L’École des cotes

Coritiba v Cruzeiro

2026-07-31 00:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Coritiba (Local)

Prévision 31.18%3.21cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -0.563%
Kelly -0.824%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.22%31.12%31.19%31.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.983.003.1537.04%33.52%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cruzeiro (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.29%2.48cote équitable
EV -3.30%
Avantage -1.37%
Kelly -2.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.69%40.32%40.32%40.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.312.322.4047.62%43.37%43.10%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.52%3.51cote équitable
EV -3.02%
Avantage -0.888%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.69%28.56%28.49%29.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.223.253.4033.90%31.03%30.77%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.74%EV -1.77%E -0.563%K -0.824%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.35%EV -3.30%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-25 10:49
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.74%EV -1.77%E -0.563%K -0.824%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.35%EV -3.30%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-25 10:49
1xBet3.13I 31.95%NM 30.67%EV -2.40%E -0.766%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.16%EV -3.70%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.17%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 20:35
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 00:34
SportsBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.30%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.62%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 15:09
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 31.17%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 07:59
GTbets3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.79%EV -4.51%E -1.90%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.29%EV -8.15%E -2.53%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 00:05
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -6.12%E -2.63%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 10:50
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -6.12%E -2.63%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 10:50
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -6.12%E -2.63%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 10:50
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -6.12%E -2.63%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 10:49
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -6.12%E -2.63%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 10:50
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -6.12%E -2.63%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 10:50
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -6.12%E -2.63%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 10:50
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -6.52%E -2.81%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 10:49
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -5.20%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -6.52%E -2.81%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 20:30
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -4.51%E -1.90%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 15:15
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -4.51%E -1.90%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 15:13
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 15:10
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 15:14
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-23 16:34
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 02:20
betano_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 16:43
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 16:43
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 10:49
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -7.07%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -6.52%E -2.81%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 07:14
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -7.07%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -6.52%E -2.81%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 07:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 15:10
Neds2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 15:10
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-23 15:10
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 00:55
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 00:35
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 10:50
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 10:49
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 10:50
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 07:55
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 00:40
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 00:34
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -14.43%E -4.81%K -7.21%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-25 06:45
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.22%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.38%EV -12.56%E -5.79%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.40%EV -15.00%E -5.03%K -7.58%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-23 15:13
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.19%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-23 15:14
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -10.19%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 08:15
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -11.13%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-25 16:50
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -14.25%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.02%EV -13.37%E -6.22%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -14.43%E -4.81%K -7.21%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-23 15:15
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.24%EV -15.81%E -5.85%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.17%EV -15.38%E -7.33%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.59%EV -15.85%E -5.37%K -8.13%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-25 16:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 30.49%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.83%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.67%13.1%2026-07-24 00:35