The School of Odds

Fluminense v Bragantino-SP

2026-07-17 23:00 — Brazil Série A

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (12 in analysis)

Option 1: Fluminense (Local)

1.7058.82%Min
1.8255.06%Mean
1.8554.05%Median
1.9451.55%Max
47.73%2.095Min
53.04%1.885Max
49.49%2.021Mean
49.21%2.032Median
49.30%2.028IQM
49.42%2.024Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.94 under the IQM model: 49.30%

EV -4.36%Edge -2.25%Kelly -4.64%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Bragantino-SP (Visit)

3.4029.41%Min
4.1324.24%Mean
4.1024.39%Median
4.5022.22%Max
20.04%4.990Min
24.71%4.047Max
22.83%4.381Mean
23.04%4.340Median
23.02%4.345IQM
22.84%4.378Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.50 under the IQM model: 23.02%

EV +3.58%Edge +0.795%Kelly +1.02%Growth +0.037%

Option 3: Draw

3.0532.79%Min
3.3330.02%Mean
3.3529.85%Median
3.5028.57%Max
26.81%3.730Min
28.75%3.478Max
27.69%3.612Mean
27.75%3.603Median
27.68%3.612IQM
27.74%3.605Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.50 under the IQM model: 27.68%

EV -3.10%Edge -0.887%Kelly -1.24%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

