A Escola das Odds

Cruzeiro v Bragantino-SP

Início: 2026-04-12 21:32 UTC

Final: Cruzeiro 2–1 Bragantino-SP

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cruzeiro (Local)

Previsão 47.20%2.12odd justa
EV -3.25%
Vantagem -1.58%
Kelly -3.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.57%47.37%47.19%51.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.791.941.952.0555.87%51.49%51.28%48.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Bragantino-SP (Visitante)

Previsão 24.71%4.05odd justa
EV +11.18%
Vantagem +2.48%
Kelly +3.19%
Crescimento +0.357%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.23%24.52%24.78%25.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.903.804.5029.41%25.65%26.32%22.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.10%3.56odd justa
EV -1.66%
Vantagem -0.475%
Kelly -0.665%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.06%28.11%28.02%30.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.303.303.5035.71%30.33%30.30%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.29%EV -8.91%E -4.62%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%EV +11.18%E +2.48%K +3.19%G +0.357%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -3.07%E -0.889%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 21:29
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.29%EV -8.91%E -4.62%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%EV +11.18%E +2.48%K +3.19%G +0.357%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -3.07%E -0.889%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 21:29
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.08%EV -11.74%E -6.28%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV +11.18%E +2.48%K +3.19%G +0.357%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.69%EV -3.07%E -0.889%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 21:30
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -11.74%E -6.28%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +8.71%E +1.98%K +2.56%G +0.223%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 21:29
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -11.74%E -6.28%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +8.71%E +1.98%K +2.56%G +0.223%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 21:29
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -11.74%E -6.28%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +8.71%E +1.98%K +2.56%G +0.223%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 21:29
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -11.74%E -6.28%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +8.71%E +1.98%K +2.56%G +0.223%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 21:29
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -11.74%E -6.28%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +8.71%E +1.98%K +2.56%G +0.223%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 21:29
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.36%EV -12.69%E -6.86%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV +7.47%E +1.72%K +2.23%G +0.167%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 21:20
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.29%EV -13.63%E -7.45%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV +6.24%E +1.45%K +1.89%G +0.118%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 21:29
PMU (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.21%EV -14.57%E -8.05%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV +5.00%E +1.18%K +1.54%G +0.077%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 21:29
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%EV -8.91%E -4.62%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV +3.77%E +0.897%K +1.18%G +0.044%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.47%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 21:29
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -12.69%E -6.86%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV +3.77%E +0.897%K +1.18%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 21:30
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -12.69%E -6.86%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV +3.77%E +0.897%K +1.18%G +0.044%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 21:30
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -15.52%E -8.67%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV +3.77%E +0.897%K +1.18%G +0.044%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-12 21:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.82%EV -14.57%E -8.05%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV +1.30%E +0.316%K +0.418%G +0.005%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-12 21:30
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 47.14%EV -3.25%E -1.58%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.92%EV -0.186%E -0.046%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 21:29
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.62%EV -5.61%E -2.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.69%EV -0.680%E -0.169%K -0.225%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.69%EV -6.72%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 21:30
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.62%EV -5.61%E -2.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.69%EV -0.680%E -0.169%K -0.225%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.69%EV -6.72%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 21:30
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.62%EV -5.61%E -2.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.69%EV -0.680%E -0.169%K -0.225%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.69%EV -6.72%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 21:29
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 48.37%EV -6.55%E -3.31%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -1.17%E -0.294%K -0.391%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.68%EV -2.79%E -0.805%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 21:29
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 47.69%EV -5.61%E -2.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.17%E -0.294%K -0.391%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV -5.88%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 21:29
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -5.61%E -2.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -1.17%E -0.294%K -0.391%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 21:29
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -7.97%E -4.08%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -1.17%E -0.294%K -0.391%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 21:29
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.54%EV -3.72%E -1.82%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.43%EV -1.92%E -0.482%K -0.645%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.03%EV -2.79%E -0.805%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-12 21:29
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.09%EV -8.44%E -4.35%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -3.15%E -0.804%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -6.72%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 21:29
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -5.61%E -2.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.64%E -0.935%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 21:29
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.61%E -2.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.47%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 21:29
Codere (IT)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.42%EV -6.08%E -3.05%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.47%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 21:30
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.35%EV -6.55%E -3.31%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -5.88%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 21:29
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.97%E -4.08%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.47%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 21:29
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -8.91%E -4.62%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 21:30
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.61%E -2.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.35%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 21:30
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 47.32%EV -7.02%E -3.56%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.35%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.88%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 21:29
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -5.61%E -2.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.35%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 21:30
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.61%E -2.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -8.59%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -1.66%E -0.475%K -0.665%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 21:30
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.61%E -2.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.59%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.47%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 21:29
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -4.66%E -2.31%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.59%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 21:29
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.97%E -4.08%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.59%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 21:29
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -5.61%E -2.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -9.82%E -2.69%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 21:28
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.61%E -2.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.47%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 21:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.61%E -2.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.47%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 21:29
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.61%E -2.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.47%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 21:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.61%E -2.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.47%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 21:29
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -5.61%E -2.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 21:29
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -5.61%E -2.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 21:29
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -5.61%E -2.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 21:29
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -7.97%E -4.08%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 21:29
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -11.74%E -6.28%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 21:29
Betclic (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -11.27%E -5.99%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.72%EV -9.53%E -2.96%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 21:21
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.49%E -3.82%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.53%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 21:30
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.97%E -4.08%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -13.53%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 21:30
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.85%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.53%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 21:30
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.85%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.53%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 21:30
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.97%E -4.08%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.53%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 21:30
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 46.99%EV -12.21%E -6.57%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.70%EV -16.00%E -4.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.31%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-12 21:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.57%EV -9.85%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.04%EV -16.00%E -4.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.40%EV -21.33%E -7.62%K -11.85%G +0.000%17.5%2026-04-12 21:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%0.3%2026-04-12 21:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44%0.5%2026-04-12 21:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-04-12 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-04-12 21:30
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-04-12 21:30