Internacional v Cruzeiro

2026-07-23 00:30 — Brazil Série A

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (10 in analysis)

Option 1: Internacional (Local)

Odds

2.0050.00%Min

2.1546.57%Mean

2.1546.51%Median

2.2444.64%Max

Consensus probabilities

42.02%2.380Min

43.79%2.284Max

42.93%2.329Mean

42.91%2.330Median

42.95%2.328IQM

42.97%2.327Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.24 under the IQM model: 42.95%

EV -3.79%Edge -1.69%Kelly -3.06%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Cruzeiro (Visit)

Odds

2.8535.09%Min

3.2131.13%Mean

3.2530.77%Median

3.4029.41%Max

Consensus probabilities

28.04%3.566Min

29.49%3.391Max

28.43%3.517Mean

28.37%3.525Median

28.37%3.524IQM

28.42%3.519Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.40 under the IQM model: 28.37%

EV -3.53%Edge -1.04%Kelly -1.47%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

2.9533.90%Min

3.2131.19%Mean

3.2430.91%Median

3.4029.41%Max

Consensus probabilities

27.69%3.612Min

29.45%3.396Max

28.63%3.493Mean

28.72%3.482Median

28.68%3.487IQM

28.61%3.496Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.40 under the IQM model: 28.68%

EV -2.50%Edge -0.735%Kelly -1.04%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Internacional (Local) ▼	Cruzeiro (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
SportsBet	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.35%EV -1.22% E -0.529% K -0.936% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 30.68%EV -12.04% E -3.88% K -5.73% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.97%EV -2.50% E -0.735% K -1.04% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-05 14:49
1xBet	2.24I 44.64% NM 42.82%EV -3.79% E -1.69% K -3.06% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 28.21%EV -3.53% E -1.04% K -1.47% G +0.000%	3.31I 30.21% NM 28.98%EV -5.08% E -1.54% K -2.20% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-03 14:34
Pinnacle	2.21I 45.25% NM 43.19%EV -5.08% E -2.30% K -4.20% G +0.000%	3.38I 29.59% NM 28.24%EV -4.09% E -1.21% K -1.72% G +0.000%	3.34I 29.94% NM 28.58%EV -4.22% E -1.26% K -1.80% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-01 06:40
Coral	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.22%EV -5.51% E -2.51% K -4.59% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 28.81%EV -6.36% E -1.93% K -2.77% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.97%EV -2.50% E -0.735% K -1.04% G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-03 08:30
Bovada	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.04%EV -5.51% E -2.51% K -4.59% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 28.27%EV -4.95% E -1.48% K -2.10% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 28.69%EV -5.37% E -1.63% K -2.33% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-03 08:30
BetMGM	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -5.51% E -2.51% K -4.59% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 28.57%EV -6.36% E -1.93% K -2.77% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 28.57%EV -5.37% E -1.63% K -2.33% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-03 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -5.51% E -2.51% K -4.59% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 28.57%EV -6.36% E -1.93% K -2.77% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 28.57%EV -5.37% E -1.63% K -2.33% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-03 08:30
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.48%EV -5.51% E -2.51% K -4.59% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.76%EV -7.78% E -2.39% K -3.46% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.76%EV -6.80% E -2.09% K -3.02% G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-03 08:30
Neds	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.48%EV -5.51% E -2.51% K -4.59% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.76%EV -7.78% E -2.39% K -3.46% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.76%EV -6.80% E -2.09% K -3.02% G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-03 08:30
Codere (IT)	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.11%EV -5.51% E -2.51% K -4.59% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.95%EV -9.20% E -2.88% K -4.18% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.95%EV -8.24% E -2.57% K -3.74% G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-06-26 21:59
LiveScore Bet	2.20I 45.45% NM 40.93%EV -5.51% E -2.51% K -4.59% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.02%EV -14.88% E -4.96% K -7.44% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.05%EV -11.10% E -3.58% K -5.29% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-25 03:40
