The School of Odds
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Internacional v Corinthians

2026-10-07 22:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Internacional (Local)

Prediction 44.08%2.27fair odd
EV -3.47%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.02%44.01%44.13%45.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.062.082.1954.05%48.59%48.08%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Corinthians (Visit)

Prediction 26.73%3.74fair odd
EV -5.10%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.75%26.76%26.70%27.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.383.403.5532.26%29.58%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.19%3.43fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.96%29.23%29.17%30.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.123.133.3033.90%32.07%32.00%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Internacional (Local): 44.08%; Corinthians (Visit): 26.73%; Draw: 29.19%. For Internacional (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.19, with an expected value of -3.47%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.05%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10%EV -3.68%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 17:30
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.68%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 14:08
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.06%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 14:15
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.06%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 14:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -6.55%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.04%EV -8.04%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 17:25
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.68%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 14:09
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 16:30
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 16:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.88%EV -9.20%E -4.46%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.71%EV -6.02%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 13:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -9.20%E -4.46%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-14 13:35
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -9.64%E -4.70%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 14:04
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.64%E -4.70%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 14:11
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.64%E -4.70%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-14 14:10
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -11.84%E -5.92%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -17.13%E -5.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-14 14:06
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94%EV -13.60%E -6.94%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -8.06%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-14 13:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 44.60%EV -14.49%E -7.47%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.04%EV -14.46%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.37%EV -10.98%E -3.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-14 13:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.02%EV -17.13%E -9.11%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 26.29%EV -13.92%E -4.32%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.69%EV -13.90%E -4.71%K -7.13%G +0.000%18.1%2026-09-14 13:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 45.93%EV -18.45%E -9.97%K -21.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.75%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.32%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%17.7%2026-09-14 13:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 44.30%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.86%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.84%16.4%2026-09-14 13:35