La escuela de los momios

Corinthians v Internacional

Inicio: 2026-04-05 22:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Corinthians (Local)

Predicción 42.96%2.33momio equitativo
EV -2.92%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -2.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.87%42.95%42.98%44.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.152.2650.00%46.41%46.51%44.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Internacional (Visitante)

Predicción 26.39%3.79momio equitativo
EV +1.33%
Ventaja +0.347%
Kelly +0.469%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.04%26.39%26.35%28.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.553.583.8430.77%28.16%27.93%26.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.66%3.26momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -0.594%
Kelly -0.865%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.86%30.66%30.67%31.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.043.053.2037.04%32.94%32.79%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 43.32%EV -3.78%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.27%EV +1.33%E +0.347%K +0.469%G +0.006%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.41%EV -5.27%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 22:25
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.12%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV +0.277%E +0.073%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -1.90%E -0.594%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 22:10
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.12%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV +0.277%E +0.073%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -1.90%E -0.594%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 22:10
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.25%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV +0.277%E +0.073%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 21:55
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.49%EV -8.07%E -3.77%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.04%E -0.278%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.13%EV -3.13%E -0.990%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 21:54
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.49%EV -8.07%E -3.77%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.04%E -0.278%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.13%EV -3.13%E -0.990%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 21:50
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.40%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.80%EV -2.36%E -0.638%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 22:05
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.76%EV -2.92%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -2.89%E -0.785%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.98%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 22:20
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.92%EV -8.07%E -3.77%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 22:20
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.92%EV -8.07%E -3.77%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 22:19
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.92%EV -8.07%E -3.77%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 22:20
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 43.92%EV -8.07%E -3.77%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 22:20
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.92%EV -8.07%E -3.77%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 22:19
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 43.92%EV -8.07%E -3.77%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 22:20
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -8.93%E -4.21%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 21:55
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 42.76%EV -5.07%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 22:20
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:19
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.64%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 17:35
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.64%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.64%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.64%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 22:05
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.64%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 22:04
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 22:15
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 22:14
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.64%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 22:24
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 44.02%EV -9.79%E -4.66%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.31%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.02%EV -9.79%E -4.66%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.31%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 22:14
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.79%E -4.66%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 21:44
GTbets2.22I 45.05%NM 42.95%EV -4.64%E -2.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.78%EV -6.06%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%EV -3.44%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 22:24
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.95%EV -6.79%E -3.13%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -6.06%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.86%EV -7.42%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 22:25
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 22:05
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 22:14
BetUS2.21I 45.25%NM 42.39%EV -5.07%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 22:19
BetAnything2.21I 45.25%NM 42.39%EV -5.07%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 22:19
PMU (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -11.08%E -5.35%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 22:20
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -11.08%E -5.35%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 22:18
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -11.10%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 22:25
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -11.10%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 22:24
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.79%E -4.66%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.71%E -4.07%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-05 22:14
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.85%EV -11.94%E -5.82%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 22:19
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.85%EV -11.94%E -5.82%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 22:20
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -4.64%E -2.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -8.65%E -2.90%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 22:04
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -4.64%E -2.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -8.65%E -2.90%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 22:05
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.51%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.98%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 22:23
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 22:04
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 22:10
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 22:05
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.94%EV -10.65%E -5.12%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -11.10%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 22:23
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.94%E -5.82%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.10%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 22:19
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -9.79%E -4.66%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -14.16%E -5.06%K -7.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 22:14
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 22:10
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -9.79%E -4.66%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 22:20
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -12.92%E -3.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 22:05
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.64%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.92%E -3.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 22:04
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -11.94%E -5.82%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -14.24%E -4.38%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -11.10%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-05 22:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.44%EV -14.09%E -7.04%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.12%EV -14.24%E -4.38%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.44%EV -17.23%E -6.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-05 22:17
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-04-05 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-04-05 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-04-05 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-04-05 22:10
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.0%2026-04-05 22:25
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.13%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11%2.0%2026-04-05 22:25