Grosvenor	2.20I 45.45% NM 40.93%EV -5.51% E -2.51% K -4.59% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.02%EV -14.88% E -4.96% K -7.44% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.05%EV -11.10% E -3.58% K -5.29% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-25 03:40
PMU (FR)	2.20I 45.45% NM 40.93%EV -5.51% E -2.51% K -4.59% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.02%EV -14.88% E -4.96% K -7.44% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.05%EV -11.10% E -3.58% K -5.29% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-25 03:39
Unibet (NL)	2.20I 45.45% NM 40.93%EV -5.51% E -2.51% K -4.59% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.02%EV -14.88% E -4.96% K -7.44% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.05%EV -11.10% E -3.58% K -5.29% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-25 03:40
Virgin Bet	2.20I 45.45% NM 40.93%EV -5.51% E -2.51% K -4.59% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.02%EV -14.88% E -4.96% K -7.44% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.05%EV -11.10% E -3.58% K -5.29% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-25 03:40
LeoVegas (SE)	2.20I 45.45% NM 40.93%EV -5.51% E -2.51% K -4.59% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.02%EV -14.88% E -4.96% K -7.44% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.05%EV -11.10% E -3.58% K -5.29% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-25 03:39
Casumo	2.20I 45.45% NM 40.93%EV -5.51% E -2.51% K -4.59% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.02%EV -14.88% E -4.96% K -7.44% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.05%EV -11.10% E -3.58% K -5.29% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-25 03:39
Unibet (SE)	2.20I 45.45% NM 40.93%EV -5.51% E -2.51% K -4.59% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.02%EV -14.88% E -4.96% K -7.44% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.05%EV -11.10% E -3.58% K -5.29% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-25 03:39
TABtouch	2.20I 45.45% NM 40.93%EV -5.51% E -2.51% K -4.59% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.02%EV -14.88% E -4.96% K -7.44% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.05%EV -11.10% E -3.58% K -5.29% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-25 03:39
Unibet	2.20I 45.45% NM 40.93%EV -5.51% E -2.51% K -4.59% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.02%EV -14.88% E -4.96% K -7.44% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.05%EV -11.10% E -3.58% K -5.29% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-25 03:39
Svenska Spel	2.20I 45.45% NM 40.93%EV -5.51% E -2.51% K -4.59% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.02%EV -14.88% E -4.96% K -7.44% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.05%EV -11.10% E -3.58% K -5.29% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-25 03:39
ATG (SE)	2.20I 45.45% NM 40.93%EV -5.51% E -2.51% K -4.59% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.02%EV -14.88% E -4.96% K -7.44% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.05%EV -11.10% E -3.58% K -5.29% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-25 03:40
BetRivers	2.20I 45.45% NM 40.93%EV -5.51% E -2.51% K -4.59% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.02%EV -14.88% E -4.96% K -7.44% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.05%EV -11.10% E -3.58% K -5.29% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-25 06:40
betPARX	2.20I 45.45% NM 40.93%EV -5.51% E -2.51% K -4.59% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.02%EV -14.88% E -4.96% K -7.44% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.05%EV -11.10% E -3.58% K -5.29% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-25 08:59
Marathon Bet	2.18I 45.87% NM 42.78%EV -6.37% E -2.92% K -5.40% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 28.26%EV -6.36% E -1.93% K -2.77% G +0.000%	3.22I 31.06% NM 28.96%EV -7.66% E -2.38% K -3.45% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-03 14:30
FanDuel	2.15I 46.51% NM 43.79%EV -7.66% E -3.56% K -6.66% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 28.53%EV -6.36% E -1.93% K -2.77% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.69%EV -2.50% E -0.735% K -1.04% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-28 19:00
Bet Victor	2.15I 46.51% NM 43.23%EV -7.66% E -3.56% K -6.66% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.60%EV -7.78% E -2.39% K -3.46% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 28.17%EV -5.37% E -1.63% K -2.33% G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-26 22:59
Bet Right	2.15I 46.51% NM 43.23%EV -7.66% E -3.56% K -6.66% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.60%EV -7.78% E -2.39% K -3.46% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 28.17%EV -5.37% E -1.63% K -2.33% G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-01 06:29
