Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Coritiba v Mirassol

2026-09-06 14:00 UTC — Brazil Série A

Testa a testa

22 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Coritiba (Casa)

Previsione 42.12%2.37quota equa
EV -3.12%
Vantaggio -1.36%
Kelly -2.40%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.31%42.04%42.16%42.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.022.182.202.3049.50%45.98%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Mirassol (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.67%3.49quota equa
EV -4.52%
Vantaggio -1.36%
Kelly -1.94%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.09%28.72%28.61%29.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.183.203.3333.90%31.48%31.25%30.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 29.20%3.42quota equa
EV -2.75%
Vantaggio -0.826%
Kelly -1.18%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.20%29.24%29.23%30.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.133.133.3333.90%31.96%32.00%30.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Coritiba (Casa): 42.12%; Mirassol (Trasferta): 28.67%; Pareggio: 29.20%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.42. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.33, con un valore atteso del -2.75%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (22 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -3.12%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 13:04
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.93%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.84%EV -4.52%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.84%EV -2.75%E -0.826%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 17:24
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.23%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 12:39
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.23%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 13:24
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -6.49%E -2.92%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-25 12:59
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -6.49%E -2.92%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-25 13:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -6.91%E -3.13%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.85%EV -7.10%E -2.19%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.85%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 17:24
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 12:36
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-25 13:18
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-25 13:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-25 13:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-25 13:18
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.40%EV -7.75%E -3.54%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-25 12:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.29%EV -7.75%E -3.54%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.59%EV -7.10%E -2.19%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.12%EV -7.13%E -2.24%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-25 12:38
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -8.17%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-25 17:59
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-25 12:39
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-25 12:38
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -13.98%E -4.66%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-25 12:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -13.65%E -6.66%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -13.98%E -4.66%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-25 12:38
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -13.65%E -6.66%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.36%EV -15.41%E -5.22%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.40%EV -10.93%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-25 12:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.05%EV -13.65%E -6.66%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.73%EV -13.98%E -4.66%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.22%EV -13.85%E -4.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-25 12:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 42.65%EV -14.91%E -7.38%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.44%EV -13.12%E -4.33%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.91%EV -12.97%E -4.35%K -6.55%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-25 12:38
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 42.53%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.39%2.94I 34.01%NM 30.09%13.1%2026-08-25 20:14
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 41.81%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.90%2.94I 34.01%NM 29.29%16.1%2026-08-25 12:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-08-25 13:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-08-25 13:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-25 12:54