Language:English
Chapecoense v Flamengo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chapecoense (Local)
Prediction 11.21%8.92fair odd
EV +6.51%
Edge +0.685%
Kelly +0.765%
Growth +0.050%
assuming max odds 9.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.97%11.26%11.11%13.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.758.328.509.5014.81%12.02%11.76%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Flamengo (Visit)
Prediction 68.69%1.46fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -5.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.88%68.69%68.81%70.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.361.361.4276.92%73.42%73.53%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.10%4.98fair odd
EV +0.702%
Edge +0.140%
Kelly +0.175%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 5.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.01%20.05%20.08%21.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.624.605.0123.26%21.64%21.74%19.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chapecoense (Local): 11.21%; Flamengo (Visit): 68.69%; Draw: 20.10%. For Chapecoense (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.92. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.51%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +6.51%E +0.685%K +0.765%G +0.050% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.70%EV -7.96%E -5.94%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-23 00:23 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 9.22I 10.85%NM 10.45%EV +3.37%E +0.365%K +0.410%G +0.014% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.32%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.23%EV +0.702%E +0.140%K +0.175%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.76%EV +0.900%E +0.100%K +0.113%G +0.001% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.65%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.59%EV -5.53%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.76%EV +0.900%E +0.100%K +0.113%G +0.001% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.65%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.59%EV -5.53%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.73%EV +0.900%E +0.100%K +0.113%G +0.001% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.45%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.82%EV -2.11%E -0.434%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-22 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.73%EV +0.900%E +0.100%K +0.113%G +0.001% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.45%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.82%EV -2.11%E -0.434%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.73%EV +0.900%E +0.100%K +0.113%G +0.001% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.45%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.82%EV -2.11%E -0.434%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-22 22:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV +0.900%E +0.100%K +0.113%G +0.001% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.96%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.47%EV -6.53%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV +0.900%E +0.100%K +0.113%G +0.001% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.42%EV -7.27%E -5.39%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV +0.501%E +0.100%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-07-23 00:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +0.900%E +0.100%K +0.113%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -8.64%E -6.50%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -4.52%E -0.952%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV +0.900%E +0.100%K +0.113%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.64%E -6.50%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-23 00:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -1.34%E -0.153%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.57%EV -7.96%E -5.94%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -5.53%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.58I 11.66%NM 11.34%EV -3.81%E -0.444%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.55%EV -2.46%E -1.73%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 20.11%EV -2.72%E -0.561%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 8.57I 11.67%NM 11.00%EV -3.92%E -0.457%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.29%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.71%EV -8.54%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-22 23:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV -4.71%E -0.554%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.97%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -3.52%E -0.733%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -4.71%E -0.554%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.13%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.52%E -0.733%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -4.71%E -0.554%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.14%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -4.52%E -0.952%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -4.71%E -0.554%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.14%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -4.52%E -0.952%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-23 00:23 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -4.71%E -0.554%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.54%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.71%E -0.554%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.23%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 23:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -4.71%E -0.554%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -4.71%E -0.554%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -4.71%E -0.554%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -4.71%E -0.554%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -4.71%E -0.554%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -4.71%E -0.554%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -4.71%E -0.554%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -4.71%E -0.554%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.86%EV -7.27%E -5.39%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 23:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -4.71%E -0.554%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.55%EV -7.27%E -5.39%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -4.71%E -0.554%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.55%EV -7.27%E -5.39%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 23:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -4.71%E -0.554%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.92%EV -9.33%E -7.07%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -3.52%E -0.733%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-23 00:23 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -4.71%E -0.554%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.84%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.31%EV -12.97%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-22 23:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -4.71%E -0.554%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.55%EV -8.64%E -6.50%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -4.71%E -0.554%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.55%EV -8.64%E -6.50%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -4.71%E -0.554%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.55%EV -8.64%E -6.50%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -4.71%E -0.554%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.66%EV -10.70%E -8.23%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -4.71%E -0.554%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -10.70%E -8.23%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.37%EV -5.83%E -0.694%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.73%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.90%EV -3.52%E -0.733%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.51%EV -8.07%E -0.984%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.40%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -5.53%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -10.31%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%EV -3.52%E -0.733%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-22 23:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -10.31%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%EV -3.52%E -0.733%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -10.31%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -4.52%E -0.952%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 23:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -10.31%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -10.31%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -7.27%E -5.39%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -4.52%E -0.952%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 23:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -10.31%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -10.31%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.37%EV -10.70%E -8.23%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -12.97%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -11.43%E -1.45%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.19%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -10.55%E -2.37%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -11.43%E -1.45%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.19%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -10.55%E -2.37%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.91%EV -13.11%E -1.69%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.88%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.22%EV -12.56%E -2.89%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.64%EV -13.11%E -1.69%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.85%EV -8.64%E -6.50%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -15.92%E -2.12%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-22 23:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -15.92%E -2.12%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-22 23:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -15.92%E -2.12%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-22 23:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -15.92%E -2.12%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -15.92%E -2.12%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -15.92%E -2.12%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -15.92%E -2.12%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 11.95%EV -17.04%E -2.30%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.49%EV -10.02%E -7.65%K -32.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.56%EV -13.57%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.57%EV -18.72%E -2.58%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -7.96%E -5.94%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -5.53%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.01%EV -24.32%E -3.60%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.03%EV -10.02%E -7.65%K -32.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.11% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.61% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.28% | -0.2% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.44% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10% | 0.7% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.44% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10% | 0.7% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.44% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10% | 0.7% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.26% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.91% | 1.7% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.80% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.56% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.64% | 2.0% | 2026-07-22 23:50 |
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