赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Mirassol v Atletico Mineiro

2026-11-14 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

胜负盘

19 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Mirassol (主队)

预测 37.65%2.66公平赔率
EV -4.36%
优势 -1.72%
Kelly -2.83%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.54

博彩公司预测分布
36.56%37.45%37.65%39.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.402.422.5447.62%41.68%41.32%39.37%最小值均值中位数最大值

Atletico Mineiro (客队)

预测 34.66%2.89公平赔率
EV -3.99%
优势 -1.44%
Kelly -2.25%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.77

博彩公司预测分布
33.07%34.67%34.66%34.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.642.622.7740.00%37.94%38.17%36.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.69%3.61公平赔率
EV -3.65%
优势 -1.05%
Kelly -1.47%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.48

博彩公司预测分布
26.89%27.89%27.69%28.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.273.303.4833.33%30.59%30.30%28.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Mirassol (主队)：37.65%；Atletico Mineiro (客队)：34.66%；平局：27.69%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.61。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.48，期望值为-3.65%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (19 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.78%EV -4.36%E -1.72%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.64%EV -3.99%E -1.44%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.58%EV -3.65%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-04 17:32
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.87%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.68%E -1.70%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-04 16:50
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.87%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.68%E -1.70%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 16:50
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.87%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.41%E -2.38%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-04 16:50
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.87%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.41%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-04 16:50
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.87%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.41%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-04 16:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.87%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.41%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-04 16:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.87%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.41%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-04 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.85%EV -7.37%E -3.00%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.61%EV -6.76%E -2.51%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.54%EV -6.42%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-04 17:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.25%EV -8.88%E -3.67%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -5.72%E -2.10%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.72%EV -7.53%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-04 16:50
picklebet_au🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.63%E -4.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.41%E -2.38%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-04 16:49
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.63%E -4.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -8.15%E -3.07%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-04 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -9.63%E -4.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -8.84%E -3.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-04 17:10
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -9.63%E -4.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-04 16:53
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -13.40%E -5.83%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -13.35%E -5.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%15.7%2026-11-04 16:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -15.28%E -6.79%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.27%EV -11.61%E -4.55%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.89%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.4%2026-11-04 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 38.83%EV -16.41%E -7.39%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.54%EV -10.92%E -4.25%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 27.63%EV -13.62%E -4.37%K -6.42%G +0.000%16.0%2026-11-04 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -17.16%E -7.80%K -14.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.13%EV -13.35%E -5.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.09%EV -12.79%E -4.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%17.2%2026-11-04 16:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.37%EV -20.93%E -9.97%K -19.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.07%EV -13.35%E -5.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.56%EV -16.94%E -5.65%K -8.47%G +0.000%21.0%2026-11-04 16:50
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%2.53I 39.53%NM 34.63%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.08%14.1%2026-11-04 19:45