L’École des cotes

Cruzeiro v Atletico Mineiro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 00:00 UTC

Score final : Cruzeiro 1–3 Atletico Mineiro

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cruzeiro (Local)

Prévision 51.02%1.96cote équitable
EV -2.04%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -2.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.52%51.13%50.99%52.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.821.831.9257.80%54.88%54.64%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atletico Mineiro (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.56%4.86cote équitable
EV -0.264%
Avantage -0.055%
Kelly -0.069%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.19%20.55%20.50%21.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.474.504.8524.39%22.37%22.22%20.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.41%3.52cote équitable
EV +0.300%
Avantage +0.085%
Kelly +0.119%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.96%28.32%28.51%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.303.303.5334.72%30.32%30.30%28.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.58%EV -7.65%E -4.23%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.47%EV -4.38%E -0.941%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.96%EV +0.300%E +0.085%K +0.119%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 22:40
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.58%EV -7.65%E -4.23%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.47%EV -4.38%E -0.941%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.96%EV +0.300%E +0.085%K +0.119%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 22:40
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 52.58%EV -7.65%E -4.23%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.47%EV -4.38%E -0.941%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.96%EV +0.300%E +0.085%K +0.119%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 22:40
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 51.02%EV -3.57%E -1.89%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.43%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.55%EV -0.552%E -0.158%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 23:50
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 51.02%EV -3.57%E -1.89%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.43%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.55%EV -0.552%E -0.158%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 23:55
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 51.11%EV -3.06%E -1.61%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 21.06%EV -5.20%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.82%EV -0.836%E -0.240%K -0.336%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 23:55
GTbets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.41%EV -2.04%E -1.06%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.70%EV -8.28%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.89%EV -1.40%E -0.405%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-02 23:10
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.15%EV -5.61%E -3.03%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.89%EV -0.264%E -0.055%K -0.069%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.96%EV -1.97%E -0.572%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 23:50
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.38%EV -5.61%E -3.03%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -5.41%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 23:10
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 23:15
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.04%EV -6.12%E -3.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -9.52%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 23:25
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -8.16%E -4.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -5.41%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 23:50
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -9.52%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 23:24
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -9.52%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 23:24
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -9.52%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 23:24
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -9.52%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 23:24
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -9.52%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 23:24
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -10.55%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 23:25
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 50.45%EV -6.12%E -3.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -12.60%E -2.97%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -4.81%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.99%EV -7.65%E -4.23%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -11.57%E -2.69%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -4.81%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 23:45
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.68%EV -4.08%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.80%EV -5.82%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.52%EV -5.10%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 21:50
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -4.59%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -5.41%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 23:50
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.55%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -2.32%E -0.489%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 23:50
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.95%EV -5.61%E -3.03%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -5.41%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 23:55
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.95%EV -5.61%E -3.03%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -5.41%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 23:55
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.08%EV -6.12%E -3.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -5.41%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 23:55
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 23:15
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 23:55
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -5.61%E -3.03%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -11.57%E -2.69%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 23:55
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 50.78%EV -7.65%E -4.23%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -11.57%E -2.69%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 23:55
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.16%E -4.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -11.57%E -2.69%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 23:55
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.16%E -4.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -13.63%E -3.25%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 23:25
PMU (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.93%EV -8.67%E -4.84%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.45%EV -12.60%E -2.97%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 23:55
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 50.93%EV -8.67%E -4.84%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.45%EV -12.60%E -2.97%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 23:55
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -2.32%E -0.489%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 23:53
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -2.32%E -0.489%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 23:55
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.61%E -3.03%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 23:50
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -5.41%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 23:50
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -7.14%E -3.92%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -4.38%E -0.941%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 23:55
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -13.63%E -3.25%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 23:54
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.86%EV -9.69%E -5.47%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -13.63%E -3.25%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 23:55
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.86%EV -9.69%E -5.47%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -13.63%E -3.25%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 23:55
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -8.16%E -4.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -1.29%E -0.269%K -0.340%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 23:55
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -9.69%E -5.47%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -1.29%E -0.269%K -0.340%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 23:45
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -8.16%E -4.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 23:45
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -8.16%E -4.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 23:45
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -8.16%E -4.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 23:45
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -8.16%E -4.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 23:44
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -4.08%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -8.49%E -1.91%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 23:50
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -4.08%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -8.49%E -1.91%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 23:50
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 49.54%EV -4.59%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -9.52%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 23:50
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.22%EV -11.22%E -6.45%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.49%EV -10.55%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.29%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 23:55
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.59%EV -11.22%E -6.45%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.47%EV -15.69%E -3.83%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.94%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-02 23:55
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.98%EV -10.71%E -6.12%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.51%EV -10.55%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.51%EV -11.07%E -3.54%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 23:55
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.71%E -6.12%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 23:50
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -10.71%E -6.12%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -10.96%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -14.76%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-02 23:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.69%EV -11.73%E -6.78%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -13.63%E -3.25%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.85%EV -18.17%E -6.31%K -9.66%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-02 23:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.38%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.85%0.5%2026-05-02 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.38%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.85%0.5%2026-05-02 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.38%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.85%0.5%2026-05-02 23:45
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.8%2026-05-02 23:45
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 52.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07%1.2%2026-05-02 23:50
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.93%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45%1.9%2026-05-02 23:50