La escuela de los momios

Internacional v Chapecoense

Inicio: 2026-03-22 21:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Internacional (Local)

Predicción 68.33%1.46momio equitativo
EV -0.241%
Ventaja -0.165%
Kelly -0.524%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.74%68.33%68.28%70.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.361.361.4681.97%73.73%73.53%68.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chapecoense (Visitante)

Predicción 12.35%8.10momio equitativo
EV +11.14%
Ventaja +1.24%
Kelly +1.39%
Crecimiento +0.155%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.70%12.31%12.39%14.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.257.617.509.0016.00%13.14%13.33%11.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 19.32%5.18momio equitativo
EV +1.45%
Ventaja +0.275%
Kelly +0.340%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.94%19.36%19.33%22.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.774.805.2526.67%20.95%20.83%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.79%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.70%EV +11.14%E +1.24%K +1.39%G +0.155%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.51%EV +0.479%E +0.092%K +0.114%G +0.001%3.9%2026-03-22 21:05
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.79%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.70%EV +11.14%E +1.24%K +1.39%G +0.155%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.51%EV +0.479%E +0.092%K +0.114%G +0.001%3.9%2026-03-22 21:04
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 70.40%EV -6.39%E -4.66%K -17.27%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 11.02%EV +8.05%E +0.920%K +1.04%G +0.084%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.58%EV +0.286%E +0.055%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 21:00
Coolbet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.01%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.65%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.94%EV +7.44%E +0.855%K +0.966%G +0.072%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -3.39%E -0.677%K -0.846%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 20:54
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.14%EV -8.44%E -6.30%K -24.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +4.97%E +0.584%K +0.662%G +0.033%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -3.39%E -0.677%K -0.846%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 21:00
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 70.14%EV -8.44%E -6.30%K -24.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +4.97%E +0.584%K +0.662%G +0.033%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -3.39%E -0.677%K -0.846%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 21:05
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.14%EV -8.44%E -6.30%K -24.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +4.97%E +0.584%K +0.662%G +0.033%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -3.39%E -0.677%K -0.846%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 21:05
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 70.14%EV -8.44%E -6.30%K -24.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +4.97%E +0.584%K +0.662%G +0.033%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -3.39%E -0.677%K -0.846%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 21:00
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.14%EV -8.44%E -6.30%K -24.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +4.97%E +0.584%K +0.662%G +0.033%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -3.39%E -0.677%K -0.846%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 21:04
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 70.14%EV -8.44%E -6.30%K -24.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +4.97%E +0.584%K +0.662%G +0.033%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -3.39%E -0.677%K -0.846%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 21:05
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -9.12%E -6.86%K -27.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +4.97%E +0.584%K +0.662%G +0.033%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.39%E -0.677%K -0.846%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.19%EV -9.81%E -7.43%K -30.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV +4.97%E +0.584%K +0.662%G +0.033%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -5.32%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 21:04
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 70.19%EV -9.81%E -7.43%K -30.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV +4.97%E +0.584%K +0.662%G +0.033%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -5.32%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 21:04
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -1.21%E -0.151%K -0.173%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV +1.45%E +0.275%K +0.340%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-22 21:14
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -8.44%E -6.30%K -24.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -1.21%E -0.151%K -0.173%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV +1.45%E +0.275%K +0.340%G +0.005%6.2%2026-03-22 20:45
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -1.21%E -0.151%K -0.173%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -7.25%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 21:14
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -1.21%E -0.151%K -0.173%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 21:24
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -8.44%E -6.30%K -24.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -1.21%E -0.151%K -0.173%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -7.25%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 21:24
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -11.17%E -8.60%K -37.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -1.21%E -0.151%K -0.173%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -7.25%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 21:25
LiveScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -12.54%E -9.80%K -44.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -1.21%E -0.151%K -0.173%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -7.25%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 21:00
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -12.54%E -9.80%K -44.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -1.21%E -0.151%K -0.173%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -7.25%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 21:00
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.27%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.10%EV -2.44%E -0.309%K -0.354%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.63%EV -5.90%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 21:25
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.27%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.10%EV -2.44%E -0.309%K -0.354%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.63%EV -5.90%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 21:25
BetAnything1.40I 71.43%NM 68.27%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.10%EV -2.44%E -0.309%K -0.354%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.63%EV -5.90%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 21:24
GTbets1.34I 74.63%NM 69.32%EV -8.44%E -6.30%K -24.82%G +0.000%7.82I 12.79%NM 11.88%EV -3.43%E -0.439%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 18.80%EV -4.54%E -0.920%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 21:19
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -9.81%E -7.43%K -30.65%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -3.68%E -0.471%K -0.541%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -5.32%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 20:45
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.64%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.02%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.28%EV -6.15%E -0.809%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -10.15%E -2.18%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 21:25
