La escuela de los momios

Mirassol v Santos

Inicio: 2026-03-11 00:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Mirassol (Local)

Predicción 53.96%1.85momio equitativo
EV -2.33%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -2.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.40%53.99%53.98%55.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.721.731.8164.94%57.99%57.80%55.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Santos (Visitante)

Predicción 20.45%4.89momio equitativo
EV +3.05%
Ventaja +0.605%
Kelly +0.755%
Crecimiento +0.023%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.76%20.35%20.46%21.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.524.505.0424.39%22.13%22.22%19.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.59%3.91momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -0.451%
Kelly -0.610%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.11%25.66%25.56%27.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.613.653.8432.26%27.73%27.40%26.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 19.17%EV +3.05%E +0.605%K +0.755%G +0.023%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.63%EV -3.52%E -0.934%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-11 00:15
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20%EV +2.23%E +0.447%K +0.558%G +0.012%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 00:15
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV +2.23%E +0.447%K +0.558%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 00:00
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 54.66%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -1.86%E -0.387%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.59%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 00:24
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 54.66%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -1.86%E -0.387%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.59%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 00:25
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -8.80%E -5.21%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -1.86%E -0.387%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 23:49
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -2.88%E -0.606%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 00:25
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.64%EV -4.49%E -2.53%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -2.88%E -0.606%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 23:40
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.11%E -3.51%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -2.88%E -0.606%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 00:05
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.52%EV -6.11%E -3.51%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -3.90%E -0.830%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.03%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 23:45
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -6.11%E -3.51%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -3.90%E -0.830%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.60%EV -5.57%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 00:25
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -3.90%E -0.830%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-10 23:55
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 54.12%EV -3.41%E -1.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.65%EV -4.11%E -0.875%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.23%EV -1.73%E -0.451%K -0.610%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 00:25
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.30%EV -2.33%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.97%EV -5.95%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.73%EV -4.03%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 23:50
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.86%EV -4.49%E -2.53%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -5.95%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -4.03%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.86%EV -4.49%E -2.53%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -5.95%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -4.03%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 23:40
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.63%EV -5.03%E -2.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV -5.95%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -6.59%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 23:45
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.95%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 23:50
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.95%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 23:40
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -5.95%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 00:00
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -5.95%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 00:00
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -5.95%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 00:00
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -5.95%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 00:00
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.48%EV -6.97%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -5.83%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 00:25
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.33%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.41%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.36%EV -2.76%E -0.725%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-11 00:25
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.43%EV -4.49%E -2.53%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 19:20
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 19:16
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -5.03%E -2.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.59%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 23:50
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -5.03%E -2.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.59%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 23:55
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -5.03%E -2.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.59%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 23:50
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -5.03%E -2.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.59%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 23:55
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -5.03%E -2.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.59%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 23:50
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 00:25
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 00:15
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.59%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 00:15
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-11 00:15
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-11 00:05
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-10 23:39
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-10 23:50
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -9.01%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 00:05
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -9.01%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 00:05
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -4.49%E -2.53%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-11 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:20
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:20
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -5.03%E -2.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -6.59%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -6.11%E -3.51%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 23:50
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -11.06%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -9.15%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-10 23:55
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -11.47%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-10 23:50
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 53.11%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -12.08%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-11 00:25
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -7.72%E -4.52%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -12.08%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -9.15%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-10 23:50
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.46%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -12.08%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-10 23:55
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.33%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.71%EV -12.08%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.96%EV -12.22%E -3.56%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-11 00:13
Parions Sport (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.35%EV -10.42%E -6.28%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.60%EV -12.08%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-11 00:05
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.29%EV -13.10%E -3.08%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -9.15%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-11 00:25
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.68%EV -12.04%E -7.39%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.59%EV -13.10%E -3.08%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-11 00:24
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -14.12%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-10 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.40%EV -12.58%E -7.77%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.21%EV -14.12%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.38%EV -20.67%E -6.67%K -9.84%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-11 00:25
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.02%EV -10.42%E -6.28%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.47%EV -16.17%E -3.94%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -11.71%E -3.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-10 23:40
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 54.07%EV -16.90%E -10.97%K -31.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.31%EV -16.17%E -3.94%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.62%EV -16.83%E -5.18%K -7.48%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-11 00:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.66%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%0.5%2026-03-11 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.66%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%0.5%2026-03-11 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.66%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%0.5%2026-03-11 00:25
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.79%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-03-11 00:15
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%0.9%2026-03-11 00:25
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.40%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.69%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.91%1.6%2026-03-11 00:25