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Corinthians v Santos

2026-08-30 19:00 UTC — Brazil Série A

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Corinthians (Local)

Prediction 51.36%1.95fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -4.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.96%51.31%51.28%52.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.791.811.8759.17%55.92%55.25%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Santos (Visit)

Prediction 21.06%4.75fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -0.681%
Kelly -0.870%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.55%21.00%21.06%22.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.304.334.6025.64%23.26%23.09%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.59%3.62fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -0.985%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.01%27.69%27.66%28.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.293.303.5032.26%30.44%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Corinthians (Local): 51.36%; Santos (Visit): 21.06%; Draw: 27.59%. For Santos (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.75. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.60, with an expected value of -3.13%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.34%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.92%EV -3.34%E -0.728%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.75%EV -4.55%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 18:14
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.06%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.45%E -0.985%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 18:10
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.83%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -3.45%E -0.985%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 18:08
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 18:50
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -8.82%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.72%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 18:54
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -8.82%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.72%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 18:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -8.82%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.72%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -8.82%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.72%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 18:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.24%EV -7.05%E -3.89%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.59%E -2.26%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 18:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.20%EV -7.05%E -3.89%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-17 18:08
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -8.82%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 18:10
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -8.82%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 19:15
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -9.10%E -5.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 18:10
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.69%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.89%EV -8.82%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-17 18:09
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.96%EV -11.15%E -6.45%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.16%EV -17.87%E -4.58%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.88%EV -14.48%E -4.67%K -6.90%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-17 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.04%EV -11.67%E -6.78%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-17 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.52%EV -11.67%E -6.78%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.45%EV -14.71%E -3.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.03%EV -14.48%E -4.67%K -6.90%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-17 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.84%EV -12.70%E -7.47%K -18.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.16%EV -17.87%E -4.58%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.01%EV -11.72%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-17 18:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 51.05%EV -13.21%E -7.82%K -19.14%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.30%EV -14.71%E -3.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 27.65%EV -13.93%E -4.47%K -6.57%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-17 18:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 35.68%4.55I 21.98%NM 14.04%1.27I 78.74%NM 50.29%56.6%2026-08-17 19:15

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