默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Corinthians v Internacional

开赛时间: 2026-04-05 22:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Corinthians (主队)

预测 42.96%2.33公平赔率
EV -2.92%
优势 -1.29%
Kelly -2.32%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.26

博彩公司预测分布
41.87%42.95%42.98%44.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.152.152.2650.00%46.41%46.51%44.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

Internacional (客队)

预测 26.39%3.79公平赔率
EV +1.33%
优势 +0.347%
Kelly +0.469%
增长率 +0.006%

假设最高赔率为 3.84

博彩公司预测分布
25.04%26.39%26.35%28.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.553.583.8430.77%28.16%27.93%26.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 30.66%3.26公平赔率
EV -1.90%
优势 -0.594%
Kelly -0.865%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.20

博彩公司预测分布
29.86%30.66%30.67%31.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.703.043.053.2037.04%32.94%32.79%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Corinthians (主队):42.96%;Internacional (客队):26.39%;平局:30.66%。 对于“Internacional (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.79。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.84,对应+1.33%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.32%EV -3.78%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.27%EV +1.33%E +0.347%K +0.469%G +0.006%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.41%EV -5.27%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 22:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.12%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV +0.277%E +0.073%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -1.90%E -0.594%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 22:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.12%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV +0.277%E +0.073%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -1.90%E -0.594%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 22:10
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.25%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV +0.277%E +0.073%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.49%EV -8.07%E -3.77%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.04%E -0.278%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.13%EV -3.13%E -0.990%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 21:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.49%EV -8.07%E -3.77%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.04%E -0.278%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.13%EV -3.13%E -0.990%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 21:50
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.40%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.80%EV -2.36%E -0.638%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 22:05
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.76%EV -2.92%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -2.89%E -0.785%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.98%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.92%EV -8.07%E -3.77%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 22:20
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.92%EV -8.07%E -3.77%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 22:19
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.92%EV -8.07%E -3.77%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 22:20
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.92%EV -8.07%E -3.77%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.92%EV -8.07%E -3.77%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 22:19
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.92%EV -8.07%E -3.77%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 22:20
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -8.93%E -4.21%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 21:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.76%EV -5.07%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:19
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.64%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 17:35
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.64%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.64%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.64%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 22:05
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.64%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 22:04
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 22:15
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 22:14
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.64%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 22:24
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.02%EV -9.79%E -4.66%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.31%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.02%EV -9.79%E -4.66%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.31%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 22:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.79%E -4.66%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 21:44
GTbets🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.95%EV -4.64%E -2.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.78%EV -6.06%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%EV -3.44%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 22:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.95%EV -6.79%E -3.13%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -6.06%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.86%EV -7.42%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 22:25
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 22:05
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 22:14
BetUS🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.39%EV -5.07%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 22:19
BetAnything🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.39%EV -5.07%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 22:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -11.08%E -5.35%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 22:20
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -11.08%E -5.35%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 22:18
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -11.10%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 22:25
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -11.10%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 22:24
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.79%E -4.66%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.71%E -4.07%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-05 22:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.85%EV -11.94%E -5.82%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 22:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.85%EV -11.94%E -5.82%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 22:20
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -4.64%E -2.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -8.65%E -2.90%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 22:04
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -4.64%E -2.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -8.65%E -2.90%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 22:05
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.51%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.98%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 22:23
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 22:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 22:10
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 22:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.94%EV -10.65%E -5.12%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -11.10%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 22:23
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.94%E -5.82%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.10%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 22:19
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -9.79%E -4.66%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -14.16%E -5.06%K -7.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 22:14
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 22:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -9.79%E -4.66%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 22:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -12.92%E -3.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 22:05
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.64%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.92%E -3.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 22:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -11.94%E -5.82%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -14.24%E -4.38%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -11.10%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-05 22:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.44%EV -14.09%E -7.04%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.12%EV -14.24%E -4.38%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.44%EV -17.23%E -6.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-05 22:17
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-04-05 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-04-05 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-04-05 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-04-05 22:10
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.0%2026-04-05 22:25
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.13%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11%2.0%2026-04-05 22:25