L’École des cotes

Coritiba v Atletico Mineiro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 19:00 UTC

Score final : Coritiba 2–0 Atletico Mineiro

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Coritiba (Local)

Prévision 41.57%2.41cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -0.986%
Kelly -1.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.59%41.57%41.57%43.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.242.252.3547.62%44.62%44.44%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atletico Mineiro (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.14%3.55cote équitable
EV +2.70%
Avantage +0.739%
Kelly +1.02%
Croissance +0.027%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.57%28.19%28.12%29.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.313.303.6533.33%30.24%30.30%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.30%3.30cote équitable
EV -1.23%
Avantage -0.378%
Kelly -0.545%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.95%30.23%30.31%31.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.063.053.2636.36%32.71%32.79%30.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.68%EV -7.72%E -3.48%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV +2.70%E +0.739%K +1.02%G +0.027%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.75%EV -1.23%E -0.378%K -0.545%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-19 18:55
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.94%EV -3.98%E -1.72%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.21%EV +0.165%E +0.046%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.85%EV -4.87%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-19 18:50
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.37%EV -2.32%E -0.986%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -1.52%E -0.435%K -0.609%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.86%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-19 18:55
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.37%EV -2.32%E -0.986%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -1.52%E -0.435%K -0.609%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.86%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-19 18:55
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.43%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -2.93%E -0.849%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -6.68%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 18:35
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.43%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -2.93%E -0.849%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -6.68%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 18:35
BetAnything2.30I 43.48%NM 41.43%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -2.93%E -0.849%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -6.68%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 18:35
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.47%EV -5.17%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 18:50
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:50
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:55
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:55
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 18:45
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 18:55
BetUS2.27I 44.05%NM 41.46%EV -5.64%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 18:55
Bovada2.26I 44.25%NM 41.57%EV -6.06%E -2.68%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:49
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 18:45
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 18:34
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 41.54%EV -4.81%E -2.10%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.06%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.39%EV -5.17%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:55
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.23%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 18:55
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.23%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 18:55
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.23%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 18:55
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.23%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 18:55
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.23%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 18:55
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -5.23%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -9.71%E -3.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 18:45
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -5.23%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -9.71%E -3.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 18:45
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 18:45
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 18:35
Codere (IT)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -5.23%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 18:55
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:54
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:35
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:55
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:55
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.26%EV -6.06%E -2.68%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -7.29%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 18:35
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 18:55
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 18:55
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 18:35
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 18:55
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 18:55
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 18:44
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 18:55
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 18:55
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 18:55
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 18:55
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.50%EV -9.38%E -4.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.67%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 18:55
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.50%EV -9.38%E -4.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.67%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 18:55
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -12.14%E -4.19%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-19 18:54
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.37%E -3.61%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 18:35
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -11.37%E -3.61%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 18:50
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 41.82%EV -11.46%E -5.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -11.37%E -3.61%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.89%EV -9.71%E -3.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-19 18:54
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -12.71%E -6.05%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.37%E -3.61%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 18:54
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -12.78%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 18:15
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -12.78%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 18:40
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -12.78%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 18:15
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.63%E -4.94%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.78%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.14%E -4.19%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-19 18:55
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -12.71%E -6.05%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -15.59%E -5.20%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-19 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -12.71%E -6.05%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -15.59%E -5.20%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -16.68%E -6.07%K -9.53%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-19 18:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-04-19 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-04-19 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-04-19 18:50
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-04-19 18:50
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-04-19 18:50
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.58%2.2%2026-04-19 18:50