La escuela de los momios

Grêmio v Bragantino-SP

Inicio: 2026-03-13 00:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Grêmio (Local)

Predicción 42.13%2.37momio equitativo
EV -2.67%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -2.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.34%42.13%42.05%43.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.202.202.3151.28%45.42%45.45%43.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bragantino-SP (Visitante)

Predicción 29.56%3.38momio equitativo
EV -0.970%
Ventaja -0.290%
Kelly -0.413%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.46%29.54%29.56%31.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.123.103.3534.72%32.03%32.26%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.31%3.53momio equitativo
EV -0.932%
Ventaja -0.266%
Kelly -0.373%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.21%28.33%28.39%30.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.283.293.5035.71%30.50%30.44%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.94%EV -2.67%E -1.16%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.37%EV -5.70%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%EV -0.932%E -0.266%K -0.373%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-13 00:25
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -3.09%E -1.34%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 00:25
BetAnything2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -3.09%E -1.34%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 00:25
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.24%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.05%EV -1.56%E -0.469%K -0.670%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.71%EV -4.61%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-13 00:05
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.50%EV -3.94%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -0.932%E -0.266%K -0.373%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-13 00:24
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.30%EV -3.94%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.14%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.56%EV -0.932%E -0.266%K -0.373%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 00:25
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -3.94%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 00:25
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -3.94%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 00:25
Bovada2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -4.78%E -2.11%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 00:23
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 42.71%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.84%EV -4.81%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -0.932%E -0.266%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 00:25
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.38%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -0.970%E -0.290%K -0.413%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.16%EV -7.44%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 00:25
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 00:15
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 00:25
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -7.77%E -2.49%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 00:23
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -9.84%E -3.23%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 00:25
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 00:25
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 00:24
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 00:25
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-13 00:25
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -6.04%E -2.71%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 00:14
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -6.04%E -2.71%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 00:15
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.04%E -2.71%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 00:25
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.04%E -2.71%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 00:25
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.04%E -2.71%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 00:24
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.04%E -2.71%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 00:25
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.61%EV -6.46%E -2.91%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-13 00:15
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -6.46%E -2.91%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -6.00%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 00:25
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.29%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -2.45%E -0.742%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -3.20%E -0.935%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 23:34
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.29%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -2.45%E -0.742%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -3.20%E -0.935%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 23:34
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 12:45
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.45%E -0.742%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 23:54
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 00:15
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 00:15
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 00:04
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 00:15
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 00:25
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 00:24
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 00:25
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 00:25
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 00:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -8.15%E -3.74%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 00:14
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -8.57%E -3.95%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 00:24
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -9.84%E -3.23%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-13 00:24
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-13 00:15
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-13 00:25
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-13 00:04
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 41.68%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.87%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -10.84%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-13 00:25
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.08%E -5.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-13 00:05
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.16%EV -9.83%E -4.60%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-13 00:25
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.16%EV -9.83%E -4.60%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-13 00:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -11.52%E -5.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -14.86%E -5.16%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -20.75%E -7.41%K -11.53%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-13 00:24
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.83%EV -12.36%E -5.94%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.50%EV -10.73%E -3.55%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.67%EV -8.86%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-13 00:13
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -13.63%E -6.65%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-13 00:15
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -13.63%E -6.65%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -14.27%E -4.92%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-13 00:14
Unibet (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 43.20%EV -14.47%E -7.13%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.57%EV -9.99%E -3.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-13 00:19
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 42.65%EV -17.84%E -9.15%K -18.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.68%EV -14.27%E -4.92%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.68%EV -17.92%E -6.18%K -9.43%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-12 23:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-03-13 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-03-13 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.1%2026-03-13 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.1%2026-03-13 00:25
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86%1.9%2026-03-13 00:25
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 43.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%3.0%2026-03-13 00:25