Language:English
Chapecoense v Sao Paulo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chapecoense (Local)
Prediction 23.47%4.26fair odd
EV +6.09%
Edge +1.35%
Kelly +1.73%
Growth +0.105%
assuming max odds 4.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.42%23.39%23.47%24.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.933.954.5228.17%25.46%25.32%22.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sao Paulo (Visit)
Prediction 47.56%2.10fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.517%
Kelly -0.996%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.95%47.61%47.67%49.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.971.952.0854.05%50.87%51.28%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.97%3.45fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.617%
Kelly -0.877%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.08%29.00%28.87%30.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.203.203.3833.33%31.23%31.25%29.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chapecoense (Local): 23.47%; Sao Paulo (Visit): 47.56%; Draw: 28.97%. For Chapecoense (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.26. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.09%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.48%EV +6.09%E +1.35%K +1.73%G +0.105% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.79%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.73%EV -2.09%E -0.617%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV +0.928%E +0.216%K +0.281%G +0.003% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.79%EV -12.01%E -6.49%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 21:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.64%EV +0.224%E +0.052%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -5.36%E -2.69%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.77%EV -2.67%E -0.793%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 21:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -0.246%E -0.058%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.84%EV -5.36%E -2.69%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 21:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -1.42%E -0.338%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.93%E -1.95%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22%EV -8.75%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -1.42%E -0.338%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.19%EV -2.12%E -0.509%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.11%EV -4.40%E -2.19%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.70%EV -2.38%E -0.705%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 20:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.19%EV -2.12%E -0.509%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.11%EV -4.40%E -2.19%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.70%EV -2.38%E -0.705%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 20:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.19%EV -2.12%E -0.509%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.11%EV -4.40%E -2.19%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.70%EV -2.38%E -0.705%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 20:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -3.77%E -0.919%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -3.77%E -0.919%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -9.16%E -4.80%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -4.94%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.73%E -3.99%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.82%EV -6.14%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 21:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.44%EV -5.41%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.19%EV -6.78%E -3.46%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.37%EV -3.53%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.71%EV -1.08%E -0.517%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.00%EV -2.96%E -0.882%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-23 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.71%EV -1.08%E -0.517%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.00%EV -2.96%E -0.882%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 21:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 20:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 21:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 21:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 21:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-23 21:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -8.75%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 20:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 21:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -9.16%E -4.80%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 21:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -9.16%E -4.80%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -9.16%E -4.80%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -9.16%E -4.80%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 21:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -9.16%E -4.80%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 21:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -6.11%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -9.16%E -4.80%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 21:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -7.29%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.76%EV -3.93%E -1.95%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.33%EV -6.72%E -2.09%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 21:03 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -7.29%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.67%EV -3.93%E -1.95%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 20:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.29%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -5.83%E -2.95%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -8.75%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 20:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.29%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -5.83%E -2.95%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -8.75%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 21:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 21:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 21:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 21:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-23 20:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 21:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -6.31%E -3.20%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 21:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 21:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-23 21:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 20:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -9.16%E -4.80%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-23 21:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.73%EV -11.06%E -5.92%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-23 21:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.83%EV -11.28%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.92%EV -8.68%E -4.52%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.25%EV -10.78%E -3.50%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-23 21:03 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -11.98%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.08%EV -3.93%E -1.95%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -11.98%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.08%EV -3.93%E -1.95%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -11.98%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.08%EV -3.93%E -1.95%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -11.98%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.08%EV -3.93%E -1.95%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 21:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -11.98%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.08%EV -3.93%E -1.95%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 21:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -11.98%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 21:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -13.16%E -3.56%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.94%EV -7.73%E -3.99%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -13.16%E -3.56%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.60%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -8.75%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-23 21:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75%EV -14.33%E -3.93%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.10%EV -6.78%E -3.46%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -14.33%E -3.93%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.61%EV -8.68%E -4.52%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 20:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -15.50%E -4.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -15.50%E -4.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.98%EV -16.68%E -4.70%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.95%EV -8.21%E -4.25%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.07%EV -11.65%E -3.82%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 21:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.98%EV -16.68%E -4.70%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.95%EV -8.21%E -4.25%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.07%EV -11.65%E -3.82%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 21:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.76% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66% | 0.7% | 2026-08-23 21:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 21:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 21:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.79% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 1.6% | 2026-08-23 21:25 |