La escuela de los momios

Chapecoense v Remo

Inicio: 2026-05-17 21:30 UTC

Final: Chapecoense 2–3 Remo

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chapecoense (Local)

Predicción 37.55%2.66momio equitativo
EV -2.00%
Ventaja -0.765%
Kelly -1.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.92%37.53%37.54%38.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.462.452.6144.44%40.63%40.82%38.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Remo (Visitante)

Predicción 33.39%2.99momio equitativo
EV +0.171%
Ventaja +0.057%
Kelly +0.085%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.89%33.39%33.40%34.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.812.803.0038.46%35.54%35.71%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.06%3.44momio equitativo
EV -1.49%
Ventaja -0.438%
Kelly -0.621%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.39

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.97%29.08%29.06%30.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.193.203.3933.33%31.32%31.25%29.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.60%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV +0.171%E +0.057%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 21:00
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.60%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV +0.171%E +0.057%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 21:00
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.81%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.56%EV -0.497%E -0.167%K -0.251%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.62%EV -1.49%E -0.438%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 21:20
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -8.76%E -3.60%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -1.50%E -0.508%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 21:20
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -8.76%E -3.60%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -1.50%E -0.508%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 21:20
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -8.76%E -3.60%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -1.50%E -0.508%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 21:20
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -8.76%E -3.60%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -1.50%E -0.508%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 21:20
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -8.76%E -3.60%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -1.50%E -0.508%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 21:20
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -8.76%E -3.60%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -1.50%E -0.508%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 21:20
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 37.06%EV -2.00%E -0.765%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.36%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.58%EV -4.97%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 21:20
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.50%EV -8.76%E -3.60%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -3.84%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.46%E -2.69%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 21:00
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -10.63%E -4.47%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -3.84%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -8.46%E -2.69%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 21:20
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.24%EV -3.87%E -1.51%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -4.50%E -1.57%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.42%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 21:00
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.24%EV -3.87%E -1.51%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -4.50%E -1.57%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.42%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 21:00
Coolbet2.53I 39.53%NM 37.67%EV -5.00%E -1.98%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 21:05
GTbets2.48I 40.32%NM 38.18%EV -6.88%E -2.77%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.22%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.60%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 20:49
Codere (IT)2.49I 40.16%NM 37.88%EV -6.50%E -2.61%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.02%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 20:50
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 20:54
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -11.76%E -5.00%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 21:20
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -11.76%E -5.00%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 21:20
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.50%EV -6.88%E -2.77%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.98%EV -5.84%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -8.46%E -2.69%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 21:05
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.50%EV -6.88%E -2.77%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.98%EV -5.84%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -8.46%E -2.69%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 20:45
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -2.37%E -0.912%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 21:05
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -4.25%E -1.67%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 21:15
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 21:10
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 21:10
Bovada2.57I 38.91%NM 36.58%EV -3.50%E -1.36%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.46%E -2.69%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 21:24
BetUS2.57I 38.91%NM 36.58%EV -3.50%E -1.36%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.46%E -2.69%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 21:25
BetAnything2.57I 38.91%NM 36.58%EV -3.50%E -1.36%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.46%E -2.69%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:10
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:10
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -4.25%E -1.67%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 21:05
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -8.46%E -2.69%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 21:05
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 20:45
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.70%EV -12.51%E -5.37%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.21%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 21:20
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.70%EV -12.51%E -5.37%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.21%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 21:20
Marathon Bet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.72%EV -4.62%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.67%EV -7.51%E -2.71%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -8.46%E -2.69%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 21:25
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 20:54
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -2.37%E -0.912%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 20:54
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -4.25%E -1.67%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.46%E -2.69%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 20:54
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 21:00
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 21:00
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 21:00
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 21:00
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 21:25
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 21:25
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 21:25
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 21:25
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 20:50
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -10.63%E -4.47%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 20:47
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 21:05
Betclic (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.25%EV -12.51%E -5.37%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.01%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 21:05
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.48%EV -15.51%E -6.90%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.67%EV -11.52%E -4.35%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.86%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-17 21:05
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -12.18%E -4.63%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 21:05
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -13.64%E -5.93%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -13.19%E -5.07%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-17 20:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.37%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.20%0.4%2026-05-17 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.37%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.20%0.4%2026-05-17 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.37%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.20%0.4%2026-05-17 21:25
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13%0.6%2026-05-17 21:25
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.50%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.9%2026-05-17 21:25
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.32%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-05-17 21:10