La escuela de los momios

Coritiba v Bahia

Inicio: 2026-05-25 23:00 UTC

Final: Coritiba 3–2 Bahia

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Coritiba (Local)

Predicción 37.07%2.70momio equitativo
EV +1.57%
Ventaja +0.573%
Kelly +0.902%
Crecimiento +0.014%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.43%37.04%37.06%39.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.532.552.7443.48%39.52%39.22%36.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bahia (Visitante)

Predicción 33.76%2.96momio equitativo
EV -3.12%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -1.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.22%33.78%33.74%35.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.722.752.8740.00%36.76%36.36%34.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.17%3.43momio equitativo
EV -2.26%
Ventaja -0.676%
Kelly -0.964%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.41%29.18%29.20%30.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.183.203.3535.71%31.45%31.25%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.74I 36.50%NM 35.43%EV +1.57%E +0.573%K +0.902%G +0.014%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.43%EV -7.51%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%EV -2.85%E -0.855%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 22:50
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV +0.086%E +0.032%K +0.051%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.22%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -2.26%E -0.676%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-25 22:30
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV +0.086%E +0.032%K +0.051%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.22%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -2.26%E -0.676%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-25 22:30
Pinnacle2.63I 38.02%NM 36.79%EV -2.51%E -0.954%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.71%EV -3.12%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.50%EV -4.31%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-25 22:50
Coolbet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.22%EV -2.51%E -0.954%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 09:19
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -3.62%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 21:40
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.62%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 22:30
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.62%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 22:30
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.62%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 22:30
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.62%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 22:30
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.62%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 22:30
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.62%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 22:30
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -3.62%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 22:20
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.05%EV -4.36%E -1.69%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -6.16%E -2.21%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -11.02%E -3.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 22:49
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.05%EV -4.36%E -1.69%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -6.16%E -2.21%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -11.02%E -3.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 22:50
LowVig.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.06%EV -4.73%E -1.84%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.54%EV -4.13%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.40%EV -5.47%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 22:40
BetOnline.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.06%EV -4.73%E -1.84%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.54%EV -4.13%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.40%EV -5.47%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 22:40
BetAnything2.57I 38.91%NM 37.06%EV -4.73%E -1.84%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.54%EV -4.13%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.40%EV -5.47%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 22:39
Bovada2.57I 38.91%NM 36.58%EV -4.73%E -1.84%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 22:49
GTbets2.56I 39.06%NM 36.18%EV -5.10%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.69%EV -9.87%E -3.70%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -7.22%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 14:40
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -3.72%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 22:40
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 22:50
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 22:49
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -3.72%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 22:50
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 22:49
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.55%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.77%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.68%EV -8.39%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 22:40
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 22:20
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 20:20
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -11.22%E -4.27%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 22:30
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -11.22%E -4.27%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 22:30
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 22:50
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 22:30
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 22:30
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 22:30
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.72%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 22:40
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.72%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 22:40
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 22:10
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 22:30
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 22:40
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 22:50
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 22:20
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-25 21:50
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-25 21:50
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-25 21:50
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-25 21:50
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.18%EV -13.92%E -5.46%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-25 22:30
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.18%EV -13.92%E -5.46%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-25 22:30
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -9.18%E -3.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-25 22:49
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -11.03%E -4.60%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-25 22:30
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -11.03%E -4.60%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-25 22:09
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -11.03%E -4.60%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-25 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 35.69%EV -11.78%E -4.95%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.98%EV -15.61%E -6.24%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.34%EV -18.31%E -6.54%K -10.17%G +0.000%17.7%2026-05-25 22:30
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -12.89%E -5.48%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -3.79%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 22:39
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.97%EV -12.89%E -5.48%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.05%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.97%EV -10.14%E -3.29%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-25 22:38
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.57%EV -12.89%E -5.48%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.95%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-25 22:30
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -14.74%E -6.41%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-25 22:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.12%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-05-25 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.12%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-05-25 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.12%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-05-25 22:50
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.05%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-05-25 22:40
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49%1.2%2026-05-25 22:50
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.32%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-05-25 22:50