La scuola delle quote

Flamengo v Bahia

Inizio: 2026-04-19 22:30 UTC

Finale: Flamengo 2–0 Bahia

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Flamengo (Casa)

Previsione 64.48%1.55quota equa
EV -3.28%
Vantaggio -2.18%
Kelly -6.55%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.85%64.55%64.42%68.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.421.441.5075.76%70.22%69.44%66.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Bahia (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.58%6.86quota equa
EV +23.90%
Vantaggio +2.81%
Kelly +3.19%
Crescita +0.762%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.41%14.42%14.63%16.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.406.766.508.5018.52%14.80%15.38%11.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 20.94%4.78quota equa
EV +2.61%
Vantaggio +0.533%
Kelly +0.670%
Crescita +0.018%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.61%21.03%20.95%23.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.474.504.9027.78%22.38%22.22%20.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.79%EV -9.08%E -6.44%K -22.15%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +23.90%E +2.81%K +3.19%G +0.762%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +2.61%E +0.533%K +0.670%G +0.018%3.1%2026-04-19 22:25
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 68.79%EV -9.08%E -6.44%K -22.15%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +23.90%E +2.81%K +3.19%G +0.762%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +2.61%E +0.533%K +0.670%G +0.018%3.1%2026-04-19 22:25
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -11.01%E -7.98%K -28.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +16.61%E +2.08%K +2.37%G +0.394%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -1.58%E -0.335%K -0.426%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 22:05
Unibet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.51%EV -11.66%E -8.51%K -31.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV +16.61%E +2.08%K +2.37%G +0.394%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -0.528%E -0.111%K -0.141%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 22:25
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -12.30%E -9.05%K -34.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +16.61%E +2.08%K +2.37%G +0.394%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -0.528%E -0.111%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 22:25
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -12.30%E -9.05%K -34.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +16.61%E +2.08%K +2.37%G +0.394%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -0.528%E -0.111%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 22:25
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -12.30%E -9.05%K -34.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +16.61%E +2.08%K +2.37%G +0.394%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -0.528%E -0.111%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 22:25
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -12.30%E -9.05%K -34.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +16.61%E +2.08%K +2.37%G +0.394%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -0.528%E -0.111%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 22:25
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -12.30%E -9.05%K -34.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +16.61%E +2.08%K +2.37%G +0.394%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -0.528%E -0.111%K -0.141%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.68%EV -12.95%E -9.59%K -37.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +16.61%E +2.08%K +2.37%G +0.394%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -1.58%E -0.335%K -0.426%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 22:25
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 68.84%EV -13.59%E -10.14%K -39.98%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV +16.61%E +2.08%K +2.37%G +0.394%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -1.58%E -0.335%K -0.426%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 22:25
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -14.24%E -10.71%K -43.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +16.61%E +2.08%K +2.37%G +0.394%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -3.67%E -0.798%K -1.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 22:25
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -14.24%E -10.71%K -43.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +16.61%E +2.08%K +2.37%G +0.394%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -3.67%E -0.798%K -1.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 22:25
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -14.88%E -11.28%K -46.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV +9.32%E +1.24%K +1.43%G +0.134%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -3.67%E -0.798%K -1.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 22:25
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -14.88%E -11.28%K -46.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV +9.32%E +1.24%K +1.43%G +0.134%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -3.67%E -0.798%K -1.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 22:25
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 65.76%EV -5.21%E -3.55%K -11.09%G +0.000%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.54%EV +4.08%E +0.571%K +0.664%G +0.027%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.70%EV -2.20%E -0.472%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 22:20
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.46%EV -4.57%E -3.09%K -9.51%G +0.000%7.07I 14.14%NM 13.70%EV +3.06%E +0.432%K +0.503%G +0.015%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.84%EV -2.62%E -0.564%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-19 22:20
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 65.97%EV -7.15%E -4.96%K -16.24%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.51%EV +2.47%E +0.352%K +0.410%G +0.010%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.52%EV -3.04%E -0.657%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 22:25
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 65.97%EV -7.15%E -4.96%K -16.24%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.51%EV +2.47%E +0.352%K +0.410%G +0.010%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.52%EV -3.04%E -0.657%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 22:25
BetAnything1.44I 69.44%NM 65.97%EV -7.15%E -4.96%K -16.24%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.51%EV +2.47%E +0.352%K +0.410%G +0.010%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.52%EV -3.04%E -0.657%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 22:25
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -7.15%E -4.96%K -16.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +2.04%E +0.291%K +0.339%G +0.007%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 22:05
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -9.73%E -6.95%K -24.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV +2.04%E +0.291%K +0.339%G +0.007%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 22:05
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.55%EV -3.28%E -2.18%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.02%EV -0.880%E -0.129%K -0.152%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%EV -11.00%E -2.59%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 14:09
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.15%E -4.96%K -16.24%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -1.61%E -0.238%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 22:17
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.15%E -4.96%K -16.24%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -1.61%E -0.238%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 22:20
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 64.53%EV -6.50%E -4.48%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -1.61%E -0.238%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -9.32%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 22:10
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.24%EV -7.79%E -5.45%K -18.12%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.03%EV -3.07%E -0.461%K -0.543%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 22:25