BookmakerFluminense (Local)Bragantino-SP (Visit) ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82% NM 53.04%EV -16.19% E -9.53% K -23.13% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.04%EV +3.58% E +0.795% K +1.02% G +0.037%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.92%EV -7.26% E -2.17% K -3.09% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-25 03:20
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82% NM 53.04%EV -16.19% E -9.53% K -23.13% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.04%EV +3.58% E +0.795% K +1.02% G +0.037%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.92%EV -7.26% E -2.17% K -3.09% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-25 03:30
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82% NM 53.04%EV -16.19% E -9.53% K -23.13% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.04%EV +3.58% E +0.795% K +1.02% G +0.037%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.92%EV -7.26% E -2.17% K -3.09% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-25 03:29
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82% NM 53.04%EV -16.19% E -9.53% K -23.13% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.04%EV +3.58% E +0.795% K +1.02% G +0.037%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.92%EV -7.26% E -2.17% K -3.09% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-25 03:30
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82% NM 53.04%EV -16.19% E -9.53% K -23.13% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.04%EV +3.58% E +0.795% K +1.02% G +0.037%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.92%EV -7.26% E -2.17% K -3.09% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-25 03:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82% NM 53.04%EV -16.19% E -9.53% K -23.13% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.04%EV +3.58% E +0.795% K +1.02% G +0.037%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.92%EV -7.26% E -2.17% K -3.09% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-25 03:29
Casumo1.70I 58.82% NM 53.04%EV -16.19% E -9.53% K -23.13% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.04%EV +3.58% E +0.795% K +1.02% G +0.037%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.92%EV -7.26% E -2.17% K -3.09% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-25 03:29
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82% NM 53.04%EV -16.19% E -9.53% K -23.13% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.04%EV +3.58% E +0.795% K +1.02% G +0.037%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.92%EV -7.26% E -2.17% K -3.09% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-25 03:29
TABtouch1.70I 58.82% NM 53.04%EV -16.19% E -9.53% K -23.13% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.04%EV +3.58% E +0.795% K +1.02% G +0.037%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.92%EV -7.26% E -2.17% K -3.09% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-25 03:29
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82% NM 53.04%EV -16.19% E -9.53% K -23.13% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.04%EV +3.58% E +0.795% K +1.02% G +0.037%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.92%EV -7.26% E -2.17% K -3.09% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-25 03:29
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82% NM 53.04%EV -16.19% E -9.53% K -23.13% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.04%EV +3.58% E +0.795% K +1.02% G +0.037%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.92%EV -7.26% E -2.17% K -3.09% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-25 03:30
Unibet1.70I 58.82% NM 53.04%EV -16.19% E -9.53% K -23.13% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.04%EV +3.58% E +0.795% K +1.02% G +0.037%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.92%EV -7.26% E -2.17% K -3.09% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-25 03:39
BetRivers1.70I 58.82% NM 53.04%EV -16.19% E -9.53% K -23.13% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.04%EV +3.58% E +0.795% K +1.02% G +0.037%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.92%EV -7.26% E -2.17% K -3.09% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-25 06:40
betPARX1.70I 58.82% NM 53.04%EV -16.19% E -9.53% K -23.13% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.04%EV +3.58% E +0.795% K +1.02% G +0.037%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.92%EV -7.26% E -2.17% K -3.09% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-25 08:59
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55% NM 49.06%EV -4.36% E -2.25% K -4.64% G +0.000%4.29I 23.31% NM 22.19%EV -1.26% E -0.293% K -0.382% G +0.000%3.31I 30.21% NM 28.75%EV -8.36% E -2.53% K -3.62% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 13:50
1xBet1.94I 51.55% NM 49.40%EV -4.36% E -2.25% K -4.64% G +0.000%4.26I 23.47% NM 22.50%EV -1.95% E -0.457% K -0.597% G +0.000%3.41I 29.33% NM 28.10%EV -5.60% E -1.64% K -2.32% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 13:45
Coral1.91I 52.36% NM 49.99%EV -5.84% E -3.06% K -6.42% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.73%EV -3.33% E -0.792% K -1.04% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 27.28%EV -3.10% E -0.887% K -1.24% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 02:48
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91% NM 49.39%EV -6.83% E -3.61% K -7.67% G +0.000%4.15I 24.10% NM 22.49%EV -4.48% E -1.08% K -1.42% G +0.000%3.32I 30.12% NM 28.12%EV -8.09% E -2.44% K -3.49% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 13:44
BetMGM1.91I 52.36% NM 49.71%EV -5.84% E -3.06% K -6.42% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 23.16%EV -5.63% E -1.37% K -1.82% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 27.13%EV -3.10% E -0.887% K -1.24% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 02:50
Bovada1.91I 52.36% NM 49.52%EV -5.84% E -3.06% K -6.42% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 23.07%EV -5.63% E -1.37% K -1.82% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 27.41%EV -4.49% E -1.30% K -1.83% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 13:46
Fanatics1.91I 52.36% NM 49.32%EV -5.84% E -3.06% K -6.42% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.98%EV -5.63% E -1.37% K -1.82% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.71%EV -5.87% E -1.73% K -2.45% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 00:30
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05% NM 49.71%EV -8.80% E -4.76% K -10.35% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.43%EV -5.63% E -1.37% K -1.82% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.87%EV -8.64% E -2.62% K -3.76% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-04 13:40
