The School of Odds

Internacional v Cruzeiro

Kickoff: 2026-07-23 00:30 UTC

Final: Internacional 1–2 Cruzeiro

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

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Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Internacional (Local)

Prediction 39.40%2.54fair odd
EV -0.709%
Edge -0.281%
Kelly -0.466%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%39.55%39.39%42.53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.162.332.352.5246%43%43%40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Cruzeiro (Visit)

Prediction 32.10%3.12fair odd
EV +7.53%
Edge +2.25%
Kelly +3.20%
Growth +0.241%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.95%31.93%32.11%33.72%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.652.962.903.3538%34%34%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.50%3.51fair odd
EV -0.246%
Edge -0.070%
Kelly -0.098%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.51%28.52%28.50%30.24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.273.303.5033%31%30%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.53%EV -10.17%E -4.46%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%EV +7.53%E +2.25%K +3.20%G +0.241%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.52%EV -3.10%E -0.911%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-23 00:10
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.53%EV -10.17%E -4.46%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%EV +7.53%E +2.25%K +3.20%G +0.241%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.52%EV -3.10%E -0.911%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-23 00:09
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -12.14%E -5.44%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV +4.32%E +1.33%K +1.92%G +0.083%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -5.95%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-23 00:14
Coolbet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.19%EV -6.62%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.58%EV +3.35%E +1.04%K +1.51%G +0.051%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -10.22%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 17:34
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -12.14%E -5.44%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV +2.71%E +0.848%K +1.23%G +0.033%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -5.95%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 00:24
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -12.14%E -5.44%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV +2.71%E +0.848%K +1.23%G +0.033%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -5.95%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 00:24
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -12.14%E -5.44%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV +2.71%E +0.848%K +1.23%G +0.033%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -5.95%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 00:24
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -12.14%E -5.44%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV +2.71%E +0.848%K +1.23%G +0.033%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -5.95%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 00:24
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -12.14%E -5.44%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV +2.71%E +0.848%K +1.23%G +0.033%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -5.95%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 00:24
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -13.32%E -6.05%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV +2.71%E +0.848%K +1.23%G +0.033%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.95%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-23 00:10
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -13.32%E -6.05%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV +2.71%E +0.848%K +1.23%G +0.033%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -13.32%E -6.05%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV +1.11%E +0.352%K +0.515%G +0.006%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-23 00:24
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.16%EV -14.89%E -6.90%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -0.497%E -0.160%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.80%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-23 00:24
PMU (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.16%EV -14.89%E -6.90%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -0.497%E -0.160%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.80%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-23 00:24
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.16%EV -14.89%E -6.90%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -0.497%E -0.160%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.80%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-23 00:24
LowVig.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.45%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%EV -2.10%E -0.689%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-23 00:09
BetOnline.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.45%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%EV -2.10%E -0.689%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-23 00:09
BetAnything2.45I 40.82%NM 39.45%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%EV -2.10%E -0.689%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-23 00:09
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 39.22%EV -2.68%E -1.08%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.87%EV -2.42%E -0.797%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.92%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-23 00:14
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -6.62%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -3.71%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.95%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 00:04
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 39.03%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.42%EV -5.31%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.55%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-23 00:24
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 39.03%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.42%EV -5.31%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.55%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-23 00:24
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -5.44%E -2.27%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -5.31%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.95%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-23 00:04
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -5.44%E -2.27%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -5.31%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.95%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-23 00:04
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -6.23%E -2.62%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -5.31%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.95%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 00:05
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.44%E -2.27%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.31%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -8.80%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-23 00:04
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.31%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.80%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 23:43
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -6.23%E -2.62%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.84%EV -5.95%E -2.03%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.97%EV -8.23%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 00:19
Codere (IT)2.41I 41.49%NM 39.21%EV -5.04%E -2.09%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.58%EV -6.92%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 00:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.44%E -2.27%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.92%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.95%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-23 00:05
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.44%E -2.27%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.92%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.95%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-23 00:05
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.44%E -2.27%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.92%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.95%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-23 00:24
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.44%E -2.27%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.92%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.95%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-23 00:04
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.44%E -2.27%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.92%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.95%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-23 00:24
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -6.23%E -2.62%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -6.92%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -5.95%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-23 00:05
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.44%E -2.27%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -6.92%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 00:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -6.62%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -6.92%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.95%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-23 00:04
GTbets2.37I 42.19%NM 39.34%EV -6.62%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -6.92%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.51%EV -6.80%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-23 00:25
1xBet2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -0.709%E -0.281%K -0.466%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.72%EV -7.56%E -2.62%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.75%EV -0.246%E -0.070%K -0.098%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-23 00:24
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.56%E -2.62%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.80%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 00:19
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.56%E -2.62%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.80%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 00:19
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.56%E -2.62%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.80%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 00:19
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.56%E -2.62%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.80%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 00:24
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.56%E -2.62%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.95%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 00:00
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -8.52%E -2.99%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 00:09
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.52%E -2.99%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.95%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-23 00:09
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.52%E -2.99%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.95%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-23 00:09
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -4.65%E -1.92%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -9.48%E -3.36%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 00:24
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -4.65%E -1.92%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -9.48%E -3.36%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 00:24
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.44%E -2.27%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -10.13%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.10%E -0.911%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-23 00:24
betano_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.44%E -2.27%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -10.13%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.10%E -0.911%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-23 00:23
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -5.44%E -2.27%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -10.13%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-23 00:25
Betclic (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -10.17%E -4.46%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.13%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -8.80%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-23 00:24
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -10.13%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-23 00:04
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.13%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.65%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-23 00:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.13%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.65%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-23 00:19
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.73%E -4.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -5.95%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-23 00:24
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.73%E -4.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.65%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-23 00:24
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.73%E -4.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.50%E -4.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-23 00:04
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.55%EV -13.32%E -6.05%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.83%EV -14.94%E -5.64%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.62%EV -10.22%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-23 00:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.94%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-07-23 00:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.74%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75%0.8%2026-07-23 00:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.74%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75%0.8%2026-07-23 00:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.74%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75%0.8%2026-07-23 00:25
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.58%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05%1.3%2026-07-23 00:24
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-07-23 00:05