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Corinthians v Fluminense

2026-09-20 19:00 UTC — Brazil Série A

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Corinthians (Local)

Prediction 40.55%2.47fair odd
EV -3.48%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.84%40.53%40.55%41.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.252.302.3848.08%44.39%43.48%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fluminense (Visit)

Prediction 29.44%3.40fair odd
EV -4.31%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.76%29.42%29.53%29.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.103.123.2534.48%32.22%32.05%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.00%3.33fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.02%30.04%29.92%30.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.053.003.2134.48%32.80%33.33%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Corinthians (Local): 40.55%; Fluminense (Visit): 29.44%; Draw: 30.00%. For Corinthians (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.38, with an expected value of -3.48%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.28%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.86%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.86%EV -3.69%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 21:15
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.70%E -2.00%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.99%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 18:15
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -4.70%E -2.00%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -4.31%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 20:39
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -5.92%E -2.55%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 21:00
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -5.92%E -2.55%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 21:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.31%EV -6.32%E -2.74%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.84%EV -8.14%E -2.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.84%EV -6.39%E -2.05%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 20:34
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.73%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.99%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 18:19
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.73%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.99%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 18:45
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.73%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 22:05
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.73%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 22:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.73%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 22:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.73%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 22:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.99%E -2.25%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 18:13
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.99%E -2.25%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 18:15
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.99%E -2.25%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 22:05
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.78%E -4.90%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-07 18:19
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.28%EV -12.81%E -5.96%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.86%EV -14.62%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.86%EV -12.99%E -4.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-07 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.46%EV -14.84%E -7.07%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -13.15%E -4.46%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-07 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.25%EV -14.84%E -7.07%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.87%EV -12.99%E -4.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-07 18:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.05%EV -14.84%E -7.07%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.73%EV -14.62%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.22%EV -11.49%E -3.89%K -5.89%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-07 18:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 41.48%EV -15.65%E -7.52%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.76%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.75%EV -12.99%E -4.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-07 18:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 37.35%2.86I 34.97%NM 30.43%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.23%14.9%2026-09-08 01:35