L’École des cotes

Coritiba v Bahia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-25 23:00 UTC

Score final : Coritiba 3–2 Bahia

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Coritiba (Local)

Prévision 37.07%2.70cote équitable
EV +1.57%
Avantage +0.573%
Kelly +0.902%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 2.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.43%37.04%37.06%39.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.532.552.7443.48%39.52%39.22%36.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bahia (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.76%2.96cote équitable
EV -3.12%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.22%33.78%33.74%35.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.722.752.8740.00%36.76%36.36%34.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.17%3.43cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -0.676%
Kelly -0.964%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.41%29.18%29.20%30.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.183.203.3535.71%31.45%31.25%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.74I 36.50%NM 35.43%EV +1.57%E +0.573%K +0.902%G +0.014%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.43%EV -7.51%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%EV -2.85%E -0.855%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 22:50
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV +0.086%E +0.032%K +0.051%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.22%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -2.26%E -0.676%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-25 22:30
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV +0.086%E +0.032%K +0.051%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.22%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -2.26%E -0.676%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-25 22:30
Pinnacle2.63I 38.02%NM 36.79%EV -2.51%E -0.954%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.71%EV -3.12%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.50%EV -4.31%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-25 22:50
Coolbet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.22%EV -2.51%E -0.954%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 09:19
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -3.62%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 21:40
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.62%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 22:30
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.62%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 22:30
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.62%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 22:30
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.62%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 22:30
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.62%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 22:30
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.62%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 22:30
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -3.62%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 22:20
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.05%EV -4.36%E -1.69%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -6.16%E -2.21%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -11.02%E -3.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 22:49
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.05%EV -4.36%E -1.69%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -6.16%E -2.21%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -11.02%E -3.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 22:50
LowVig.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.06%EV -4.73%E -1.84%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.54%EV -4.13%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.40%EV -5.47%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 22:40
BetOnline.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.06%EV -4.73%E -1.84%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.54%EV -4.13%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.40%EV -5.47%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 22:40
BetAnything2.57I 38.91%NM 37.06%EV -4.73%E -1.84%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.54%EV -4.13%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.40%EV -5.47%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 22:39
Bovada2.57I 38.91%NM 36.58%EV -4.73%E -1.84%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 22:49
GTbets2.56I 39.06%NM 36.18%EV -5.10%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.69%EV -9.87%E -3.70%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -7.22%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 14:40
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -3.72%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 22:40
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 22:50
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 22:49
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -3.72%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 22:50
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 22:49
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.55%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.77%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.68%EV -8.39%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 22:40
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 22:20
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 20:20
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -11.22%E -4.27%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 22:30
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -11.22%E -4.27%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 22:30
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 22:50
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 22:30
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 22:30
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 22:30
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.72%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 22:40
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.72%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 22:40
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 22:10
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 22:30
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 22:40
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 22:50
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 22:20
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-25 21:50
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-25 21:50
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-25 21:50
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-25 21:50
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.18%EV -13.92%E -5.46%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-25 22:30
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.18%EV -13.92%E -5.46%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-25 22:30
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -9.18%E -3.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-25 22:49
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -11.03%E -4.60%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-25 22:30
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -11.03%E -4.60%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-25 22:09
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -11.03%E -4.60%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-25 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 35.69%EV -11.78%E -4.95%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.98%EV -15.61%E -6.24%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.34%EV -18.31%E -6.54%K -10.17%G +0.000%17.7%2026-05-25 22:30
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -12.89%E -5.48%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -3.79%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 22:39
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.97%EV -12.89%E -5.48%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.05%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.97%EV -10.14%E -3.29%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-25 22:38
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.57%EV -12.89%E -5.48%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.95%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-25 22:30
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -14.74%E -6.41%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-25 22:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.12%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-05-25 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.12%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-05-25 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.12%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-05-25 22:50
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.05%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-05-25 22:40
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49%1.2%2026-05-25 22:50
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.32%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-05-25 22:50