La escuela de los momios

Coritiba v Atletico Mineiro

Inicio: 2026-04-19 19:00 UTC

Final: Coritiba 2–0 Atletico Mineiro

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Coritiba (Local)

Predicción 41.57%2.41momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -0.986%
Kelly -1.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.59%41.57%41.57%43.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.242.252.3547.62%44.62%44.44%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atletico Mineiro (Visitante)

Predicción 28.14%3.55momio equitativo
EV +2.70%
Ventaja +0.739%
Kelly +1.02%
Crecimiento +0.027%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.57%28.19%28.12%29.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.313.303.6533.33%30.24%30.30%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.30%3.30momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.378%
Kelly -0.545%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.95%30.23%30.31%31.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.063.053.2636.36%32.71%32.79%30.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.68%EV -7.72%E -3.48%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV +2.70%E +0.739%K +1.02%G +0.027%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.75%EV -1.23%E -0.378%K -0.545%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-19 18:55
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.94%EV -3.98%E -1.72%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.21%EV +0.165%E +0.046%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.85%EV -4.87%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-19 18:50
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.37%EV -2.32%E -0.986%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -1.52%E -0.435%K -0.609%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.86%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-19 18:55
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.37%EV -2.32%E -0.986%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -1.52%E -0.435%K -0.609%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.86%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-19 18:55
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.43%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -2.93%E -0.849%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -6.68%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 18:35
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.43%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -2.93%E -0.849%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -6.68%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 18:35
BetAnything2.30I 43.48%NM 41.43%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -2.93%E -0.849%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -6.68%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 18:35
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.47%EV -5.17%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 18:50
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:50
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:55
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:55
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 18:45
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 18:55
BetUS2.27I 44.05%NM 41.46%EV -5.64%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 18:55
Bovada2.26I 44.25%NM 41.57%EV -6.06%E -2.68%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:49
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 18:45
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 18:34
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 41.54%EV -4.81%E -2.10%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.06%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.39%EV -5.17%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:55
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.23%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 18:55
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.23%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 18:55
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.23%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 18:55
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.23%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 18:55
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.23%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 18:55
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -5.23%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -9.71%E -3.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 18:45
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -5.23%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -9.71%E -3.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 18:45
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 18:45
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 18:35
Codere (IT)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -5.23%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 18:55
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:54
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:35
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:55
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:55
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.26%EV -6.06%E -2.68%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -7.29%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 18:35
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 18:55
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 18:55
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 18:35
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 18:55
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 18:55
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 18:44
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 18:55
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 18:55
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 18:55
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 18:55
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.50%EV -9.38%E -4.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.67%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 18:55
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.50%EV -9.38%E -4.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.67%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 18:55
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -12.14%E -4.19%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-19 18:54
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.37%E -3.61%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 18:35
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -11.37%E -3.61%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 18:50
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 41.82%EV -11.46%E -5.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -11.37%E -3.61%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.89%EV -9.71%E -3.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-19 18:54
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -12.71%E -6.05%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.37%E -3.61%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 18:54
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -12.78%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 18:15
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -12.78%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 18:40
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -12.78%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 18:15
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.63%E -4.94%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.78%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.14%E -4.19%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-19 18:55
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -12.71%E -6.05%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -15.59%E -5.20%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-19 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -12.71%E -6.05%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -15.59%E -5.20%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -16.68%E -6.07%K -9.53%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-19 18:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-04-19 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-04-19 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-04-19 18:50
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-04-19 18:50
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-04-19 18:50
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.58%2.2%2026-04-19 18:50