L’École des cotes

Chapecoense v Remo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 21:30 UTC

Score final : Chapecoense 2–3 Remo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chapecoense (Local)

Prévision 37.55%2.66cote équitable
EV -2.00%
Avantage -0.765%
Kelly -1.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.92%37.53%37.54%38.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.462.452.6144.44%40.63%40.82%38.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Remo (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.39%2.99cote équitable
EV +0.171%
Avantage +0.057%
Kelly +0.085%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.89%33.39%33.40%34.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.812.803.0038.46%35.54%35.71%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.06%3.44cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.438%
Kelly -0.621%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.97%29.08%29.06%30.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.193.203.3933.33%31.32%31.25%29.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.60%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV +0.171%E +0.057%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 21:00
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.60%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV +0.171%E +0.057%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 21:00
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.81%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.56%EV -0.497%E -0.167%K -0.251%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.62%EV -1.49%E -0.438%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 21:20
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -8.76%E -3.60%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -1.50%E -0.508%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 21:20
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -8.76%E -3.60%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -1.50%E -0.508%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 21:20
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -8.76%E -3.60%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -1.50%E -0.508%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 21:20
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -8.76%E -3.60%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -1.50%E -0.508%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 21:20
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -8.76%E -3.60%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -1.50%E -0.508%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 21:20
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -8.76%E -3.60%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -1.50%E -0.508%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 21:20
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 37.06%EV -2.00%E -0.765%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.36%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.58%EV -4.97%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 21:20
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.50%EV -8.76%E -3.60%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -3.84%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.46%E -2.69%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 21:00
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -10.63%E -4.47%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -3.84%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -8.46%E -2.69%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 21:20
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.24%EV -3.87%E -1.51%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -4.50%E -1.57%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.42%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 21:00
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.24%EV -3.87%E -1.51%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -4.50%E -1.57%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.42%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 21:00
Coolbet2.53I 39.53%NM 37.67%EV -5.00%E -1.98%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 21:05
GTbets2.48I 40.32%NM 38.18%EV -6.88%E -2.77%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.22%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.60%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 20:49
Codere (IT)2.49I 40.16%NM 37.88%EV -6.50%E -2.61%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.02%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 20:50
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 20:54
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -11.76%E -5.00%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 21:20
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -11.76%E -5.00%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 21:20
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.50%EV -6.88%E -2.77%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.98%EV -5.84%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -8.46%E -2.69%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 21:05
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.50%EV -6.88%E -2.77%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.98%EV -5.84%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -8.46%E -2.69%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 20:45
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -2.37%E -0.912%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 21:05
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -4.25%E -1.67%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 21:15
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 21:10
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 21:10
Bovada2.57I 38.91%NM 36.58%EV -3.50%E -1.36%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.46%E -2.69%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 21:24
BetUS2.57I 38.91%NM 36.58%EV -3.50%E -1.36%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.46%E -2.69%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 21:25
BetAnything2.57I 38.91%NM 36.58%EV -3.50%E -1.36%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.46%E -2.69%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:10
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:10
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -4.25%E -1.67%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 21:05
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -8.46%E -2.69%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 21:05
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 20:45
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.70%EV -12.51%E -5.37%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.21%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 21:20
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.70%EV -12.51%E -5.37%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.21%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 21:20
Marathon Bet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.72%EV -4.62%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.67%EV -7.51%E -2.71%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -8.46%E -2.69%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 21:25
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 20:54
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -2.37%E -0.912%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 20:54
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -4.25%E -1.67%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.46%E -2.69%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 20:54
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 21:00
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 21:00
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 21:00
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 21:00
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 21:25
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 21:25
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 21:25
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 21:25
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 20:50
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -10.63%E -4.47%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 20:47
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 21:05
Betclic (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.25%EV -12.51%E -5.37%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.01%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 21:05
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.48%EV -15.51%E -6.90%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.67%EV -11.52%E -4.35%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.86%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-17 21:05
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -12.18%E -4.63%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 21:05
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -13.64%E -5.93%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -13.19%E -5.07%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-17 20:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.37%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.20%0.4%2026-05-17 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.37%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.20%0.4%2026-05-17 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.37%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.20%0.4%2026-05-17 21:25
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13%0.6%2026-05-17 21:25
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.50%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.9%2026-05-17 21:25
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.32%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-05-17 21:10