La scuola delle quote

Chapecoense v Corinthians

Inizio: 2026-03-20 00:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Chapecoense (Casa)

Previsione 28.86%3.47quota equa
EV +5.33%
Vantaggio +1.46%
Kelly +2.01%
Crescita +0.107%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.57%28.73%28.93%29.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.273.253.6533.90%30.57%30.77%27.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Corinthians (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.04%2.44quota equa
EV -3.14%
Vantaggio -1.33%
Kelly -2.31%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.23%41.12%41.02%42.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.242.252.3650.00%44.73%44.44%42.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.10%3.32quota equa
EV -3.67%
Vantaggio -1.15%
Kelly -1.67%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.86%30.16%30.05%31.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.073.103.2037.04%32.61%32.26%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV +5.33%E +1.46%K +2.01%G +0.107%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.73%EV -6.84%E -3.01%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.70%EV -4.88%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 00:24
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV +2.44%E +0.688%K +0.958%G +0.023%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.79%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.09%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 00:19
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV +2.44%E +0.688%K +0.958%G +0.023%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.79%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.09%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 00:19
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -0.442%E -0.128%K -0.181%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -5.18%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 00:14
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -0.442%E -0.128%K -0.181%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -5.18%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 00:12
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -0.442%E -0.128%K -0.181%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -5.18%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 00:12
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -0.442%E -0.128%K -0.181%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -5.18%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 00:12
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -0.442%E -0.128%K -0.181%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -5.18%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 00:12
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -0.442%E -0.128%K -0.181%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -5.18%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 00:12
Pinnacle3.42I 29.24%NM 28.29%EV -1.31%E -0.382%K -0.540%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%EV -5.18%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 00:15
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.89%E -0.554%K -0.785%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -6.68%E -2.16%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 00:09
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -1.89%E -0.554%K -0.785%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.68%E -2.16%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 00:10
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -1.89%E -0.554%K -0.785%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86%EV -10.53%E -4.83%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -5.18%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 00:14
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -1.89%E -0.554%K -0.785%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.77%EV -10.94%E -5.04%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.68%E -2.16%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 00:20
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -1.89%E -0.554%K -0.785%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -11.20%E -3.80%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 00:19
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -3.33%E -0.993%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -11.35%E -5.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -8.19%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 00:19
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -3.33%E -0.993%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.73%EV -12.17%E -5.69%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -8.19%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-20 00:19
LowVig.ag3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -4.19%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.02%EV -4.79%E -2.06%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.31%EV -5.48%E -1.74%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 23:55
BetOnline.ag3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -4.19%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.02%EV -4.79%E -2.06%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.31%EV -5.48%E -1.74%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 23:55
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -4.77%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:34
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -4.77%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.19%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 00:15
BetAnything3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -4.77%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.19%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 00:15
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -4.77%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.19%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 00:15
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -4.77%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.07%EV -6.84%E -3.01%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -8.49%E -2.79%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 00:25
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -4.77%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -12.99%E -6.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-20 00:19
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -4.77%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -12.99%E -6.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-20 00:19
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 23:34
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -3.56%E -1.51%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.68%E -2.16%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 23:34
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -5.18%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 23:35
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -5.18%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 00:00
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -5.18%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 23:39
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 00:19
Everygame3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -8.19%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 23:45
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-20 00:09
GTbets3.23I 30.96%NM 28.79%EV -6.79%E -2.10%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.70%EV -8.48%E -3.80%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -5.18%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 23:40
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.66%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.66%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.68%E -2.16%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 23:34
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.66%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.68%E -2.16%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 23:34
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.66%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.68%E -2.16%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 23:34
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.66%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.68%E -2.16%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 23:34
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.66%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -4.79%E -2.06%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -8.19%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 23:44
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.66%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -4.79%E -2.06%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -8.19%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 23:44
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.66%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.68%E -2.16%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 23:39
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.66%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 23:45
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.66%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 00:24
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.66%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 00:19
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.66%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 00:24
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.66%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 00:24
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -7.66%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-20 00:10
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -9.10%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -5.18%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 23:40
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.10%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.68%E -2.16%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 00:24
Fliff3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -9.10%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.47%EV -11.76%E -5.47%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -11.20%E -3.80%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-20 00:24
Unibet (FR)3.12I 32.05%NM 28.59%EV -9.97%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 41.88%EV -12.58%E -5.91%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.54%EV -9.09%E -3.01%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-19 23:54
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.54%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-19 23:35
Betclic (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.54%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.76%E -5.47%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-20 00:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -10.54%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -17.92%E -8.96%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -15.71%E -5.61%K -8.73%G +0.000%18.0%2026-03-20 00:15
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -11.99%E -3.93%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -5.18%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-19 23:39
Parions Sport (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -11.99%E -3.93%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.87%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-20 00:05
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 27.69%EV -13.43%E -4.48%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.54%EV -17.92%E -8.96%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -18.72%E -6.93%K -11.01%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-20 00:10
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -14.87%E -5.04%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.89%EV -11.76%E -5.47%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-19 23:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-03-20 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-03-20 00:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-03-20 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-03-20 00:14
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-03-20 00:25
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.22%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.14%1.9%2026-03-20 00:15