默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Mirassol v Botafogo

2026-09-19 20:00 UTC — Brazil Série A

胜负盘

20 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Mirassol (主队)

预测 41.69%2.40公平赔率
EV -3.28%
优势 -1.42%
Kelly -2.49%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.32

博彩公司预测分布
40.39%41.56%41.72%42.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.032.192.212.3249.26%45.69%45.25%43.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

Botafogo (客队)

预测 30.40%3.29公平赔率
EV -3.65%
优势 -1.15%
Kelly -1.68%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.17

博彩公司预测分布
29.67%30.39%30.32%30.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.003.003.1735.71%33.29%33.33%31.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.92%3.58公平赔率
EV -2.29%
优势 -0.655%
Kelly -0.917%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
27.14%28.04%27.96%29.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.083.253.303.5032.47%30.80%30.30%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Mirassol (主队):41.69%;Botafogo (客队):30.40%;平局:27.92%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.58。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为3.50,期望值为-2.29%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (20 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.42%EV -3.28%E -1.42%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.31%EV -3.65%E -1.15%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.26%EV -5.08%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 19:45
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.12%E -1.79%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.77%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.08%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 19:59
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -5.77%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.29%E -0.655%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 20:05
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.77%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.08%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 20:10
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.81%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 20:00
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.81%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 19:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.81%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 20:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.81%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 19:59
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -7.45%E -3.36%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -7.29%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-07 20:00
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -7.45%E -3.36%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -7.29%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-07 20:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.77%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 18:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.77%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 18:35
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.81%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.08%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 20:00
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.10%EV -9.12%E -4.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.29%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 20:00
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.37%E -4.82%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.85%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-07 20:00
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -12.46%E -5.93%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -14.89%E -5.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-07 19:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -14.54%E -7.09%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -11.85%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-07 18:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -14.54%E -7.09%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.85%EV -11.85%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.92%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-07 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.19%EV -14.54%E -7.09%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.35%EV -13.37%E -4.69%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.46%EV -12.06%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-07 18:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 42.39%EV -15.37%E -7.57%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.67%EV -11.85%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 27.94%EV -14.02%E -4.55%K -6.74%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-07 18:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 42.52%2.78I 35.97%NM 29.98%3.03I 33.00%NM 27.50%20.0%2026-09-08 02:45