The School of Odds

Fluminense v Bragantino-SP

Kickoff: 2026-07-17 23:00 UTC

Final: Fluminense 1–1 Bragantino-SP

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

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Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Fluminense (Local)

Prediction 51.14%1.96fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -4.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.65%51.20%51.10%52.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.741.821.831.8857%55%55%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Bragantino-SP (Visit)

Prediction 21.71%4.61fair odd
EV +2.48%
Edge +0.526%
Kelly +0.667%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 4.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.21%21.71%21.76%23.23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.804.324.334.7226%23%23%21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.15%3.68fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -0.631%
Kelly -0.873%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.09%27.09%27.14%27.86%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.203.423.403.6031%29%29%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.70%EV -7.44%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.21%EV +2.48%E +0.526%K +0.667%G +0.017%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.10%EV -4.44%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:35
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.70%EV -7.44%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.21%EV +2.48%E +0.526%K +0.667%G +0.017%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.10%EV -4.44%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:34
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 52.70%EV -7.44%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.21%EV +2.48%E +0.526%K +0.667%G +0.017%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.10%EV -4.44%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:34
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 52.70%EV -7.44%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.21%EV +2.48%E +0.526%K +0.667%G +0.017%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.10%EV -4.44%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:34
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.20%EV -4.88%E -2.62%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.75%EV +1.61%E +0.345%K +0.439%G +0.007%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.05%EV -2.54%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-17 22:49
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.51%EV -3.86%E -2.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.05%EV -0.123%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.43%EV -4.17%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-17 22:35
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.39%EV -3.86%E -2.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.00%EV -0.123%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -4.99%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-17 22:39
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.39%EV -3.86%E -2.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.00%EV -0.123%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -4.99%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-17 22:39
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.22%EV -4.88%E -2.62%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -2.29%E -0.510%K -0.655%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 22:49
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.83%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -2.29%E -0.510%K -0.655%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -4.99%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 22:34
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -2.29%E -0.510%K -0.655%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 22:39
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -2.29%E -0.510%K -0.655%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 22:39
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -2.29%E -0.510%K -0.655%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 22:39
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -2.29%E -0.510%K -0.655%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 22:39
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -2.29%E -0.510%K -0.655%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 22:39
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -2.29%E -0.510%K -0.655%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 22:39
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -6.92%E -3.80%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -2.29%E -0.510%K -0.655%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-17 22:39
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -9.48%E -5.36%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -2.29%E -0.510%K -0.655%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-17 22:34
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.24%EV -4.37%E -2.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%EV -4.47%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -3.63%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 22:54
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.47%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 22:19
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 51.45%EV -7.44%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -4.47%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.38%EV -7.95%E -4.42%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -4.47%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-17 22:39
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -9.48%E -5.36%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -4.47%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 22:14
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.94%EV -4.37%E -2.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.85%EV -5.33%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -4.99%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 13:10
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.46%EV -9.48%E -5.36%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -5.55%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-17 22:39
PMU (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.46%EV -9.48%E -5.36%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -5.55%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-17 22:39
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.46%EV -9.48%E -5.36%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -5.55%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-17 22:39
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -5.99%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.99%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 22:47
betano_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -5.99%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.99%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 22:48
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -5.99%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 22:34
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -5.99%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 22:49
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -4.37%E -2.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -6.64%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-17 22:25
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.05%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.64%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -4.99%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 22:24
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.05%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.64%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -4.99%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 22:24
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.92%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -7.72%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.99%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 22:24
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -7.72%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -8.24%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 22:34
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -8.81%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -2.27%E -0.631%K -0.873%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 22:34
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -8.81%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -2.27%E -0.631%K -0.873%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.81%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -4.99%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 22:34
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.81%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -4.99%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 22:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.81%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -4.99%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 22:34
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -10.50%E -6.00%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.81%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -4.99%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 22:25
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -7.95%E -4.42%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.81%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-17 22:49
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -7.95%E -4.42%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.81%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-17 22:49
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -7.95%E -4.42%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.81%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-17 22:49
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -7.95%E -4.42%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.81%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-17 22:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.50%E -6.00%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -8.81%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-17 22:49
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.50%E -6.00%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -8.81%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-17 22:50
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -3.86%E -2.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -9.89%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 22:35
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -3.86%E -2.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -9.89%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 22:34
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -10.98%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 22:34
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -10.98%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-17 22:20
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.94%EV -9.48%E -5.36%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -10.98%E -2.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.07%EV -9.60%E -2.88%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 22:34
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -13.15%E -3.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.99%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 22:34
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -13.15%E -3.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.99%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 22:34
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.15%E -3.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 22:33
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -7.95%E -4.42%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -13.15%E -3.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 22:24
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.96%EV -11.02%E -6.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -13.15%E -3.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-17 22:34
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.39%EV -10.50%E -6.00%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -13.15%E -3.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-17 22:54
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.37%EV -11.02%E -6.33%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -17.49%E -4.60%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-17 22:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.94%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.35%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-07-17 22:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%0.5%2026-07-17 22:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%0.8%2026-07-17 22:54
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 51.85%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51%1.0%2026-07-17 22:54
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.76%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.32%1.7%2026-07-17 22:54
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.92%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%1.9%2026-07-17 22:34