The School of Odds
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Corinthians v Remo

Kickoff: 2026-07-22 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Corinthians (Local)

Prediction 60.78%1.65fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -6.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.93%60.87%60.78%61.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.511.531.5869.93%66.35%65.36%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Remo (Visit)

Prediction 14.88%6.72fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -0.506%
Kelly -0.597%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.55%14.88%14.88%16.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.986.206.5020.00%16.73%16.13%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.34%4.11fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -0.657%
Kelly -0.876%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.34%24.25%24.34%26.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.683.754.0032.26%27.20%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Corinthians (Local): 60.78%; Remo (Visit): 14.88%; Draw: 24.34%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -2.63%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.87%EV -3.97%E -2.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.84%EV -3.58%E -0.553%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.29%EV -3.60%E -0.909%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-09 18:59
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.43%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -3.29%E -0.506%K -0.597%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -7.50%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 18:39
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.43%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -3.29%E -0.506%K -0.597%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -7.50%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-04 03:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.23%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -3.29%E -0.506%K -0.597%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-03 21:19
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -4.77%E -0.746%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -9.93%E -2.68%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-03 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -4.77%E -0.746%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -9.93%E -2.68%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-03 18:40
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -3.29%E -0.506%K -0.597%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -2.63%E -0.657%K -0.876%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-03 18:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.93%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.80%EV -6.26%E -0.994%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -6.52%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-09 12:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.63%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.96%EV -7.75%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -7.50%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-03 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.50%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-03 18:38
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.49%EV -10.05%E -6.79%K -20.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -10.73%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -5.06%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-03 22:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.32%EV -10.66%E -7.25%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.45%EV -21.14%E -3.99%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -12.36%E -3.43%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.7%2026-06-03 18:40
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.32%EV -12.48%E -8.67%K -28.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.27%EV -21.89%E -4.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.41%EV -14.80%E -4.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%17.1%2026-06-03 21:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.16%EV -12.48%E -8.67%K -28.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.78%EV -19.65%E -3.64%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.06%EV -17.23%E -5.07%K -7.18%G +0.000%17.4%2026-06-03 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 58.64%EV -12.48%E -8.67%K -28.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.89%EV -25.60%E -5.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.47%EV -16.02%E -4.64%K -6.54%G +0.000%18.4%2026-06-03 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 57.93%EV -12.48%E -8.67%K -28.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.17%EV -18.17%E -3.30%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.91%EV -24.54%E -7.91%K -11.68%G +0.000%19.9%2026-06-03 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 59.33%EV -13.09%E -9.15%K -30.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.71%EV -19.65%E -3.64%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.95%EV -17.23%E -5.07%K -7.18%G +0.000%17.9%2026-06-03 18:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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