La scuola delle quote

Flamengo v Mirassol

Inizio: 2026-02-25 21:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Flamengo (Casa)

Previsione 66.59%1.50quota equa
EV -4.11%
Vantaggio -2.86%
Kelly -9.35%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.01%66.50%66.51%67.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.281.391.401.4478.13%71.93%71.43%69.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Mirassol (Trasferta)

Previsione 11.63%8.60quota equa
EV +2.31%
Vantaggio +0.263%
Kelly +0.296%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.72%11.70%11.54%14.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.507.788.008.8015.38%12.85%12.50%11.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 21.79%4.59quota equa
EV -1.96%
Vantaggio -0.437%
Kelly -0.561%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.63%21.80%21.95%23.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.234.304.5027.78%23.65%23.26%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Codere (IT)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.35%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.72%EV +2.31%E +0.263%K +0.296%G +0.007%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.32%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 13:39
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.98%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.88%EV +1.73%E +0.198%K +0.223%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -1.96%E -0.437%K -0.561%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-20 16:15
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.68%EV -4.11%E -2.86%K -9.35%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV +1.15%E +0.132%K +0.149%G +0.002%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.28%EV -6.10%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 22:50
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.20%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV -1.18%E -0.138%K -0.157%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.73%EV -5.67%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 04:14
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.93%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -1.18%E -0.138%K -0.157%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -7.41%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-23 13:40
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 66.79%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.91%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.21%EV -2.34%E -0.278%K -0.316%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.00%EV -6.76%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 22:30
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.78%E -3.34%K -11.11%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.53%EV -4.08%E -0.495%K -0.563%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.96%EV -5.67%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 04:14
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.20%EV -8.11%E -5.88%K -21.34%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.24%EV -4.08%E -0.495%K -0.563%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -6.32%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-20 16:10
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.11%E -2.86%K -9.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.00%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.96%E -0.437%K -0.561%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-20 05:50
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.11%E -2.86%K -9.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.00%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.96%E -0.437%K -0.561%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-20 05:50
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 66.49%EV -5.45%E -3.83%K -12.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%EV -5.23%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.49%EV -5.45%E -3.83%K -12.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%EV -5.23%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.49%EV -5.45%E -3.83%K -12.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%EV -5.23%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 05:40
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 66.49%EV -5.45%E -3.83%K -12.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%EV -5.23%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.49%EV -5.45%E -3.83%K -12.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%EV -5.23%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 05:40
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 66.49%EV -5.45%E -3.83%K -12.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%EV -5.23%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 05:50
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.96%E -0.437%K -0.561%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 15:44
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.96%E -0.437%K -0.561%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-20 21:50
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.58%EV -5.67%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 04:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.58%EV -5.67%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 04:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.58%EV -5.67%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 04:14
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -8.11%E -5.88%K -21.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -4.14%E -0.942%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-23 21:03
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -8.11%E -5.88%K -21.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -4.14%E -0.942%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 16:10
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.76%EV -8.77%E -6.40%K -23.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.96%E -0.437%K -0.561%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 21:24
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -12.86%E -3.21%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 23:04
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -12.86%E -3.21%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 23:00
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -12.86%E -3.21%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-20 16:35
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -12.86%E -3.21%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 23:05
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -12.86%E -3.21%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 23:04
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -9.44%E -6.94%K -26.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -12.86%E -3.21%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-21 20:40
Fliff1.35I 74.07%NM 66.74%EV -10.11%E -7.49%K -28.88%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.55%EV -9.31%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.71%EV -9.59%E -2.31%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-23 07:00
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.03%EV -11.44%E -8.60%K -34.66%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.33%EV -9.90%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.63%EV -15.47%E -3.99%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-21 20:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.87%EV -11.44%E -8.60%K -34.66%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 11.38%EV -10.48%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.75%EV -16.13%E -4.19%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-23 13:40
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -4.78%E -3.34%K -11.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -12.80%E -1.71%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.50%E -2.02%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 18:34
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -12.80%E -1.71%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -4.14%E -0.942%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 18:24
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 65.97%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -12.80%E -1.71%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -6.32%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-20 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.96%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -12.80%E -1.71%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -7.41%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-20 05:40
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.28%EV -8.11%E -5.88%K -21.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -12.80%E -1.71%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -7.41%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-20 13:20
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.44%EV -9.44%E -6.94%K -26.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -12.80%E -1.71%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -8.50%E -2.02%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-23 15:44
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 66.44%EV -9.44%E -6.94%K -26.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -12.80%E -1.71%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -8.50%E -2.02%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-20 05:40
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.44%EV -9.44%E -6.94%K -26.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -12.80%E -1.71%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -8.50%E -2.02%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-20 05:40
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.44%EV -9.44%E -6.94%K -26.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -12.80%E -1.71%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -8.50%E -2.02%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 65.21%EV -12.77%E -9.75%K -41.19%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 11.70%EV -15.13%E -2.07%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.09%EV -19.39%E -5.24%K -7.18%G +0.000%17.1%2026-02-23 13:50
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.99%EV -10.11%E -7.49%K -28.88%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.29%EV -15.71%E -2.17%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.73%EV -10.68%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-23 13:39
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.44%E -6.94%K -26.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -18.62%E -2.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -12.86%E -3.21%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-23 15:43
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 65.49%EV -12.10%E -9.17%K -37.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.35%EV -18.62%E -2.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.16%EV -15.04%E -3.86%K -5.18%G +0.000%15.7%2026-02-23 13:40
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -4.11%E -2.86%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.62%EV -19.78%E -2.87%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -3.05%E -0.686%K -0.885%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 04:25
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -4.11%E -2.86%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.62%EV -19.78%E -2.87%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -3.05%E -0.686%K -0.885%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 04:24
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 66.24%EV -14.77%E -11.54%K -52.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.56%EV -21.52%E -3.19%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.20%EV -12.86%E -3.21%K -4.29%G +0.000%17.9%2026-02-23 21:05
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 64.73%EV -5.45%E -3.83%K -12.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -24.43%E -3.76%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -5.23%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 04:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.01%EV -9.44%E -6.94%K -26.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.18%EV -24.43%E -3.76%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.80%EV -21.57%E -5.99%K -8.30%G +0.000%16.7%2026-02-23 15:43
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-02-24 06:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-02-24 06:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-02-24 06:39