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Internacional v Vitoria

2026-11-23 22:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Internacional (Local)

Prediction 55.45%1.80fair odd
EV -4.62%
Edge -2.68%
Kelly -6.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.19%55.45%55.45%56.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.661.651.7262.50%60.38%60.61%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vitoria (Visit)

Prediction 18.56%5.39fair odd
EV +2.08%
Edge +0.379%
Kelly +0.463%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.77%18.56%18.56%18.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.045.005.5021.05%19.83%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.98%3.85fair odd
EV +0.041%
Edge +0.011%
Kelly +0.014%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.39%25.98%25.98%26.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.583.553.8529.41%27.96%28.17%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Internacional (Local): 55.45%; Vitoria (Visit): 18.56%; Draw: 25.98%. For Vitoria (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.39. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.50, producing a positive expected value of +2.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.83%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.77%EV +2.08%E +0.379%K +0.463%G +0.010%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%EV +0.041%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000%2.3%2026-11-13 22:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.83%EV -4.62%E -2.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.77%EV +2.08%E +0.379%K +0.463%G +0.010%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%EV +0.041%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000%2.3%2026-11-13 23:00
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.34%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-13 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.34%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-13 22:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.34%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-13 23:00
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.34%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-13 23:00
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.72%EV -8.50%E -5.15%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -7.20%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-13 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.45%EV -9.05%E -5.52%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -9.05%E -1.85%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-13 23:00
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.61%EV -9.61%E -5.89%K -15.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -9.05%E -1.85%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-13 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.61%EV -9.61%E -5.89%K -15.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -9.05%E -1.85%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-13 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.61%EV -9.61%E -5.89%K -15.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -9.05%E -1.85%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-13 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.19%EV -9.61%E -5.89%K -15.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -10.91%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -10.35%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-13 22:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.33%EV -11.27%E -7.05%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.64%EV -11.84%E -2.49%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.65%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-13 23:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.14I 87.72%NM 34.29%1.21I 82.64%NM 32.30%1.17I 85.47%NM 33.41%155.8%2026-11-13 23:20