默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Mirassol v Flamengo

2026-08-16 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

胜负盘

20 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Mirassol (主队)

预测 24.37%4.10公平赔率
EV -1.81%
优势 -0.449%
Kelly -0.597%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.03

博彩公司预测分布
23.11%24.28%24.40%25.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.773.804.0329.41%26.55%26.32%24.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

Flamengo (客队)

预测 47.83%2.09公平赔率
EV -3.38%
优势 -1.67%
Kelly -3.32%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.02

博彩公司预测分布
45.49%47.98%47.74%49.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.741.901.912.0257.47%52.49%52.36%49.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.80%3.60公平赔率
EV -3.24%
优势 -0.931%
Kelly -1.31%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.48

博彩公司预测分布
26.61%27.74%27.87%28.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.303.333.4833.33%30.29%30.08%28.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Mirassol (主队):24.37%;Flamengo (客队):47.83%;平局:27.80%。 对于“Mirassol (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.10。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为4.03,期望值为-1.81%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (20 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet4.03I 24.81%NM 23.85%EV -1.81%E -0.449%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.54%EV -5.30%E -2.67%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.62%EV -3.24%E -0.931%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 13:39
Codere (IT)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -2.54%E -0.635%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.70%EV -11.04%E -5.93%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:54
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -4.49%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.59%EV -8.17%E -4.25%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -6.02%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 13:29
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -4.98%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -10.08%E -5.36%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 18:49
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:39
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -7.41%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -3.38%E -1.67%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:40
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -7.41%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 13:44
William Hill3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.41%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -8.64%E -4.53%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.64%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 13:59
888sport3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.41%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -8.64%E -4.53%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.64%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 13:54
888sport (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.41%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -8.64%E -4.53%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.64%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 13:55
Mr Green (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.41%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -8.64%E -4.53%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.64%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 13:55
Bet Right3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.32%EV -5.77%E -2.93%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 13:40
Betclic (FR)3.73I 26.81%NM 23.15%EV -9.12%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 49.62%EV -16.78%E -9.64%K -22.67%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 27.24%EV -11.86%E -3.74%K -5.47%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-02 12:54
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.30%E -2.67%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 20:05
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.30%E -2.67%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 20:04
Unibet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.45%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.01%EV -15.34%E -8.67%K -19.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.54%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.77%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-02 12:54
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.06%EV -11.07%E -3.03%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.33%EV -14.86%E -8.35%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 12:54
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -12.29%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -8.64%E -4.53%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.64%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 13:40
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.08%EV -12.29%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.25%EV -15.82%E -8.99%K -20.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -9.64%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-02 12:54
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -17.16%E -5.05%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -8.64%E -4.53%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -16.59%E -5.53%K -8.29%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-02 13:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。