La scuola delle quote

Internacional v Chapecoense

Inizio: 2026-03-22 21:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Internacional (Casa)

Previsione 68.33%1.46quota equa
EV -0.241%
Vantaggio -0.165%
Kelly -0.524%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.46

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.74%68.33%68.28%70.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.361.361.4681.97%73.73%73.53%68.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chapecoense (Trasferta)

Previsione 12.35%8.10quota equa
EV +11.14%
Vantaggio +1.24%
Kelly +1.39%
Crescita +0.155%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.70%12.31%12.39%14.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.257.617.509.0016.00%13.14%13.33%11.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 19.32%5.18quota equa
EV +1.45%
Vantaggio +0.275%
Kelly +0.340%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.94%19.36%19.33%22.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.774.805.2526.67%20.95%20.83%19.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.79%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.70%EV +11.14%E +1.24%K +1.39%G +0.155%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.51%EV +0.479%E +0.092%K +0.114%G +0.001%3.9%2026-03-22 21:05
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.79%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.70%EV +11.14%E +1.24%K +1.39%G +0.155%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.51%EV +0.479%E +0.092%K +0.114%G +0.001%3.9%2026-03-22 21:04
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 70.40%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 11.02%EV +8.05%E +0.920%K +1.04%G +0.084%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.58%EV +0.286%E +0.055%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 21:00
Coolbet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.01%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.65%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.94%EV +7.44%E +0.855%K +0.966%G +0.072%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -3.39%E -0.677%K -0.846%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 20:54
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.14%EV -8.44%E -6.30%K -24.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +4.97%E +0.584%K +0.662%G +0.033%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -3.39%E -0.677%K -0.846%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 21:00
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 70.14%EV -8.44%E -6.30%K -24.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +4.97%E +0.584%K +0.662%G +0.033%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -3.39%E -0.677%K -0.846%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 21:05
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.14%EV -8.44%E -6.30%K -24.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +4.97%E +0.584%K +0.662%G +0.033%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -3.39%E -0.677%K -0.846%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 21:05
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 70.14%EV -8.44%E -6.30%K -24.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +4.97%E +0.584%K +0.662%G +0.033%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -3.39%E -0.677%K -0.846%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 21:00
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.14%EV -8.44%E -6.30%K -24.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +4.97%E +0.584%K +0.662%G +0.033%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -3.39%E -0.677%K -0.846%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 21:04
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 70.14%EV -8.44%E -6.30%K -24.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +4.97%E +0.584%K +0.662%G +0.033%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -3.39%E -0.677%K -0.846%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 21:05
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -9.12%E -6.86%K -27.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +4.97%E +0.584%K +0.662%G +0.033%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.39%E -0.677%K -0.846%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.19%EV -9.81%E -7.43%K -30.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV +4.97%E +0.584%K +0.662%G +0.033%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -5.32%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 21:04
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 70.19%EV -9.81%E -7.43%K -30.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV +4.97%E +0.584%K +0.662%G +0.033%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -5.32%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 21:04
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -1.21%E -0.151%K -0.173%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV +1.45%E +0.275%K +0.340%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-22 21:14
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -8.44%E -6.30%K -24.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -1.21%E -0.151%K -0.173%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV +1.45%E +0.275%K +0.340%G +0.005%6.2%2026-03-22 20:45
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -1.21%E -0.151%K -0.173%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -7.25%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 21:14
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -1.21%E -0.151%K -0.173%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 21:24
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -8.44%E -6.30%K -24.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -1.21%E -0.151%K -0.173%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -7.25%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 21:24
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -11.17%E -8.60%K -37.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -1.21%E -0.151%K -0.173%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -7.25%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 21:25
LiveScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -12.54%E -9.80%K -44.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -1.21%E -0.151%K -0.173%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -7.25%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 21:00
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -12.54%E -9.80%K -44.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -1.21%E -0.151%K -0.173%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -7.25%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 21:00
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.27%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.10%EV -2.44%E -0.309%K -0.354%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.63%EV -5.90%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 21:25
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.27%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.10%EV -2.44%E -0.309%K -0.354%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.63%EV -5.90%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 21:25
BetAnything1.40I 71.43%NM 68.27%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.10%EV -2.44%E -0.309%K -0.354%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.63%EV -5.90%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 21:24
GTbets1.34I 74.63%NM 69.32%EV -8.44%E -6.30%K -24.82%G +0.000%7.82I 12.79%NM 11.88%EV -3.43%E -0.439%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 18.80%EV -4.54%E -0.920%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 21:19
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -9.81%E -7.43%K -30.65%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -3.68%E -0.471%K -0.541%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -5.32%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 20:45
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.64%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.02%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.28%EV -6.15%E -0.809%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -10.15%E -2.18%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 21:25
