La scuola delle quote

Mirassol v Santos

Inizio: 2026-03-11 00:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Mirassol (Casa)

Previsione 53.96%1.85quota equa
EV -2.33%
Vantaggio -1.29%
Kelly -2.87%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.81

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.40%53.99%53.98%55.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.541.721.731.8164.94%57.99%57.80%55.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Santos (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.45%4.89quota equa
EV +3.05%
Vantaggio +0.605%
Kelly +0.755%
Crescita +0.023%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.76%20.35%20.46%21.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.104.524.505.0424.39%22.13%22.22%19.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.59%3.91quota equa
EV -1.73%
Vantaggio -0.451%
Kelly -0.610%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.84

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.11%25.66%25.56%27.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.613.653.8432.26%27.73%27.40%26.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 19.17%EV +3.05%E +0.605%K +0.755%G +0.023%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.63%EV -3.52%E -0.934%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-11 00:15
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20%EV +2.23%E +0.447%K +0.558%G +0.012%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 00:15
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV +2.23%E +0.447%K +0.558%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 00:00
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 54.66%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -1.86%E -0.387%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.59%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 00:24
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 54.66%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -1.86%E -0.387%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.59%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 00:25
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -8.80%E -5.21%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -1.86%E -0.387%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 23:49
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -2.88%E -0.606%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 00:25
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.64%EV -4.49%E -2.53%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -2.88%E -0.606%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 23:40
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.11%E -3.51%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -2.88%E -0.606%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 00:05
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.52%EV -6.11%E -3.51%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -3.90%E -0.830%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.03%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 23:45
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -6.11%E -3.51%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -3.90%E -0.830%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.60%EV -5.57%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 00:25
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -3.90%E -0.830%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-10 23:55
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 54.12%EV -3.41%E -1.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.65%EV -4.11%E -0.875%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.23%EV -1.73%E -0.451%K -0.610%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 00:25
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.30%EV -2.33%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.97%EV -5.95%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.73%EV -4.03%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 23:50
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.86%EV -4.49%E -2.53%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -5.95%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -4.03%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.86%EV -4.49%E -2.53%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -5.95%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -4.03%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 23:40
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.63%EV -5.03%E -2.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV -5.95%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -6.59%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 23:45
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.95%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 23:50
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.95%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 23:40
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -5.95%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 00:00
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -5.95%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 00:00
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -5.95%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 00:00
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -5.95%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 00:00
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.48%EV -6.97%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -5.83%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 00:25
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.33%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.41%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.36%EV -2.76%E -0.725%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-11 00:25
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.43%EV -4.49%E -2.53%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 19:20
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 19:16
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -5.03%E -2.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.59%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 23:50
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -5.03%E -2.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.59%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 23:55
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -5.03%E -2.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.59%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 23:50
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -5.03%E -2.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.59%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 23:55
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -5.03%E -2.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.59%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 23:50
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 00:25
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 00:15
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.59%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 00:15
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-11 00:15
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-11 00:05
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-10 23:39
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-10 23:50
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -9.01%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 00:05
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -9.01%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 00:05
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -4.49%E -2.53%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-11 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:20
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:20
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -5.03%E -2.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -6.59%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -6.11%E -3.51%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 23:50
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -11.06%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -9.15%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-10 23:55
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -11.47%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-10 23:50
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 53.11%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -12.08%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-11 00:25
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -7.72%E -4.52%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -12.08%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -9.15%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-10 23:50
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.46%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -12.08%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-10 23:55
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.33%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.71%EV -12.08%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.96%EV -12.22%E -3.56%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-11 00:13
Parions Sport (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.35%EV -10.42%E -6.28%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.60%EV -12.08%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-11 00:05
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.29%EV -13.10%E -3.08%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -9.15%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-11 00:25
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.68%EV -12.04%E -7.39%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.59%EV -13.10%E -3.08%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-11 00:24
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -14.12%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-10 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.40%EV -12.58%E -7.77%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.21%EV -14.12%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.38%EV -20.67%E -6.67%K -9.84%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-11 00:25
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.02%EV -10.42%E -6.28%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.47%EV -16.17%E -3.94%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -11.71%E -3.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-10 23:40
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 54.07%EV -16.90%E -10.97%K -31.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.31%EV -16.17%E -3.94%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.62%EV -16.83%E -5.18%K -7.48%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-11 00:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.66%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%0.5%2026-03-11 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.66%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%0.5%2026-03-11 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.66%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%0.5%2026-03-11 00:25
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.79%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-03-11 00:15
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%0.9%2026-03-11 00:25
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.40%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.69%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.91%1.6%2026-03-11 00:25