默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cruzeiro v Mirassol

开赛时间: 2026-08-09 14:00 UTC

最终结果: Cruzeiro 3–1 Mirassol

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

58 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cruzeiro (主队)

预测 56.44%1.77公平赔率
EV -2.92%
优势 -1.70%
Kelly -4.05%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.72

博彩公司预测分布
54.46%56.46%56.50%58.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.561.651.661.7264.10%60.52%60.24%58.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

Mirassol (客队)

预测 17.45%5.73公平赔率
EV +4.73%
优势 +0.788%
Kelly +0.945%
增长率 +0.045%

假设最高赔率为 6.00

博彩公司预测分布
15.64%17.45%17.39%19.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.805.265.226.0020.83%19.00%19.14%16.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.10%3.83公平赔率
EV +2.06%
优势 +0.527%
Kelly +0.708%
增长率 +0.015%

假设最高赔率为 3.91

博彩公司预测分布
24.61%26.09%26.10%28.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.563.603.9132.26%28.11%27.78%25.58%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Cruzeiro (主队):56.44%;Mirassol (客队):17.45%;平局:26.10%。 对于“Mirassol (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.73。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为6.00,对应+4.73%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (58 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -9.13%E -5.67%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +4.73%E +0.788%K +0.945%G +0.045%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 13:55
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.37%EV -5.18%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 16.23%EV +3.68%E +0.619%K +0.745%G +0.027%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.16%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.37%EV +2.98%E +0.505%K +0.608%G +0.018%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 13:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.16%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.37%EV +2.98%E +0.505%K +0.608%G +0.018%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 13:40
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.16%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.37%EV +2.98%E +0.505%K +0.608%G +0.018%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 13:40
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.16%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.37%EV +2.98%E +0.505%K +0.608%G +0.018%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 13:40
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -9.13%E -5.67%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV +0.362%E +0.063%K +0.076%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 13:28
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.06%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.72%EV -0.510%E -0.090%K -0.109%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 13:40
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -6.30%E -3.80%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -0.510%E -0.090%K -0.109%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 13:30
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.17%EV -8.56%E -5.28%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.25%EV -2.26%E -0.403%K -0.490%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -13.86%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 13:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.79%EV -3.48%E -2.04%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV -4.00%E -0.727%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -0.811%E -0.214%K -0.290%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-09 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.79%EV -3.48%E -2.04%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV -4.00%E -0.727%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -0.811%E -0.214%K -0.290%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-09 13:55
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.78%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -4.00%E -0.727%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 13:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -4.00%E -0.727%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 13:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -9.69%E -6.06%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -4.00%E -0.727%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 13:39
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.16%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.99%EV -5.75%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.85%EV +2.06%E +0.527%K +0.708%G +0.015%2.9%2026-08-09 13:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.75%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 13:25
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.04%EV -7.43%E -4.53%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.75%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 13:45
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -5.18%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.75%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 13:25
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -5.18%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.75%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 13:24
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.77%EV -2.92%E -1.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.80%EV -5.92%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.43%EV -5.25%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 13:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -6.30%E -3.80%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44%EV -6.62%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -7.60%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 13:40
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -8.36%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -0.811%E -0.214%K -0.290%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 13:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.71%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -8.36%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -2.12%E -0.564%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 13:50
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -8.36%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 13:50
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -8.36%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 13:25
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.27%EV -6.30%E -3.80%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -8.36%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 13:55
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.12%EV -5.18%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -8.36%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 13:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -9.69%E -6.06%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.21%EV -8.36%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.34%EV -10.47%E -3.05%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 13:32
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -9.24%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.42%E -0.925%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -9.24%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.42%E -0.925%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -6.30%E -3.80%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -9.24%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 13:55
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -6.30%E -3.80%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -9.24%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 13:55
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -6.30%E -3.80%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -9.24%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -6.30%E -3.80%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -9.24%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -6.30%E -3.80%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -9.24%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 13:55
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -6.30%E -3.80%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -9.24%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 13:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.07%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.12%EV -9.24%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 13:34
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -12.73%E -2.55%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -0.811%E -0.214%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 13:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -12.73%E -2.55%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -12.73%E -2.55%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 13:55
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -12.73%E -2.55%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 13:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.56%E -5.28%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -12.73%E -2.55%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 13:25
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -9.69%E -6.06%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.73%E -2.55%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 13:29
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.18%EV -9.69%E -6.06%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -12.73%E -2.55%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -15.17%E -4.67%K -6.74%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-09 13:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.18%EV -9.69%E -6.06%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -12.73%E -2.55%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -15.17%E -4.67%K -6.74%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-09 13:45
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.46%EV -9.69%E -6.06%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -12.73%E -2.55%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -19.08%E -6.16%K -9.09%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-09 13:25
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.30%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -14.47%E -2.95%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 13:20
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.61%EV -8.00%E -4.91%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -14.47%E -2.95%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.55%EV -8.56%E -5.28%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.37%EV -14.47%E -2.95%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 13:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.06%EV -9.69%E -6.06%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.31%EV -14.47%E -2.95%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 13:25
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -16.22%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 13:55
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -16.22%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -16.22%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -16.22%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 13:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.43%EV -9.69%E -6.06%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.48%EV -16.22%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-09 13:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.43%EV -9.69%E -6.06%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.48%EV -16.22%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-09 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.43%EV -9.69%E -6.06%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.48%EV -16.22%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-09 13:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.55%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-08-09 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-08-09 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.02%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-08-09 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.02%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-08-09 13:55
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.47%6.06I 16.50%NM 16.31%3.77I 26.53%NM 26.22%1.2%2026-08-09 13:55
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.14%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.66%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.21%1.8%2026-08-09 13:55