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 68.07%EV -5.02%E -3.61%K -12.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -7.38%E -0.984%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -5.32%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 21:20
Bovada1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -5.02%E -3.61%K -12.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -7.38%E -0.984%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -9.18%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 21:25
BetUS1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -5.02%E -3.61%K -12.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -7.38%E -0.984%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -9.18%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 21:24
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -7.38%E -0.984%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 21:25
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.38%E -0.984%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -11.11%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 21:19
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -7.38%E -0.984%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 21:24
Codere (IT)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.38%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.02%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.75%EV -8.62%E -1.16%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -3.39%E -0.677%K -0.846%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 21:15
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -3.66%E -2.59%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -8.62%E -1.16%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -14.01%E -3.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 21:25
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -3.66%E -2.59%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -8.62%E -1.16%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -14.01%E -3.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 21:24
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 66.52%EV -0.241%E -0.165%K -0.524%G +0.000%7.26I 13.77%NM 13.38%EV -10.35%E -1.43%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 20.11%EV -6.67%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 21:25
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.88%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.11%EV -10.47%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -3.39%E -0.677%K -0.846%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 21:14
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.10%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.02%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.77%EV -10.47%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -11.11%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 21:20
Fliff1.32I 75.76%NM 68.30%EV -9.81%E -7.43%K -30.65%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.52%EV -11.09%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -9.18%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-22 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -13.56%E -1.94%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -3.39%E -0.677%K -0.846%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 21:15
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -13.56%E -1.94%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -3.39%E -0.677%K -0.846%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 21:20
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -13.56%E -1.94%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 21:19
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -13.56%E -1.94%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -14.98%E -3.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 21:24
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -13.56%E -1.94%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 21:14
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -13.56%E -1.94%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 21:20
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -13.56%E -1.94%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 21:20
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -13.56%E -1.94%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 21:19
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -13.56%E -1.94%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 21:20
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -9.12%E -6.86%K -27.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -13.56%E -1.94%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-22 21:24
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 66.79%EV -9.12%E -6.86%K -27.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.69%EV -13.56%E -1.94%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -16.33%E -3.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-22 21:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 64.74%EV -9.12%E -6.86%K -27.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.30%EV -13.56%E -1.94%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.96%EV -27.54%E -7.34%K -10.01%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-22 21:24
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 68.09%EV -10.49%E -8.01%K -33.84%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.93%EV -14.79%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -9.18%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 21:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.75%EV -16.03%E -2.36%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -7.25%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 21:15
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.75%EV -16.03%E -2.36%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -7.25%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 21:14
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 67.45%EV -9.81%E -7.43%K -30.65%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.19%EV -16.64%E -2.47%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -11.11%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-22 21:20
PMU (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 67.97%EV -16.64%E -13.64%K -75.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.29%EV -16.64%E -2.47%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.74%EV -18.84%E -4.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%20.6%2026-03-22 21:24
Parions Sport (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.89%EV -11.86%E -9.19%K -40.89%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.07%EV -17.26%E -2.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.04%EV -11.11%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-22 21:15
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.84%EV -8.44%E -6.30%K -24.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -19.73%E -3.04%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -3.39%E -0.677%K -0.846%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 21:15
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.75%EV -9.81%E -7.43%K -30.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.10%EV -22.82%E -3.65%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.15%EV -11.11%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-22 21:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 69.23%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.59%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.17%0.3%2026-03-22 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.98%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.55%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%0.7%2026-03-22 21:25
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.38%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-03-22 21:25
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 68.79%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-03-22 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.79%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-03-22 21:25
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%2.0%2026-03-22 21:25