SportsBet1.90I 52.63% NM 49.56%EV -6.33% E -3.33% K -7.04% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.54%EV -7.93% E -1.98% K -2.64% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.90%EV -3.10% E -0.887% K -1.24% G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 06:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36% NM 49.04%EV -5.84% E -3.06% K -6.42% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.42%EV -7.93% E -1.98% K -2.64% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.55%EV -5.87% E -1.73% K -2.45% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 02:50
Neds1.91I 52.36% NM 49.04%EV -5.84% E -3.06% K -6.42% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.42%EV -7.93% E -1.98% K -2.64% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.55%EV -5.87% E -1.73% K -2.45% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 02:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36% NM 49.04%EV -5.84% E -3.06% K -6.42% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.42%EV -7.93% E -1.98% K -2.64% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.55%EV -5.87% E -1.73% K -2.45% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 02:49
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05% NM 49.22%EV -8.80% E -4.76% K -10.35% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.76%EV -7.93% E -1.98% K -2.64% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.02%EV -10.03% E -3.08% K -4.46% G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-01 02:49
888sport1.85I 54.05% NM 49.22%EV -8.80% E -4.76% K -10.35% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.76%EV -7.93% E -1.98% K -2.64% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.02%EV -10.03% E -3.08% K -4.46% G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-01 02:50
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05% NM 49.22%EV -8.80% E -4.76% K -10.35% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.76%EV -7.93% E -1.98% K -2.64% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.02%EV -10.03% E -3.08% K -4.46% G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-01 02:49
William Hill1.85I 54.05% NM 49.22%EV -8.80% E -4.76% K -10.35% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.76%EV -7.93% E -1.98% K -2.64% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.02%EV -10.03% E -3.08% K -4.46% G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-01 02:50
DraftKings1.91I 52.36% NM 48.28%EV -5.84% E -3.06% K -6.42% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 23.35%EV -9.08% E -2.30% K -3.08% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.37%EV -10.03% E -3.08% K -4.46% G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-03 23:05
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63% NM 48.88%EV -6.33% E -3.33% K -7.04% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.81%EV -10.23% E -2.62% K -3.53% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.31%EV -5.87% E -1.73% K -2.45% G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 15:33
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36% NM 48.34%EV -5.84% E -3.06% K -6.42% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.68%EV -10.23% E -2.62% K -3.53% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.98%EV -8.64% E -2.62% K -3.76% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 00:00
FanDuel1.83I 54.64% NM 49.81%EV -9.78% E -5.35% K -11.79% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.37%EV -10.23% E -2.62% K -3.53% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.81%EV -5.87% E -1.73% K -2.45% G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-26 06:38
Bet Right1.92I 52.08% NM 48.46%EV -5.35% E -2.79% K -5.81% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 24.17%EV -11.38% E -2.96% K -3.99% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.37%EV -5.87% E -1.73% K -2.45% G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 06:39
LeoVegas1.90I 52.63% NM 48.33%EV -6.33% E -3.33% K -7.04% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 23.85%EV -11.38% E -2.96% K -3.99% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.82%EV -8.64% E -2.62% K -3.76% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 13:35
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05% NM 48.84%EV -8.80% E -4.76% K -10.35% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 23.78%EV -12.53% E -3.30% K -4.48% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.38%EV -8.64% E -2.62% K -3.76% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-26 06:39
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64% NM 49.11%EV -9.78% E -5.35% K -11.79% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 23.65%EV -12.53% E -3.30% K -4.48% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.24%EV -8.64% E -2.62% K -3.76% G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 10:49
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18% NM 48.44%EV -12.25% E -6.88% K -15.70% G +0.000%3.63I 27.55% NM 23.75%EV -16.45% E -4.53% K -6.25% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 27.81%EV -14.18% E -4.57% K -6.75% G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-04 00:00
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18% NM 48.34%EV -12.25% E -6.88% K -15.70% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 23.90%EV -17.14% E -4.76% K -6.59% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 27.76%EV -14.18% E -4.57% K -6.75% G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-04 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56% NM 46.67%EV -11.26% E -6.26% K -14.08% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 23.33%EV -17.14% E -4.76% K -6.59% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 30.00%EV -22.48% E -8.03% K -12.49% G +0.000%19.0%2026-06-26 06:39
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56% NM 48.32%EV -11.26% E -6.26% K -14.08% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 24.50%EV -18.29% E -5.15% K -7.17% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 27.18%EV -11.41% E -3.57% K -5.19% G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-03 23:59
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56% NM 47.73%EV -11.26% E -6.26% K -14.08% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 24.55%EV -19.44% E -5.55% K -7.78% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 27.72%EV -14.18% E -4.57% K -6.75% G +0.000%16.4%2026-06-26 06:39
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82% NM 47.74%EV -13.24% E -7.52% K -17.41% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 24.71%EV -21.74% E -6.39% K -9.06% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 27.55%EV -15.56% E -5.10% K -7.59% G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-04 00:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerFluminense (Local)Bragantino-SP (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%3.85I 25.97%3.65I 27.40%4.1%2026-07-05 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%3.85I 25.97%3.65I 27.40%4.1%2026-07-05 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%3.85I 25.97%3.20I 31.25%8.0%2026-07-05 12:30
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%3.10I 32.26%3.30I 30.30%14.1%2026-07-05 13:45