L’École des cotes

Cruzeiro v Corinthians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-25 23:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cruzeiro (Local)

Prévision 54.69%1.83cote équitable
EV -0.471%
Avantage -0.259%
Kelly -0.574%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.55%54.70%54.76%56.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.701.711.8265.79%58.69%58.48%54.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Corinthians (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.85%5.30cote équitable
EV +3.70%
Avantage +0.672%
Kelly +0.822%
Croissance +0.030%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.16%18.73%18.82%20.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.944.905.5023.26%20.26%20.41%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.46%3.78cote équitable
EV -2.10%
Avantage -0.568%
Kelly -0.778%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.47%26.57%26.42%28.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.503.503.7032.26%28.61%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV +3.70%E +0.672%K +0.822%G +0.030%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.39%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-25 22:40
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.86%EV -7.58%E -4.49%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV +3.70%E +0.672%K +0.822%G +0.030%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.39%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 22:39
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.30%E -2.46%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.73%EV +2.76%E +0.506%K +0.619%G +0.017%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.06%EV -5.54%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-25 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.05%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.48%EV +2.76%E +0.506%K +0.619%G +0.017%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 22:55
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.05%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.48%EV +2.76%E +0.506%K +0.619%G +0.017%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 22:55
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -9.77%E -5.92%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -0.073%E -0.014%K -0.017%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-25 22:50
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.53%EV -6.49%E -3.79%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -1.02%E -0.193%K -0.239%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 16:39
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -1.02%E -0.193%K -0.239%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -7.39%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 22:52
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -1.02%E -0.193%K -0.239%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -7.39%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 22:55
BetAnything1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -1.02%E -0.193%K -0.239%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -7.39%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 22:55
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.75%E -2.13%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.67%EV -2.90%E -0.563%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.71%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-25 10:55
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.24%EV -0.471%E -0.259%K -0.574%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.92%EV -3.47%E -0.677%K -0.841%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.84%EV -7.92%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-25 22:54
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 54.28%EV -4.85%E -2.78%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.66%EV -4.60%E -0.909%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.06%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 22:55
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.57%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.32%EV -5.73%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV -2.10%E -0.568%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-25 22:54
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.57%EV -3.21%E -1.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.32%EV -5.73%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV -2.10%E -0.568%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-25 22:55
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -5.73%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-25 22:15
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -5.73%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 08:45
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -6.49%E -3.79%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.73%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.07%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 22:49
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.54%EV -6.49%E -3.79%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -5.73%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -7.92%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 22:40
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -5.73%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 22:40
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.56%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -5.73%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 22:15
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -5.73%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-25 22:54
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -9.77%E -5.92%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -5.73%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -12.68%E -3.84%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-25 22:39
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.67%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -6.07%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 22:55
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.67%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -6.07%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 22:54
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -7.61%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 22:54
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -7.61%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 22:55
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -7.61%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 22:55
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -7.61%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 22:55
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -7.61%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 22:54
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -7.61%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 22:55
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -7.61%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 22:14
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -7.61%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 22:30
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -7.61%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 22:40
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.85%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.90%EV -7.61%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-25 22:40
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.03%EV -4.30%E -2.46%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -9.50%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 22:30
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.18%EV -4.85%E -2.78%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -9.50%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 22:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -9.50%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 22:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -9.50%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -6.07%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 22:55
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -4.30%E -2.46%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.50%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -14.01%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 22:54
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -4.30%E -2.46%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.50%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -14.01%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 22:55
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -4.30%E -2.46%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.50%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -14.01%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 22:54
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -4.30%E -2.46%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.50%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -14.01%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 22:54
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.71%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -9.50%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -14.01%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-25 22:39
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -10.44%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 22:39
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -10.44%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 22:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -10.44%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 22:15
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.74%EV -8.13%E -4.84%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -10.44%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -6.07%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 22:55
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -10.44%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 22:14
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 54.57%EV -9.77%E -5.92%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -10.44%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-25 22:29
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 54.57%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -11.39%E -2.42%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.39%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-25 22:55
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.66%EV -9.77%E -5.92%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -11.39%E -2.42%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-25 22:54
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.66%EV -9.77%E -5.92%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -11.39%E -2.42%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-25 22:54
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.12%EV -11.41%E -7.04%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -11.39%E -2.42%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-25 22:55
PMU (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 55.14%EV -16.88%E -11.10%K -32.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 17.83%EV -11.39%E -2.42%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -17.98%E -5.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-25 22:39
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.49%EV -10.31%E -6.29%K -16.12%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.22%EV -12.33%E -2.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-25 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -8.13%E -4.84%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -13.27%E -2.88%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-25 22:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 54.32%EV -10.86%E -6.66%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -13.27%E -2.88%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -11.36%E -3.39%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-25 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.96%EV -11.41%E -7.04%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.33%EV -18.93%E -4.40%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-25 22:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 56.23%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90%0.5%2026-02-25 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.23%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90%0.5%2026-02-25 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.07%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.11%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-02-25 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.07%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.11%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-02-25 22:55
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.84%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%1.8%2026-02-25 22:55