La escuela de los momios

Coritiba v Cruzeiro

2026-07-31 00:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Coritiba (Local)

Predicción 31.18%3.21momio equitativo
EV -1.77%
Ventaja -0.563%
Kelly -0.824%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.22%31.12%31.19%31.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.983.003.1537.04%33.53%33.33%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cruzeiro (Visitante)

Predicción 40.29%2.48momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -0.859%
Kelly -1.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.69%40.32%40.32%40.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.312.322.4347.62%43.26%43.10%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.52%3.51momio equitativo
EV -3.02%
Ventaja -0.888%
Kelly -1.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.69%28.56%28.49%29.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.223.253.4033.90%31.03%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.90%EV -1.77%E -0.563%K -0.824%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.05%EV -2.09%E -0.859%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-26 03:29
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.90%EV -1.77%E -0.563%K -0.824%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.05%EV -2.09%E -0.859%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-26 03:34
1xBet3.13I 31.95%NM 30.67%EV -2.40%E -0.766%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.16%EV -3.70%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.17%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 20:35
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 00:34
SportsBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.30%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.62%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 15:09
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 31.17%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 07:59
GTbets3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.79%EV -4.51%E -1.90%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.29%EV -8.15%E -2.53%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 00:05
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 03:29
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 03:29
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 03:34
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 03:29
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 03:29
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 03:34
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -6.12%E -2.63%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 10:50
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -5.20%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -6.52%E -2.81%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 20:30
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -4.51%E -1.90%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 15:15
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -4.51%E -1.90%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 15:13
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 15:10
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 15:14
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-23 16:34
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 02:20
betano_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 16:43
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 16:43
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -6.52%E -2.81%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 03:34
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 10:49
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -7.07%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -6.52%E -2.81%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 07:14
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -7.07%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -6.52%E -2.81%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 07:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 15:10
Neds2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 15:10
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-23 15:10
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 00:55
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 00:35
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -8.13%E -3.57%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 03:29
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -8.13%E -3.57%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 03:29
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -8.13%E -3.57%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 03:29
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 07:55
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 00:40
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 00:34
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -14.43%E -4.81%K -7.21%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-25 06:45
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.22%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.38%EV -12.56%E -5.79%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.40%EV -15.00%E -5.03%K -7.58%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-23 15:13
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.19%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-23 15:14
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -10.19%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 08:15
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -11.13%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-25 16:50
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -14.25%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.02%EV -13.37%E -6.22%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -14.43%E -4.81%K -7.21%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-23 15:15
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.24%EV -15.81%E -5.85%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.17%EV -15.38%E -7.33%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.59%EV -15.85%E -5.37%K -8.13%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-25 16:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 30.49%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.83%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.67%13.1%2026-07-24 00:35