A Escola das Odds

Corinthians v Sao Paulo

Início: 2026-05-10 21:30 UTC

Final: Corinthians 3–2 Sao Paulo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Corinthians (Local)

Previsão 45.57%2.19odd justa
EV -0.212%
Vantagem -0.097%
Kelly -0.178%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.27%45.53%45.63%46.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.912.042.052.1952.36%49.00%48.78%45.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sao Paulo (Visitante)

Previsão 24.13%4.14odd justa
EV +1.34%
Vantagem +0.320%
Kelly +0.420%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.66%24.20%24.09%25.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.843.854.2029.41%26.03%25.97%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.31%3.30odd justa
EV -2.11%
Vantagem -0.655%
Kelly -0.948%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.19%30.26%30.28%31.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.703.073.103.2337.04%32.58%32.26%30.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV +1.34%E +0.320%K +0.420%G +0.006%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.90%EV -6.66%E -2.16%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:24
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.12%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62%EV -1.07%E -0.261%K -0.345%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.26%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-10 21:24
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 46.12%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62%EV -1.07%E -0.261%K -0.345%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.26%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-10 21:24
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.82%EV -3.86%E -1.83%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -2.28%E -0.562%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.31%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-10 21:15
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.05%E -3.45%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -2.28%E -0.562%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 21:23
BetAnything2.03I 49.26%NM 46.15%EV -7.50%E -3.70%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.13%EV -2.28%E -0.562%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 21:24
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.20%EV -6.14%E -2.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.68%EV -3.00%E -0.746%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.12%EV -4.24%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 21:14
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.20%EV -6.14%E -2.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.68%EV -3.00%E -0.746%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.12%EV -4.24%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 21:14
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -3.48%E -0.871%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 21:04
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -3.48%E -0.871%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 20:59
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.48%E -0.871%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 21:24
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -8.87%E -4.43%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -3.48%E -0.871%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 21:24
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.45%EV -7.96%E -3.94%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -4.69%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 20:49
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.05%E -3.45%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.69%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 21:24
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.05%E -3.45%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.69%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 21:24
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.05%E -3.45%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.69%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 21:24
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.05%E -3.45%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.69%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 21:24
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.05%E -3.45%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.69%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 21:24
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.05%E -3.45%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.69%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 21:24
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.93%EV -7.50%E -3.70%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -4.69%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.47%EV -7.27%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 21:23
GTbets2.08I 48.08%NM 45.54%EV -5.22%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.10%EV -5.17%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.45%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 20:59
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.13%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.90%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 21:10
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.13%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.90%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 21:09
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.08%EV -5.90%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.10%EV -5.45%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 21:23
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -5.90%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 21:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -8.87%E -4.43%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -5.90%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 21:24
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -8.87%E -4.43%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -5.90%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 21:24
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.87%E -4.43%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.90%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 21:04
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.10%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 21:09
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -8.87%E -4.43%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 21:24
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 46.24%EV -10.69%E -5.45%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -7.10%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 21:24
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.24%EV -10.69%E -5.45%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -7.10%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 21:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 21:09
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 21:24
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 20:59
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -8.87%E -4.43%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -12.11%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-10 21:04
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -11.15%E -5.72%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-10 21:24
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -11.15%E -5.72%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-10 21:24
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -0.212%E -0.097%K -0.178%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.72%EV -9.03%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.02%EV -2.11%E -0.655%K -0.948%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 21:24
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 21:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 21:09
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 21:09
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.48%EV -5.22%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 21:14
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 21:24
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 21:24
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 21:24
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 21:24
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -5.22%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -10.72%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 21:14
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -5.22%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -10.72%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 21:14
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.72%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 20:59
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -10.72%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 20:59
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.97%EV -11.60%E -5.98%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -10.72%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.93%EV -9.69%E -3.25%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-10 21:00
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -13.13%E -3.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 20:59
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.13%E -3.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 20:58
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -8.87%E -4.43%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.13%E -3.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.11%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-10 21:04
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -8.87%E -4.43%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -14.34%E -4.04%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-10 21:24
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.11%EV -12.06%E -6.25%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -15.55%E -4.44%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.02%EV -12.11%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-10 21:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.38%EV -12.97%E -6.79%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.22%EV -15.55%E -4.44%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.40%EV -18.18%E -6.73%K -10.69%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-10 21:19
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.63%EV -10.69%E -5.45%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -17.96%E -5.28%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.65%EV -10.60%E -3.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-10 21:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.22%0.3%2026-05-10 21:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.8%2026-05-10 21:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.89%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%0.9%2026-05-10 20:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.89%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%0.9%2026-05-10 20:59
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.92%1.3%2026-05-10 21:25
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34%2.0%2026-05-10 21:09