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Coritiba v Corinthians

2026-08-23 22:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coritiba (Local)

Prediction 33.23%3.01fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.41%33.14%33.26%33.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.752.802.9239.22%36.36%35.71%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Corinthians (Visit)

Prediction 36.77%2.72fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.30%36.79%36.83%37.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.482.502.6243.48%40.37%40.00%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.00%3.33fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.73%30.07%29.92%31.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.033.023.2034.48%32.96%33.06%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Coritiba (Local): 33.23%; Corinthians (Visit): 36.77%; Draw: 30.00%. For Coritiba (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.92, with an expected value of -2.97%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.88%EV -2.97%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.64%EV -3.66%E -1.40%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.48%EV -5.50%E -1.75%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-10 18:15
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -5.30%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -4.39%E -1.69%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.00%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 17:40
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -5.30%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -6.23%E -2.44%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.00%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 17:40
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.30%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -8.07%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.00%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.83%EV -5.63%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.70%EV -6.60%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.47%EV -8.20%E -2.68%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 18:05
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -6.96%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.23%E -2.44%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.00%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 17:43
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.96%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.44%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -7.00%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-10 17:45
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.96%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.07%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.00%E -4.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 17:45
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.96%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.07%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.00%E -4.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.96%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.07%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.00%E -4.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.96%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.07%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.00%E -4.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 17:45
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.07%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.00%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 17:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.07%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.00%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 17:45
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.07%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.00%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-10 17:45
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -9.91%E -4.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -10.00%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-10 17:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.80%EV -13.61%E -5.23%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -13.58%E -5.78%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.81%EV -8.50%E -2.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-10 17:44
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.46%EV -13.61%E -5.23%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.55%EV -12.48%E -5.24%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.00%EV -13.00%E -4.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-10 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -13.61%E -5.23%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.84%EV -13.58%E -5.78%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.86%EV -13.00%E -4.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-10 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.10%EV -13.61%E -5.23%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.42%EV -15.42%E -6.71%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.48%EV -12.40%E -4.25%K -6.46%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-10 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.80%EV -15.27%E -5.99%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.47%EV -15.42%E -6.71%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.73%EV -10.00%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-10 17:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 31.89%2.17I 46.08%NM 39.68%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.42%16.1%2026-08-10 19:25

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