Tipico (DE)	2.15I 46.51% NM 43.04%EV -7.66% E -3.56% K -6.66% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 28.04%EV -6.36% E -1.93% K -2.77% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.92%EV -8.24% E -2.57% K -3.74% G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-01 06:29
DraftKings	2.15I 46.51% NM 43.04%EV -7.66% E -3.56% K -6.66% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 28.04%EV -6.36% E -1.93% K -2.77% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.92%EV -8.24% E -2.57% K -3.74% G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-01 06:29
LeoVegas	2.15I 46.51% NM 42.66%EV -7.66% E -3.56% K -6.66% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 29.12%EV -10.62% E -3.37% K -4.94% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.22%EV -6.80% E -2.09% K -3.02% G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-07-02 10:20
888sport (SE)	2.15I 46.51% NM 42.46%EV -7.66% E -3.56% K -6.66% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.09%EV -7.78% E -2.39% K -3.46% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.45%EV -11.10% E -3.58% K -5.29% G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-07-01 06:29
888sport	2.15I 46.51% NM 42.46%EV -7.66% E -3.56% K -6.66% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.09%EV -7.78% E -2.39% K -3.46% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.45%EV -11.10% E -3.58% K -5.29% G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-07-01 06:29
Mr Green (SE)	2.15I 46.51% NM 42.46%EV -7.66% E -3.56% K -6.66% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.09%EV -7.78% E -2.39% K -3.46% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.45%EV -11.10% E -3.58% K -5.29% G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-07-01 06:29
William Hill	2.15I 46.51% NM 42.46%EV -7.66% E -3.56% K -6.66% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.09%EV -7.78% E -2.39% K -3.46% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.45%EV -11.10% E -3.58% K -5.29% G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-07-01 06:29
Paddy Power	2.10I 47.62% NM 43.04%EV -9.81% E -4.67% K -8.92% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -12.04% E -3.88% K -5.73% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.81%EV -6.80% E -2.09% K -3.02% G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-06-28 18:58
BoyleSports	2.10I 47.62% NM 42.85%EV -9.81% E -4.67% K -8.92% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.03%EV -12.04% E -3.88% K -5.73% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.12%EV -8.24% E -2.57% K -3.74% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 10:49
Winamax (DE)	2.05I 48.78% NM 42.44%EV -11.95% E -5.83% K -11.38% G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90% NM 29.49%EV -16.30% E -5.52% K -8.36% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 28.07%EV -11.10% E -3.58% K -5.29% G +0.000%	14.9%	2026-06-26 21:59
Sky Bet	2.05I 48.78% NM 42.25%EV -11.95% E -5.83% K -11.38% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 28.87%EV -14.88% E -4.96% K -7.44% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 28.87%EV -13.97% E -4.66% K -6.99% G +0.000%	15.4%	2026-06-28 18:59
Unibet (FR)	2.00I 50.00% NM 42.45%EV -14.10% E -7.05% K -14.10% G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90% NM 28.78%EV -16.30% E -5.52% K -8.36% G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90% NM 28.78%EV -15.40% E -5.22% K -7.90% G +0.000%	17.8%	2026-06-26 21:59
Betclic (FR)	2.00I 50.00% NM 42.45%EV -14.10% E -7.05% K -14.10% G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90% NM 28.78%EV -16.30% E -5.52% K -8.36% G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90% NM 28.78%EV -15.40% E -5.22% K -7.90% G +0.000%	17.8%	2026-06-26 21:59
Winamax (FR)	2.00I 50.00% NM 42.02%EV -14.10% E -7.05% K -14.10% G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09% NM 29.49%EV -19.13% E -6.71% K -10.34% G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90% NM 28.49%EV -15.40% E -5.22% K -7.90% G +0.000%	19.0%	2026-06-26 21:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.00I 50.00% NM 41.29%EV -14.10% E -7.05% K -14.10% G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72% NM 28.68%EV -18.28% E -6.35% K -9.72% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 30.03%EV -21.14% E -7.69% K -12.08% G +0.000%	21.1%	2026-06-28 18:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Internacional (Local)	Cruzeiro (Visit)	Draw	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)	2.24I 44.64%	3.30I 30.30%	3.35I 29.85%	4.8%	2026-07-05 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.18I 45.87%	3.30I 30.30%	3.35I 29.85%	6.0%	2026-07-05 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)	2.18I 45.87%	3.30I 30.30%	3.35I 29.85%	6.0%	2026-07-05 14:10
Smarkets	2.18I 45.87%	3.25I 30.77%	3.30I 30.30%	6.9%	2026-07-05 14:15