StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Mirassol v Internacional

2026-10-16 23:00 UTC — Brazil Série A

Matchresultat

45 spelbolag (10 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Mirassol (Hemma)

Prognos 41.68%2.40rättvist odds
EV -2.88%
Fördel -1.23%
Kelly -2.16%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.33

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
40.52%41.69%41.73%44.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.942.202.202.3351.55%45.35%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Internacional (Borta)

Prognos 30.63%3.27rättvist odds
EV -0.465%
Fördel -0.143%
Kelly -0.206%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.05%30.62%30.62%31.63%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.753.033.003.2536.36%33.06%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.69%3.61rättvist odds
EV -2.53%
Fördel -0.719%
Kelly -1.00%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.52

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.78%27.68%27.65%28.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.343.353.5232.26%29.96%29.85%28.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Mirassol (Hemma): 41.68%; Internacional (Borta): 30.63%; Oavgjort: 27.69%. För Internacional (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.27. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.25, med väntevärdet -0.465%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (45 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.14%EV -2.88%E -1.23%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.63%EV -7.20%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.23%EV -2.53%E -0.719%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 14:00
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.01%EV -4.13%E -1.79%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.33%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.66%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.13%E -1.79%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 14:01
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.13%E -1.79%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.13%E -1.79%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.13%E -1.79%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 13:59
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.13%E -1.79%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -5.06%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.09%E -0.882%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:00
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -5.06%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.09%E -0.882%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 13:59
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.06%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 14:01
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.59%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 13:59
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 13:59
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 13:59
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 13:58
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.18%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-10 14:00
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.18%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.18%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-10 14:01
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.18%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-10 14:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.31%EV -6.63%E -2.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.64%EV -7.51%E -2.49%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 13:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.04%EV -7.04%E -3.16%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -0.465%E -0.143%K -0.206%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -3.09%E -0.882%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.04%EV -7.04%E -3.16%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -0.465%E -0.143%K -0.206%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -3.09%E -0.882%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.59%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.47%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 14:00
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 13:58
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -3.53%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 14:00
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -3.53%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -3.53%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -3.53%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 14:01
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -3.53%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 14:00
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -3.53%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 14:01
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -3.53%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 14:00
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -3.53%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:01
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 14:00
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -6.59%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.85%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.29%EV -9.04%E -3.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.86%EV -10.56%E -3.27%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.18%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-10 13:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.37%EV -10.80%E -5.05%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -6.59%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-10 13:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.37%EV -10.80%E -5.05%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -6.59%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-10 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.37%EV -10.80%E -5.05%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -6.59%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-10 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -11.63%E -5.49%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -12.46%E -5.94%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -14.25%E -5.09%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -12.46%E -5.94%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -14.25%E -5.09%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -14.16%E -4.57%K -6.74%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-10 13:57
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.15%EV -12.46%E -5.94%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.42%EV -15.78%E -5.74%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.43%EV -12.78%E -4.06%K -5.94%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 44.17%EV -19.13%E -9.86%K -20.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.05%EV -9.65%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.78%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 41.10%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.37%13.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 40.85%2.86I 34.97%NM 30.43%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.72%14.9%2026-10-10 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73%169.5%2026-10-10 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73%169.5%2026-10-10 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73%169.5%2026-10-10 14:00