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 68.07%EV -5.02%E -3.61%K -12.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -7.38%E -0.984%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -5.32%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 21:20
Bovada1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -5.02%E -3.61%K -12.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -7.38%E -0.984%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -9.18%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 21:25
BetUS1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -5.02%E -3.61%K -12.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -7.38%E -0.984%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -9.18%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 21:24
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -7.38%E -0.984%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 21:25
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.38%E -0.984%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -11.11%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 21:19
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -7.38%E -0.984%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 21:24
Codere (IT)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.38%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.02%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.75%EV -8.62%E -1.16%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -3.39%E -0.677%K -0.846%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 21:15
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -3.66%E -2.59%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -8.62%E -1.16%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -14.01%E -3.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 21:25
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -3.66%E -2.59%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -8.62%E -1.16%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -14.01%E -3.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 21:24
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 66.52%EV -0.241%E -0.165%K -0.524%G +0.000%7.26I 13.77%NM 13.38%EV -10.35%E -1.43%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 20.11%EV -6.67%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 21:25
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.88%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.11%EV -10.47%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -3.39%E -0.677%K -0.846%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 21:14
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.10%EV -5.71%E -4.14%K -15.02%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.77%EV -10.47%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -11.11%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 21:20
Fliff1.32I 75.76%NM 68.30%EV -9.81%E -7.43%K -30.65%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.52%EV -11.09%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -9.18%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-22 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -13.56%E -1.94%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -3.39%E -0.677%K -0.846%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 21:15
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -13.56%E -1.94%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -3.39%E -0.677%K -0.846%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 21:20
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -13.56%E -1.94%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 21:19
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -13.56%E -1.94%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -14.98%E -3.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 21:24
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -13.56%E -1.94%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 21:14
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -13.56%E -1.94%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 21:20
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -13.56%E -1.94%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 21:20
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -13.56%E -1.94%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 21:19
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -13.56%E -1.94%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 21:20
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -9.12%E -6.86%K -27.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -13.56%E -1.94%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-22 21:24
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 66.79%EV -9.12%E -6.86%K -27.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.69%EV -13.56%E -1.94%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -16.33%E -3.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-22 21:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 64.74%EV -9.12%E -6.86%K -27.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.30%EV -13.56%E -1.94%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.96%EV -27.54%E -7.34%K -10.01%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-22 21:24
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 68.09%EV -10.49%E -8.01%K -33.84%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.93%EV -14.79%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -9.18%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 21:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.75%EV -16.03%E -2.36%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -7.25%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 21:15
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.75%EV -16.03%E -2.36%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -7.25%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 21:14
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 67.45%EV -9.81%E -7.43%K -30.65%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.19%EV -16.64%E -2.47%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -11.11%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-22 21:20
PMU (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 67.97%EV -16.64%E -13.64%K -75.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.29%EV -16.64%E -2.47%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.74%EV -18.84%E -4.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%20.6%2026-03-22 21:24
Parions Sport (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.89%EV -11.86%E -9.19%K -40.89%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.07%EV -17.26%E -2.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.04%EV -11.11%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-22 21:15
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.84%EV -8.44%E -6.30%K -24.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -19.73%E -3.04%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -3.39%E -0.677%K -0.846%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 21:15
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.75%EV -9.81%E -7.43%K -30.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.10%EV -22.82%E -3.65%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.15%EV -11.11%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-22 21:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 69.23%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.59%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.17%0.3%2026-03-22 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.98%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.55%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%0.7%2026-03-22 21:25
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.38%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-03-22 21:25
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 68.79%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-03-22 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.79%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-03-22 21:25
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%2.0%2026-03-22 21:25