The School of Odds

Fluminense v Bragantino-SP

2026-07-22 20:00 — Brazil Série A

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Fluminense (Local)

1.5962.89%Min
1.6959.07%Mean
1.7158.48%Median
1.8055.56%Max
51.33%1.948Min
54.90%1.822Max
54.14%1.847Mean
54.26%1.843Median
54.26%1.843IQM
54.10%1.849Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.80 under the IQM model: 54.26%

EV -2.32%Edge -1.29%Kelly -2.91%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Bragantino-SP (Visit)

4.0025.00%Min
4.6421.55%Mean
4.7521.05%Median
5.0819.69%Max
18.77%5.328Min
21.05%4.750Max
19.21%5.205Mean
19.15%5.223Median
19.15%5.223IQM
19.19%5.212Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.08 under the IQM model: 19.15%

EV -2.74%Edge -0.539%Kelly -0.671%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

2.8834.72%Min
3.3829.57%Mean
3.4029.41%Median
3.7027.03%Max
25.44%3.930Min
28.87%3.463Max
26.65%3.752Mean
26.59%3.761Median
26.59%3.761IQM
26.72%3.743Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.70 under the IQM model: 26.59%

EV -1.62%Edge -0.437%Kelly -0.599%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

BookmakerFluminense (Local) ▼Bragantino-SP (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Coral1.80I 55.56% NM 52.93%EV -2.32% E -1.29% K -2.91% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 19.05%EV -4.27% E -0.854% K -1.07% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 28.02%EV -9.60% E -2.82% K -4.00% G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 03:30
BetMGM1.77I 56.50% NM 53.35%EV -3.95% E -2.23% K -5.13% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.88%EV -4.27% E -0.854% K -1.07% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.77%EV -9.60% E -2.82% K -4.00% G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-04 03:29
1xBet1.76I 56.82% NM 54.57%EV -4.50% E -2.55% K -5.91% G +0.000%5.08I 19.69% NM 18.90%EV -2.74% E -0.539% K -0.671% G +0.000%3.62I 27.62% NM 26.53%EV -3.75% E -1.03% K -1.43% G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 08:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14% NM 53.63%EV -5.04% E -2.88% K -6.72% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.77%EV -4.27% E -0.854% K -1.07% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.60%EV -9.60% E -2.82% K -4.00% G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-04 03:29
Neds1.75I 57.14% NM 53.63%EV -5.04% E -2.88% K -6.72% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.77%EV -4.27% E -0.854% K -1.07% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.60%EV -9.60% E -2.82% K -4.00% G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-04 03:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14% NM 53.63%EV -5.04% E -2.88% K -6.72% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.77%EV -4.27% E -0.854% K -1.07% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.60%EV -9.60% E -2.82% K -4.00% G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-04 03:30
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80% NM 53.69%EV -6.12% E -3.54% K -8.39% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.76%EV -10.01% E -2.13% K -2.71% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.54%EV -6.94% E -1.98% K -2.77% G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-04 03:30
SportsBet1.72I 58.14% NM 54.74%EV -6.67% E -3.88% K -9.26% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.82%EV -9.05% E -1.91% K -2.41% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.44%EV -1.62% E -0.437% K -0.599% G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-07 12:39
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48% NM 54.61%EV -7.21% E -4.22% K -10.15% G +0.000%4.95I 20.20% NM 18.86%EV -5.23% E -1.06% K -1.32% G +0.000%3.52I 28.41% NM 26.53%EV -6.40% E -1.82% K -2.54% G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 08:09
FanDuel1.69I 59.17% NM 54.90%EV -8.29% E -4.91% K -12.02% G +0.000%4.80I 20.83% NM 19.33%EV -8.10% E -1.69% K -2.13% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.77%EV -4.28% E -1.19% K -1.65% G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-07 12:38
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88% NM 54.11%EV -9.38% E -5.62% K -14.00% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.08%EV -13.84% E -3.08% K -3.95% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.82%EV -6.94% E -1.98% K -2.77% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-07 12:39
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98% NM 53.19%EV -11.01% E -6.71% K -17.20% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 20.77%EV -19.59% E -4.66% K -6.12% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.04%EV -10.92% E -3.26% K -4.65% G +0.000%14.6%2026-06-04 03:30
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73% NM 53.07%EV -12.09% E -7.46% K -19.50% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 20.47%EV -19.59% E -4.66% K -6.12% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 26.46%EV -13.58% E -4.18% K -6.04% G +0.000%16.3%2026-06-07 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73% NM 51.33%EV -12.09% E -7.46% K -19.50% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 19.80%EV -19.59% E -4.66% K -6.12% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 28.87%EV -23.42% E -8.13% K -12.46% G +0.000%20.3%2026-06-07 12:39
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11% NM 53.26%EV -12.63% E -7.85% K -20.71% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 19.94%EV -17.67% E -4.11% K -5.35% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 26.80%EV -14.91% E -4.66% K -6.78% G +0.000%16.6%2026-06-04 03:30
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50% NM 52.63%EV -13.18% E -8.24% K -21.96% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 21.05%EV -23.41% E -5.85% K -7.80% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 26.32%EV -14.91% E -4.66% K -6.78% G +0.000%18.8%2026-06-04 03:29
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89% NM 53.19%EV -13.72% E -8.63% K -23.25% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 20.14%EV -19.59% E -4.66% K -6.12% G +0.000%3.17I 31.55% NM 26.68%EV -15.71% E -4.96% K -7.24% G +0.000%18.2%2026-06-04 03:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerFluminense (Local)Bragantino-SP (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%1.17I 85.47%1.01I 99.01%170.0%2026-06-06 15:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%1.17I 85.47%1.01I 99.01%170.0%2026-06-06 15:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%1.17I 85.47%1.01I 99.01%170.0%2026-06-06 15:49