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -4.57%E -3.09%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -5.25%E -0.808%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 21:25
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 63.94%EV -4.57%E -3.09%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -5.25%E -0.808%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -7.86%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 22:01
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.50%E -4.48%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -5.25%E -0.808%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 22:15
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -7.15%E -4.96%K -16.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.25%E -0.808%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 22:20
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 64.19%EV -6.50%E -4.48%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -5.25%E -0.808%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -9.32%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 22:04
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -9.73%E -6.95%K -24.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -5.25%E -0.808%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.05%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 22:05
Codere (IT)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.25%EV -5.21%E -3.55%K -11.09%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.76%EV -6.71%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 22:15
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -5.86%E -4.01%K -12.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -6.71%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -6.81%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 22:05
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -5.86%E -4.01%K -12.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -6.71%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -6.81%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 22:00
GTbets1.49I 67.11%NM 63.69%EV -3.92%E -2.63%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.31I 15.85%NM 15.04%EV -8.02%E -1.27%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.28%EV -6.60%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 22:20
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.57%E -3.09%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV -8.90%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -3.67%E -0.798%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 22:20
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -6.50%E -4.48%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -8.90%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 22:05
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.73%EV -6.50%E -4.48%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.78%EV -8.90%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -9.95%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 22:25
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 63.73%EV -6.50%E -4.48%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.78%EV -8.90%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -9.95%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 22:05
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -8.44%E -5.94%K -20.08%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -9.63%E -1.55%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 22:25
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -4.57%E -3.09%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.54%E -2.09%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.67%E -0.798%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -4.57%E -3.09%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.54%E -2.09%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.67%E -0.798%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 22:20
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 63.49%EV -5.86%E -4.01%K -12.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.54%E -2.09%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -7.86%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 22:25
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.15%E -4.96%K -16.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -12.54%E -2.09%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -9.32%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 22:20
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.15%E -4.96%K -16.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -12.54%E -2.09%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -9.32%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 22:05
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.15%E -4.96%K -16.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.54%E -2.09%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -16.23%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 12:00
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.15%E -4.96%K -16.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.54%E -2.09%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -16.23%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 12:00
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.15%E -4.96%K -16.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.54%E -2.09%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -16.23%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 12:00
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.15%E -4.96%K -16.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.54%E -2.09%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -16.23%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 12:00
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.73%E -6.95%K -24.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -12.54%E -2.09%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -16.23%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-19 22:05
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 63.50%EV -9.08%E -6.44%K -22.15%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -14.00%E -2.37%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.32%EV -12.05%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 22:20
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.73%E -6.95%K -24.31%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.15%EV -14.00%E -2.37%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.03%EV -11.00%E -2.59%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 22:15
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -4.57%E -3.09%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -15.46%E -2.66%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 22:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -4.57%E -3.09%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -15.46%E -2.66%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 22:20
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.75%EV -7.79%E -5.45%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.99%EV -16.91%E -2.97%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 60.85%EV -9.73%E -6.95%K -24.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.49%EV -19.83%E -3.61%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.66%EV -24.61%E -6.84%K -9.47%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-19 22:01
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.79%EV -9.73%E -6.95%K -24.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.28%EV -21.29%E -3.94%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -12.05%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-19 22:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.88%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.78%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.34%0.3%2026-04-19 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.66%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%0.7%2026-04-19 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.66%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%0.7%2026-04-19 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.66%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%0.7%2026-04-19 22:25
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.30%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.26%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.44%1.9%2026-04-19 22:25
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 65.39%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.41%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.19%4.0%2026-04-19 22:15