Школа коэффициентов

Mirassol v Fluminense

Начало: 2026-05-23 22:00 UTC

Итог: Mirassol 1–0 Fluminense

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

58 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Mirassol (Хозяева)

Прогноз 36.30%2.75справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.164%
Преимущество -0.060%
Kelly -0.094%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
34.94%36.23%36.26%37.04%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.352.562.572.7542.55%39.02%38.91%36.36%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Fluminense (Гости)

Прогноз 32.32%3.09справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.196%
Преимущество +0.063%
Kelly +0.093%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.10

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
31.14%32.44%32.41%34.03%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.652.892.903.1037.74%34.62%34.48%32.26%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 31.37%3.19справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.74%
Преимущество -0.883%
Kelly -1.30%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.10

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.12%31.33%31.33%32.22%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.802.962.993.1035.71%33.78%33.44%32.26%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89%EV -4.52%E -1.72%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.30%EV +0.196%E +0.063%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.81%EV -4.31%E -1.41%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 21:39
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89%EV -4.52%E -1.72%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.30%EV +0.196%E +0.063%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.81%EV -4.31%E -1.41%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 21:39
Pinnacle2.64I 37.88%NM 36.65%EV -4.16%E -1.57%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.04%EV -2.39%E -0.791%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.31%EV -3.05%E -0.988%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 21:40
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -5.88%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:39
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.88%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 21:40
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 21:39
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 21:39
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 21:39
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 21:39
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 21:40
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 21:39
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 21:39
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.95%EV -3.79%E -1.43%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -4.65%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -5.88%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 21:49
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -4.65%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -5.88%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 21:28
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -4.65%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -5.88%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 21:39
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -4.65%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -9.64%E -3.35%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 21:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -4.65%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -9.64%E -3.35%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 21:39
1xBet2.75I 36.36%NM 35.25%EV -0.164%E -0.060%K -0.094%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.08%EV -5.30%E -1.81%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.67%EV -3.99%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-23 21:49
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.25%EV -5.30%E -1.81%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.40%EV -5.56%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 21:30
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.98%E -0.733%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.59%EV -5.62%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.15%EV -7.13%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:10
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.98%E -0.733%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.59%EV -5.62%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.15%EV -7.13%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:10
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.98%E -0.733%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.59%EV -5.62%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.15%EV -7.13%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:09
Marathon Bet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.44%EV -7.06%E -2.76%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.05%EV -5.95%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.51%EV -7.13%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 21:49
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -2.74%E -0.883%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 21:49
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -4.88%E -1.86%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -5.88%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 21:19
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.88%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 21:39
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.88%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 21:30
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.88%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 21:29
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -5.88%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 21:49
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 36.69%EV -9.97%E -4.02%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -10.58%E -3.71%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-23 21:40
PMU (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.69%EV -9.97%E -4.02%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -10.58%E -3.71%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-23 21:39
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -6.91%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -5.88%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 21:19
Bovada2.59I 38.61%NM 36.20%EV -5.97%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -6.91%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.88%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 21:46
BetUS2.59I 38.61%NM 36.20%EV -5.97%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -6.91%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.88%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 21:49
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.21%EV -6.34%E -2.46%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.91%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.35%EV -6.50%E -2.18%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 21:50
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.21%EV -6.34%E -2.46%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.91%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.35%EV -6.50%E -2.18%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 21:50
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -6.91%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 21:40
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -6.91%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 21:40
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -11.06%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -6.91%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -12.15%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-23 21:39
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -11.06%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -6.91%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -12.15%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-23 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.67%EV -7.24%E -2.52%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -5.88%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 21:10
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.88%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.88%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.88%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.88%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 21:09
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -7.88%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.88%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 21:50
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -9.50%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 21:49
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -11.06%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -9.50%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -9.64%E -3.35%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-23 21:39
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.06%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.50%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -12.15%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-23 21:40
Betclic (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 36.75%EV -11.78%E -4.85%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.13%EV -10.15%E -3.65%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.12%EV -9.95%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-23 21:39
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -2.74%E -0.883%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 21:10
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.74%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -4.31%E -1.41%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 21:09
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -4.31%E -1.41%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 21:09
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -4.88%E -1.86%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -9.64%E -3.35%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 21:50
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -4.88%E -1.86%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -9.64%E -3.35%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 21:50
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -5.88%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 21:29
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -5.88%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 21:10
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -12.73%E -4.72%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -5.88%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 21:39
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.91%EV -14.69%E -6.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.12%EV -12.73%E -4.72%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.97%EV -12.15%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-23 21:38
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.39%EV -12.87%E -5.36%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.96%EV -14.35%E -5.41%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.65%EV -10.58%E -3.71%K -5.72%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-23 21:30
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%0.5%2026-05-23 21:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-05-23 21:50
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-05-23 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-05-23 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-05-23 21:50
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.33%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39%2.1%2026-05-23 21:30