Botafogo

Inizio: 2026-03-18 22:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Palmeiras (Casa)

Previsione 62.68%1.60quota equa
EV -2.84%
Vantaggio -1.83%
Kelly -5.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.76%62.61%62.79%65.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.471.481.5575.76%67.95%67.34%64.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Botafogo (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.74%6.78quota equa
EV +4.07%
Vantaggio +0.576%
Kelly +0.671%
Crescita +0.027%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.33%14.78%14.69%16.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.306.396.507.0618.87%15.65%15.38%14.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.58%4.43quota equa
EV +1.60%
Vantaggio +0.355%
Kelly +0.456%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.22%22.61%22.52%24.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.504.114.104.5028.57%24.31%24.39%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 63.35%EV -4.10%E -2.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.06I 14.16%NM 13.73%EV +4.07%E +0.576%K +0.671%G +0.027%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.92%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-18 21:55
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.12%EV -4.10%E -2.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.04I 14.20%NM 13.72%EV +3.77%E +0.536%K +0.624%G +0.024%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.16%EV -5.85%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-18 21:50
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.92%EV -7.23%E -4.88%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +3.18%E +0.455%K +0.530%G +0.017%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV +1.60%E +0.355%K +0.456%G +0.007%4.1%2026-03-18 21:40
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.92%EV -7.23%E -4.88%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +3.18%E +0.455%K +0.530%G +0.017%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV +1.60%E +0.355%K +0.456%G +0.007%4.1%2026-03-18 21:40
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.13%EV -5.35%E -3.54%K -10.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.62%EV +3.18%E +0.455%K +0.530%G +0.017%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -7.43%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 21:50
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.13%EV -5.35%E -3.54%K -10.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.62%EV +3.18%E +0.455%K +0.530%G +0.017%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -7.43%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 21:50
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.91%EV -9.11%E -6.28%K -20.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +3.18%E +0.455%K +0.530%G +0.017%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -1.79%E -0.412%K -0.534%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 21:40
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.07%EV -9.74%E -6.76%K -22.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV +3.18%E +0.455%K +0.530%G +0.017%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -1.79%E -0.412%K -0.534%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 21:40
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 65.07%EV -9.74%E -6.76%K -22.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV +3.18%E +0.455%K +0.530%G +0.017%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -1.79%E -0.412%K -0.534%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 21:40
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 65.07%EV -9.74%E -6.76%K -22.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV +3.18%E +0.455%K +0.530%G +0.017%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -1.79%E -0.412%K -0.534%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 21:40
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.07%EV -9.74%E -6.76%K -22.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV +3.18%E +0.455%K +0.530%G +0.017%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -1.79%E -0.412%K -0.534%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 21:40
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 65.07%EV -9.74%E -6.76%K -22.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV +3.18%E +0.455%K +0.530%G +0.017%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -1.79%E -0.412%K -0.534%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 21:40
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 65.23%EV -10.36%E -7.25%K -24.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV +3.18%E +0.455%K +0.530%G +0.017%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -1.79%E -0.412%K -0.534%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.75%EV -10.36%E -7.25%K -24.10%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -0.503%E -0.075%K -0.088%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -2.92%E -0.679%K -0.885%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 21:40
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -10.99%E -7.74%K -26.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -0.503%E -0.075%K -0.088%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -4.05%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-18 21:40
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 64.90%EV -12.24%E -8.75%K -30.61%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -0.503%E -0.075%K -0.088%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -5.18%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-18 21:40
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.23%EV -13.50%E -9.78%K -35.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -0.503%E -0.075%K -0.088%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -5.18%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-18 21:40
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.23%EV -13.50%E -9.78%K -35.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -0.503%E -0.075%K -0.088%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -5.18%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-18 21:40
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.59%EV -4.72%E -3.11%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.20%EV -1.24%E -0.185%K -0.218%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -7.43%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 20:50
GTbets1.49I 67.11%NM 63.19%EV -6.60%E -4.43%K -13.47%G +0.000%6.52I 15.34%NM 14.44%EV -3.89%E -0.597%K -0.705%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.37%EV -4.95%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 21:50
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -5.98%E -3.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -4.19%E -0.644%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -5.18%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -5.98%E -3.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -4.19%E -0.644%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -5.18%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 21:20
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -5.98%E -3.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -4.19%E -0.644%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -5.18%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 21:19
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -5.98%E -3.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -4.19%E -0.644%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -5.18%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 21:20
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -5.98%E -3.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -4.19%E -0.644%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -5.18%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 21:35
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.78%EV -7.23%E -4.88%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.52%EV -4.19%E -0.644%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -1.79%E -0.412%K -0.534%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 21:10
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.48%EV -5.35%E -3.54%K -10.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -4.19%E -0.644%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -7.43%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 21:55
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -7.23%E -4.88%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -4.19%E -0.644%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -2.92%E -0.679%K -0.885%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 20:55
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 62.12%EV -5.35%E -3.54%K -10.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -4.19%E -0.644%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -9.69%E -2.42%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 21:49
