La scuola delle quote

Internacional v Sao Paulo

Inizio: 2026-04-01 22:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Internacional (Casa)

Previsione 42.37%2.36quota equa
EV -0.436%
Vantaggio -0.186%
Kelly -0.323%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.05%42.39%42.40%43.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.212.202.3550.00%45.31%45.45%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sao Paulo (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.79%3.60quota equa
EV +1.43%
Vantaggio +0.391%
Kelly +0.539%
Crescita +0.008%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.33%27.76%27.74%29.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.373.353.6532.26%29.69%29.85%27.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.84%3.35quota equa
EV -3.01%
Vantaggio -0.925%
Kelly -1.34%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.84%29.85%29.86%30.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.083.103.2536.36%32.47%32.26%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.37%EV -5.52%E -2.48%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.50%EV +1.43%E +0.391%K +0.539%G +0.008%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.13%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-01 22:10
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV +0.038%E +0.011%K +0.015%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 22:00
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV +0.038%E +0.011%K +0.015%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 21:59
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 43.35%EV -8.06%E -3.72%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -1.35%E -0.381%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.15%EV -6.89%E -2.21%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 22:15
BetUS2.17I 46.08%NM 43.35%EV -8.06%E -3.72%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -1.35%E -0.381%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.15%EV -6.89%E -2.21%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 22:09
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.79%EV -1.71%E -0.736%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.62%EV -2.46%E -0.702%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.59%EV -5.39%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-01 22:20
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.37%EV -0.436%E -0.186%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -2.74%E -0.783%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.86%EV -5.99%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-01 22:10
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.37%EV -0.436%E -0.186%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -2.74%E -0.783%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.86%EV -5.99%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-01 22:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.74%E -0.783%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 22:20
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.74%E -0.783%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 22:17
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.74%E -0.783%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 22:20
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.74%E -0.783%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 22:05
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.77%EV -7.64%E -3.50%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -3.85%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -8.08%E -2.62%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 22:09
GTbets2.26I 44.25%NM 41.82%EV -4.25%E -1.88%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.39%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.79%EV -8.38%E -2.73%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 22:05
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -5.99%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 22:09
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 22:20
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -7.64%E -3.50%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.98%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 22:05
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 21:50
Codere (IT)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.20%EV -5.10%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -5.99%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 22:09
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:05
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.01%E -0.925%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 22:08
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 22:04
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -13.45%E -4.64%K -7.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-01 22:00
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.34%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.27%EV -6.35%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.40%EV -3.30%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 21:49
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.34%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.27%EV -6.35%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.40%EV -3.30%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 21:49
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 42.34%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.27%EV -6.35%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.40%EV -3.30%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 21:49
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.38%EV -2.55%E -1.11%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -5.99%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 19:14
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -3.40%E -1.49%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.98%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 22:00
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -3.40%E -1.49%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.98%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 22:00
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -3.40%E -1.49%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.98%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 22:00
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -3.40%E -1.49%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.98%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 22:00
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -3.40%E -1.49%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.98%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 22:00
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -3.40%E -1.49%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.98%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 22:00
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.98%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 22:00
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 22:04
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 22:05
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -5.99%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -5.52%E -2.48%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 22:00
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -5.52%E -2.48%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 22:00
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-01 22:00
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-01 22:04
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-01 22:04
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-01 22:04
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 22:10
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.30%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.45%E -4.64%K -7.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-01 22:00
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -5.99%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-01 22:05
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -11.96%E -4.05%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-01 22:00
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.61%EV -8.06%E -3.72%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -11.96%E -4.05%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-01 22:09
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.61%EV -8.06%E -3.72%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -11.96%E -4.05%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-01 22:10
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.61%EV -10.24%E -3.17%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.93%EV -11.06%E -3.71%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-01 22:04
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -3.40%E -1.49%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -5.99%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 20:00
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 14:03
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-01 22:05
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.65%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -11.96%E -4.05%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-01 22:05
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -13.15%E -6.41%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -13.86%E -4.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-01 22:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.15%EV -15.27%E -7.63%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.19%EV -13.86%E -4.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.66%EV -17.93%E -6.52%K -10.24%G +0.000%18.6%2026-04-01 22:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.23%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%0.6%2026-04-01 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.23%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%0.6%2026-04-01 22:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.23%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%0.6%2026-04-01 22:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.23%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%0.6%2026-04-01 22:15
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70%1.8%2026-04-01 22:15
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-04-01 21:50