La escuela de los momios

Corinthians v Sao Paulo

Inicio: 2026-05-10 21:30 UTC

Final: Corinthians 3–2 Sao Paulo

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Corinthians (Local)

Predicción 45.57%2.19momio equitativo
EV -0.212%
Ventaja -0.097%
Kelly -0.178%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.27%45.53%45.63%46.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.042.052.1952.36%49.00%48.78%45.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sao Paulo (Visitante)

Predicción 24.13%4.14momio equitativo
EV +1.34%
Ventaja +0.320%
Kelly +0.420%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.66%24.20%24.09%25.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.843.854.2029.41%26.03%25.97%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.31%3.30momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -0.655%
Kelly -0.948%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.19%30.26%30.28%31.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.073.103.2337.04%32.58%32.26%30.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV +1.34%E +0.320%K +0.420%G +0.006%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.90%EV -6.66%E -2.16%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:24
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.12%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62%EV -1.07%E -0.261%K -0.345%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.26%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-10 21:24
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 46.12%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62%EV -1.07%E -0.261%K -0.345%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.26%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-10 21:24
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.82%EV -3.86%E -1.83%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -2.28%E -0.562%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.31%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-10 21:15
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.05%E -3.45%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -2.28%E -0.562%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 21:23
BetAnything2.03I 49.26%NM 46.15%EV -7.50%E -3.70%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.13%EV -2.28%E -0.562%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 21:24
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.20%EV -6.14%E -2.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.68%EV -3.00%E -0.746%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.12%EV -4.24%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 21:14
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.20%EV -6.14%E -2.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.68%EV -3.00%E -0.746%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.12%EV -4.24%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 21:14
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -3.48%E -0.871%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 21:04
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -3.48%E -0.871%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 20:59
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.48%E -0.871%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 21:24
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -8.87%E -4.43%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -3.48%E -0.871%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 21:24
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.45%EV -7.96%E -3.94%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -4.69%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 20:49
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.05%E -3.45%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.69%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 21:24
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.05%E -3.45%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.69%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 21:24
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.05%E -3.45%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.69%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 21:24
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.05%E -3.45%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.69%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 21:24
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.05%E -3.45%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.69%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 21:24
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.05%E -3.45%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.69%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 21:24
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.93%EV -7.50%E -3.70%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -4.69%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.47%EV -7.27%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 21:23
GTbets2.08I 48.08%NM 45.54%EV -5.22%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.10%EV -5.17%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.45%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 20:59
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.13%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.90%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 21:10
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.13%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.90%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 21:09
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.08%EV -5.90%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.10%EV -5.45%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 21:23
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -5.90%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 21:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -8.87%E -4.43%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -5.90%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 21:24
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -8.87%E -4.43%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -5.90%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 21:24
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.87%E -4.43%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.90%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 21:04
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.10%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 21:09
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -8.87%E -4.43%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 21:24
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 46.24%EV -10.69%E -5.45%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -7.10%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 21:24
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.24%EV -10.69%E -5.45%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -7.10%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 21:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 21:09
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 21:24
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 20:59
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -8.87%E -4.43%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -12.11%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-10 21:04
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -11.15%E -5.72%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-10 21:24
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -11.15%E -5.72%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-10 21:24
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -0.212%E -0.097%K -0.178%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.72%EV -9.03%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.02%EV -2.11%E -0.655%K -0.948%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 21:24
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 21:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 21:09
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 21:09
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.48%EV -5.22%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 21:14
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 21:24
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 21:24
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 21:24
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 21:24
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -5.22%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -10.72%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 21:14
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -5.22%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -10.72%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 21:14
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.72%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 20:59
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -10.72%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 20:59
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.97%EV -11.60%E -5.98%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -10.72%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.93%EV -9.69%E -3.25%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-10 21:00
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -13.13%E -3.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 20:59
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.13%E -3.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 20:58
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -8.87%E -4.43%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.13%E -3.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.11%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-10 21:04
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -8.87%E -4.43%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -14.34%E -4.04%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-10 21:24
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.11%EV -12.06%E -6.25%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -15.55%E -4.44%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.02%EV -12.11%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-10 21:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.38%EV -12.97%E -6.79%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.22%EV -15.55%E -4.44%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.40%EV -18.18%E -6.73%K -10.69%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-10 21:19
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.63%EV -10.69%E -5.45%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -17.96%E -5.28%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.65%EV -10.60%E -3.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-10 21:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.22%0.3%2026-05-10 21:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.8%2026-05-10 21:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.89%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%0.9%2026-05-10 20:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.89%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%0.9%2026-05-10 20:59
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.92%1.3%2026-05-10 21:25
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34%2.0%2026-05-10 21:09