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 62.12%EV -5.35%E -3.54%K -10.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -4.19%E -0.644%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -9.69%E -2.42%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 21:50
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -7.23%E -4.88%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -4.19%E -0.644%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -5.18%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 21:39
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -5.98%E -3.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -4.19%E -0.644%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.69%E -2.42%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 21:55
BetUS1.46I 68.49%NM 63.26%EV -8.48%E -5.81%K -18.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -4.19%E -0.644%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -7.43%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-18 21:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -5.98%E -3.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -5.66%E -0.885%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -7.43%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 21:20
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -5.98%E -3.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -5.66%E -0.885%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -7.43%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 21:20
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.92%EV -5.98%E -3.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -7.87%E -1.26%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.69%E -2.42%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-18 21:35
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.92%EV -5.98%E -3.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -7.87%E -1.26%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.69%E -2.42%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-18 21:35
Codere (IT)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -5.98%E -3.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.21%EV -8.61%E -1.39%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -2.92%E -0.679%K -0.885%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-18 21:35
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -5.98%E -3.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV -8.61%E -1.39%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.43%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 21:50
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -9.11%E -6.28%K -20.24%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -8.61%E -1.39%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -5.18%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 20:45
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 62.97%EV -10.36%E -7.25%K -24.10%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.52%EV -8.61%E -1.39%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -9.69%E -2.42%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-18 21:45
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.10%E -2.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -11.56%E -1.93%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -9.69%E -2.42%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 21:35
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.98%E -3.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -11.56%E -1.93%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.43%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-18 21:35
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.67%EV -4.72%E -3.11%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.56%E -1.93%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -13.08%E -3.40%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-18 21:35
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -5.98%E -3.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -11.56%E -1.93%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -14.21%E -3.74%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-18 21:50
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -5.98%E -3.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -11.56%E -1.93%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -14.21%E -3.74%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-18 21:49
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -5.98%E -3.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -11.56%E -1.93%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -14.21%E -3.74%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-18 21:50
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -5.98%E -3.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -11.56%E -1.93%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -14.21%E -3.74%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-18 21:50
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.74%E -6.76%K -22.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -11.56%E -1.93%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -9.69%E -2.42%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-18 21:40
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.74%E -6.76%K -22.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -11.56%E -1.93%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -9.69%E -2.42%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-18 21:35
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -2.84%E -1.83%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -13.03%E -2.21%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -10.82%E -2.74%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 21:50
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -2.84%E -1.83%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -13.03%E -2.21%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -10.82%E -2.74%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 21:50
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.43%EV -10.36%E -7.25%K -24.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.53%EV -15.24%E -2.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.04%EV -8.56%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-18 21:38
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.74%EV -9.74%E -6.76%K -22.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -15.24%E -2.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -11.95%E -3.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-18 21:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.67%EV -12.24%E -8.75%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.39%EV -15.98%E -2.80%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -9.69%E -2.42%K -3.23%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-18 21:35
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 62.96%EV -17.26%E -13.07%K -53.93%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 14.58%EV -15.98%E -2.80%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.46%EV -16.47%E -4.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-18 21:40
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.59%EV -12.24%E -8.75%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 15.51%EV -16.72%E -2.96%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -9.69%E -2.42%K -3.23%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-18 21:50
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.49%EV -8.48%E -5.81%K -18.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -17.45%E -3.12%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -2.92%E -0.679%K -0.885%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-18 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.76%EV -9.74%E -6.76%K -22.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -18.93%E -3.44%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -20.98%E -5.99%K -8.39%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-18 21:40
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.45%EV -10.36%E -7.25%K -24.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.58%EV -21.88%E -4.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -9.69%E -2.42%K -3.23%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-18 21:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.71%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-03-18 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.71%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-03-18 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.71%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-03-18 21:55
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 64.11%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-03-18 21:55
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.72%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57%1.9%2026-03-18 21:30
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.28%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.42%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.29%1.9%2026-03-18 21:50