La scuola delle quote

Bragantino-SP v Vitoria

Inizio: 2026-05-17 21:30 UTC

Finale: Bragantino-SP 2–0 Vitoria

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

58 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Bragantino-SP (Casa)

Previsione 59.81%1.67quota equa
EV -0.711%
Vantaggio -0.429%
Kelly -1.08%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.90%59.78%59.81%61.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.461.551.551.6668.49%64.68%64.52%60.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vitoria (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.07%5.86quota equa
EV +9.28%
Vantaggio +1.45%
Kelly +1.72%
Crescita +0.159%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.04%17.00%17.11%18.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.705.615.506.4021.28%17.82%18.18%15.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.11%4.33quota equa
EV -2.93%
Vantaggio -0.697%
Kelly -0.914%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.31%23.21%23.08%24.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.704.014.004.2027.03%24.93%24.97%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.76%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.15%EV +9.28%E +1.45%K +1.72%G +0.159%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%EV -2.93%E -0.697%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 21:05
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.76%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.15%EV +9.28%E +1.45%K +1.72%G +0.159%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%EV -2.93%E -0.697%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 21:05
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV +6.72%E +1.07%K +1.28%G +0.086%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 21:05
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV +6.72%E +1.07%K +1.28%G +0.086%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 21:05
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV +6.72%E +1.07%K +1.28%G +0.086%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 21:05
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV +6.72%E +1.07%K +1.28%G +0.086%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 21:05
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV +6.72%E +1.07%K +1.28%G +0.086%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 21:05
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV +6.72%E +1.07%K +1.28%G +0.086%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 21:05
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -9.68%E -6.41%K -18.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.23%EV +4.16%E +0.681%K +0.815%G +0.034%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.69%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV +4.16%E +0.681%K +0.815%G +0.034%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 21:05
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.13%EV -6.69%E -4.29%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.89%EV +2.45%E +0.408%K +0.490%G +0.012%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.98%EV -4.08%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 21:20
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.13%EV -6.69%E -4.29%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.89%EV +2.45%E +0.408%K +0.490%G +0.012%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.98%EV -4.08%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 21:20
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 61.13%EV -6.69%E -4.29%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.89%EV +2.45%E +0.408%K +0.490%G +0.012%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.98%EV -4.08%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 21:20
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 61.13%EV -6.69%E -4.29%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.89%EV +2.45%E +0.408%K +0.490%G +0.012%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.98%EV -4.08%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 21:20
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.36%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV +2.45%E +0.408%K +0.490%G +0.012%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.70%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 21:05
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.49%EV -11.48%E -7.76%K -23.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV +2.45%E +0.408%K +0.490%G +0.012%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 20:50
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.82%EV -12.67%E -8.68%K -27.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV +2.45%E +0.408%K +0.490%G +0.012%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:05
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.82%EV -12.67%E -8.68%K -27.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV +2.45%E +0.408%K +0.490%G +0.012%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:05
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 60.71%EV -4.90%E -3.08%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.20%EV +1.77%E +0.296%K +0.356%G +0.006%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.09%EV -3.39%E -0.811%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 21:20
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.09%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -0.966%E -0.167%K -0.201%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 21:20
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -0.966%E -0.167%K -0.201%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 20:50
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.57%EV -5.50%E -3.48%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -1.82%E -0.316%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.93%E -0.697%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 20:55
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 60.37%EV -6.69%E -4.29%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -1.82%E -0.316%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.25%EV -6.39%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 21:15
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -1.82%E -0.316%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 21:00
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 59.29%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.20%EV -4.38%E -0.782%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -14.48%E -3.91%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 21:25
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.17%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.80%EV -5.23%E -0.943%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -6.39%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 21:00
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 60.01%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.54I 18.05%NM 16.79%EV -5.41%E -0.976%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.20%EV -7.32%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 21:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -2.93%E -0.697%K -0.914%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 21:10
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -2.93%E -0.697%K -0.914%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 21:10
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -2.93%E -0.697%K -0.914%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 21:10
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 21:25
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 21:20
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.50%E -3.48%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:20
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -2.93%E -0.697%K -0.914%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:20
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 21:24
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -12.17%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 21:20
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -8.70%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 21:00
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 20:50
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 20:45
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.60%EV -5.50%E -3.48%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -7.80%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 21:20
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.50%E -3.48%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -7.80%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.70%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 21:00
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.50%E -3.48%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -7.80%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.70%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 21:05
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -7.80%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -7.80%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 21:10
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 58.55%EV -0.711%E -0.429%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 18.20%EV -8.82%E -1.65%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.25%EV -3.39%E -0.811%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-17 21:25
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -10.36%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 21:00
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -10.36%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 21:20
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.23%EV -9.68%E -6.41%K -18.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.54%EV -12.92%E -2.53%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -11.02%E -2.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 21:19
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -7.89%E -5.12%K -14.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 21:20
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.17%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 21:25
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.17%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 21:20
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.17%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 21:25
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.17%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 21:20
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -12.17%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:05
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.17%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-17 21:20
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.17%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-17 21:20
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 58.65%EV -11.48%E -7.76%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.90%EV -17.19%E -3.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.46%EV -14.48%E -3.91%K -5.36%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-17 21:19
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.52%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.68%EV -19.75%E -4.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.80%EV -11.02%E -2.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-17 21:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.37%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60%0.6%2026-05-17 21:20
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 61.52%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%1.0%2026-05-17 21:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.52%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%1.0%2026-05-17 21:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.52%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%1.0%2026-05-17 21:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.52%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%1.0%2026-05-17 21:15
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.13%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.53%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.34%2.9%2026-05-17 21:25