L’École des cotes

Flamengo v Mirassol

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-25 21:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Flamengo (Local)

Prévision 66.59%1.50cote équitable
EV -4.11%
Avantage -2.86%
Kelly -9.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.01%66.50%66.51%67.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.391.401.4478.13%71.93%71.43%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mirassol (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.63%8.60cote équitable
EV +2.31%
Avantage +0.263%
Kelly +0.296%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 8.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.72%11.70%11.54%14.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.507.788.008.8015.38%12.85%12.50%11.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.79%4.59cote équitable
EV -1.96%
Avantage -0.437%
Kelly -0.561%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.63%21.80%21.95%23.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.234.304.5027.78%23.65%23.26%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Codere (IT)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.35%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.72%EV +2.31%E +0.263%K +0.296%G +0.007%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.32%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 13:39
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.98%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.88%EV +1.73%E +0.198%K +0.223%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -1.96%E -0.437%K -0.561%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-20 16:15
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.68%EV -4.11%E -2.86%K -9.35%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV +1.15%E +0.132%K +0.149%G +0.002%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.28%EV -6.10%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 22:50
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.20%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV -1.18%E -0.138%K -0.157%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.73%EV -5.67%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 04:14
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.93%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -1.18%E -0.138%K -0.157%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -7.41%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-23 13:40
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 66.79%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.91%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.21%EV -2.34%E -0.278%K -0.316%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.00%EV -6.76%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 22:30
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.78%E -3.34%K -11.11%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.53%EV -4.08%E -0.495%K -0.563%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.96%EV -5.67%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 04:14
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.20%EV -8.11%E -5.88%K -21.34%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.24%EV -4.08%E -0.495%K -0.563%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -6.32%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-20 16:10
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.11%E -2.86%K -9.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.00%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.96%E -0.437%K -0.561%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-20 05:50
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.11%E -2.86%K -9.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.00%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.96%E -0.437%K -0.561%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-20 05:50
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 66.49%EV -5.45%E -3.83%K -12.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%EV -5.23%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.49%EV -5.45%E -3.83%K -12.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%EV -5.23%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.49%EV -5.45%E -3.83%K -12.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%EV -5.23%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 05:40
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 66.49%EV -5.45%E -3.83%K -12.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%EV -5.23%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.49%EV -5.45%E -3.83%K -12.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%EV -5.23%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 05:40
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 66.49%EV -5.45%E -3.83%K -12.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%EV -5.23%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 05:50
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.96%E -0.437%K -0.561%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 15:44
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.96%E -0.437%K -0.561%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-20 21:50
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.58%EV -5.67%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 04:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.58%EV -5.67%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 04:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.58%EV -5.67%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 04:14
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -8.11%E -5.88%K -21.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -4.14%E -0.942%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-23 21:03
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -8.11%E -5.88%K -21.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -4.14%E -0.942%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 16:10
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.76%EV -8.77%E -6.40%K -23.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.96%E -0.437%K -0.561%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 21:24
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -12.86%E -3.21%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 23:04
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -12.86%E -3.21%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 23:00
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -12.86%E -3.21%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-20 16:35
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -12.86%E -3.21%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 23:05
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -12.86%E -3.21%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 23:04
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -9.44%E -6.94%K -26.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -6.99%E -0.874%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -12.86%E -3.21%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-21 20:40
Fliff1.35I 74.07%NM 66.74%EV -10.11%E -7.49%K -28.88%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.55%EV -9.31%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.71%EV -9.59%E -2.31%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-23 07:00
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.03%EV -11.44%E -8.60%K -34.66%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.33%EV -9.90%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.63%EV -15.47%E -3.99%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-21 20:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.87%EV -11.44%E -8.60%K -34.66%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 11.38%EV -10.48%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.75%EV -16.13%E -4.19%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-23 13:40
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -4.78%E -3.34%K -11.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -12.80%E -1.71%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.50%E -2.02%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 18:34
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -12.80%E -1.71%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -4.14%E -0.942%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 18:24
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 65.97%EV -6.11%E -4.33%K -14.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -12.80%E -1.71%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -6.32%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-20 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.96%EV -6.78%E -4.84%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -12.80%E -1.71%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -7.41%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-20 05:40
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.28%EV -8.11%E -5.88%K -21.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -12.80%E -1.71%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -7.41%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-20 13:20
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.44%EV -9.44%E -6.94%K -26.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -12.80%E -1.71%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -8.50%E -2.02%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-23 15:44
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 66.44%EV -9.44%E -6.94%K -26.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -12.80%E -1.71%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -8.50%E -2.02%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-20 05:40
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.44%EV -9.44%E -6.94%K -26.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -12.80%E -1.71%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -8.50%E -2.02%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-20 05:40
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.44%EV -9.44%E -6.94%K -26.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -12.80%E -1.71%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -8.50%E -2.02%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 65.21%EV -12.77%E -9.75%K -41.19%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 11.70%EV -15.13%E -2.07%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.09%EV -19.39%E -5.24%K -7.18%G +0.000%17.1%2026-02-23 13:50
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.99%EV -10.11%E -7.49%K -28.88%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.29%EV -15.71%E -2.17%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.73%EV -10.68%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-23 13:39
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.44%E -6.94%K -26.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -18.62%E -2.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -12.86%E -3.21%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-23 15:43
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 65.49%EV -12.10%E -9.17%K -37.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.35%EV -18.62%E -2.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.16%EV -15.04%E -3.86%K -5.18%G +0.000%15.7%2026-02-23 13:40
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -4.11%E -2.86%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.62%EV -19.78%E -2.87%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -3.05%E -0.686%K -0.885%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 04:25
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -4.11%E -2.86%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.62%EV -19.78%E -2.87%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -3.05%E -0.686%K -0.885%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 04:24
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 66.24%EV -14.77%E -11.54%K -52.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.56%EV -21.52%E -3.19%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.20%EV -12.86%E -3.21%K -4.29%G +0.000%17.9%2026-02-23 21:05
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 64.73%EV -5.45%E -3.83%K -12.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -24.43%E -3.76%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -5.23%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 04:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.01%EV -9.44%E -6.94%K -26.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.18%EV -24.43%E -3.76%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.80%EV -21.57%E -5.99%K -8.30%G +0.000%16.7%2026-02-23 15:43
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-02-24 06:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-02-24 06:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-02-24 06:39