Language:English
Fluminense v Coritiba
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fluminense (Local)
Prediction 63.23%1.58fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.871%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.15%63.06%63.36%64.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.481.481.5671.94%67.54%67.57%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Coritiba (Visit)
Prediction 14.60%6.85fair odd
EV +2.23%
Edge +0.318%
Kelly +0.371%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.34%14.66%14.48%16.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.256.407.0018.52%15.99%15.63%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.16%4.51fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -0.930%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.72%22.28%22.16%24.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.094.104.3326.67%24.43%24.39%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fluminense (Local): 63.23%; Coritiba (Visit): 14.60%; Draw: 22.16%. For Coritiba (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.85. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.23%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -8.31%E -5.73%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV +2.23%E +0.318%K +0.371%G +0.008% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.91%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 00:08 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -8.31%E -5.73%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV +2.23%E +0.318%K +0.371%G +0.008% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.91%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 00:08 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.80%EV -6.42%E -4.34%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.67%EV -0.693%E -0.102%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.45%E -3.15%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-01 03:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.42%EV -6.42%E -4.34%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.59%EV -0.693%E -0.102%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -14.67%E -3.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-01 03:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.52%E -2.99%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.76I 14.79%NM 14.21%EV -1.28%E -0.189%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.18%EV -4.03%E -0.930%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-28 07:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.65%EV -5.15%E -3.44%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV -1.42%E -0.211%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -4.69%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 22:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.81%EV -5.79%E -3.88%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.08%EV -1.42%E -0.211%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -4.69%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 22:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.06%EV -6.42%E -4.34%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -1.42%E -0.211%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.90%EV -4.03%E -0.930%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 03:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.41%EV -5.79%E -3.88%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.21%EV -2.88%E -0.434%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.39%EV -6.46%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -5.15%E -3.44%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 6.57I 15.22%NM 14.50%EV -4.05%E -0.617%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -4.03%E -0.930%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -5.15%E -3.44%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 6.57I 15.22%NM 14.50%EV -4.05%E -0.617%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -4.03%E -0.930%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 15:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34%EV -5.15%E -3.44%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 6.57I 15.22%NM 14.46%EV -4.05%E -0.617%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.20%EV -5.13%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.67%EV -7.68%E -5.26%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.19%EV -4.34%E -0.663%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -6.91%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-28 07:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -6.42%E -4.34%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -5.07%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -4.03%E -0.930%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 03:53 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -6.42%E -4.34%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -5.07%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -4.69%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 22:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -6.42%E -4.34%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -5.07%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -4.69%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-27 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -6.42%E -4.34%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -5.07%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.80%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-04 00:31 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -6.42%E -4.34%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -5.07%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.91%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 03:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -6.42%E -4.34%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -5.07%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.91%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 03:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -6.42%E -4.34%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -5.07%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.91%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 03:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -7.05%E -4.80%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -5.07%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -5.80%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 22:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.45%EV -7.05%E -4.80%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -5.07%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -6.91%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -6.42%E -4.34%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -5.07%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.12%E -2.23%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 22:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.10%EV -7.05%E -4.80%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -5.07%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -9.12%E -2.23%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-04 22:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.03%EV -6.42%E -4.34%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.12%EV -5.07%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -14.67%E -3.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-04 00:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.24%EV -10.21%E -7.19%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -5.07%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -6.91%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-03 02:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.95%E -6.21%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -5.07%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-04 22:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.95%E -6.21%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -5.07%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-04 22:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.57%EV -1.36%E -0.871%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -6.53%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.43%EV -9.12%E -2.23%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-26 15:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.57%EV -1.36%E -0.871%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -6.53%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.43%EV -9.12%E -2.23%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-26 15:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -5.79%E -3.88%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -8.73%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.91%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 22:06 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -5.79%E -3.88%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -8.73%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.91%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 22:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.93%EV -6.42%E -4.34%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV -8.73%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.91%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-04 00:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.85%EV -6.42%E -4.34%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.00%EV -9.46%E -1.53%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.91%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 14:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.01%EV -7.05%E -4.80%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.94%EV -9.46%E -1.53%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -6.91%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-01 00:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.26%E -2.13%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -12.38%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 15:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.26%E -2.13%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -12.38%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-28 12:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.26%E -2.13%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -12.38%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 15:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.26%E -2.13%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -12.38%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.26%E -2.13%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -12.38%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 15:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.26%E -2.13%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -12.38%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.15%E -3.44%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -12.38%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.91%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 06:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -6.42%E -4.34%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -12.38%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.12%E -2.23%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 00:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.67%EV -8.95%E -6.21%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -12.38%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.28%EV -10.23%E -2.53%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-01 00:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.95%E -6.21%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.38%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-02 05:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.95%E -6.21%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.38%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-28 08:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.95%E -6.21%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.38%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-28 08:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.95%E -6.21%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.38%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-28 08:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.95%E -6.21%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.38%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-28 08:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.01%EV -12.11%E -8.71%K -31.05%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.10%EV -15.30%E -2.64%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.89%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-05 00:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.43%EV -4.52%E -2.99%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -16.03%E -2.79%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -14.67%E -3.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-26 15:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.15%EV -5.15%E -3.44%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.11%EV -18.22%E -3.25%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -15.77%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-26 15:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.15%EV -5.15%E -3.44%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.11%EV -18.22%E -3.25%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -15.77%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-26 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.15%EV -5.15%E -3.44%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.11%EV -18.22%E -3.25%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -15.77%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-26 15:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.15%EV -5.15%E -3.44%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.11%EV -18.22%E -3.25%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -15.77%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-26 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.15%EV -5.15%E -3.44%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.11%EV -18.22%E -3.25%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -15.77%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-26 15:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.18%EV -8.95%E -6.21%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.99%EV -18.22%E -3.25%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -9.12%E -2.23%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-04 07:08 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.76%EV -8.95%E -6.21%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -19.68%E -3.58%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -16.88%E -4.50%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-04 23:27 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.81%EV -10.21%E -7.19%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -21.14%E -3.91%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-04 07:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.88% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.78% | 0.9% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.83% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.99% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.44% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57% | 13.6% | 2026-10-02 00:35 |