La escuela de los momios

Bragantino-SP v Vitoria

Inicio: 2026-05-17 21:30 UTC

Final: Bragantino-SP 2–0 Vitoria

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bragantino-SP (Local)

Predicción 59.81%1.67momio equitativo
EV -0.711%
Ventaja -0.429%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.90%59.78%59.81%61.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.461.551.551.6668.49%64.68%64.52%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Vitoria (Visitante)

Predicción 17.07%5.86momio equitativo
EV +9.28%
Ventaja +1.45%
Kelly +1.72%
Crecimiento +0.159%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.04%17.00%17.11%18.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.705.615.506.4021.28%17.82%18.18%15.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.11%4.33momio equitativo
EV -2.93%
Ventaja -0.697%
Kelly -0.914%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.31%23.21%23.08%24.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.014.004.2027.03%24.93%24.97%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.76%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.15%EV +9.28%E +1.45%K +1.72%G +0.159%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%EV -2.93%E -0.697%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 21:05
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.76%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.15%EV +9.28%E +1.45%K +1.72%G +0.159%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%EV -2.93%E -0.697%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 21:05
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV +6.72%E +1.07%K +1.28%G +0.086%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 21:05
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV +6.72%E +1.07%K +1.28%G +0.086%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 21:05
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV +6.72%E +1.07%K +1.28%G +0.086%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 21:05
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV +6.72%E +1.07%K +1.28%G +0.086%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 21:05
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV +6.72%E +1.07%K +1.28%G +0.086%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 21:05
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV +6.72%E +1.07%K +1.28%G +0.086%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 21:05
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -9.68%E -6.41%K -18.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.23%EV +4.16%E +0.681%K +0.815%G +0.034%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.69%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV +4.16%E +0.681%K +0.815%G +0.034%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 21:05
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.13%EV -6.69%E -4.29%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.89%EV +2.45%E +0.408%K +0.490%G +0.012%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.98%EV -4.08%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 21:20
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.13%EV -6.69%E -4.29%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.89%EV +2.45%E +0.408%K +0.490%G +0.012%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.98%EV -4.08%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 21:20
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 61.13%EV -6.69%E -4.29%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.89%EV +2.45%E +0.408%K +0.490%G +0.012%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.98%EV -4.08%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 21:20
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 61.13%EV -6.69%E -4.29%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.89%EV +2.45%E +0.408%K +0.490%G +0.012%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.98%EV -4.08%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 21:20
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.36%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV +2.45%E +0.408%K +0.490%G +0.012%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.70%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 21:05
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.49%EV -11.48%E -7.76%K -23.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV +2.45%E +0.408%K +0.490%G +0.012%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 20:50
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.82%EV -12.67%E -8.68%K -27.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV +2.45%E +0.408%K +0.490%G +0.012%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:05
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.82%EV -12.67%E -8.68%K -27.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV +2.45%E +0.408%K +0.490%G +0.012%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:05
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 60.71%EV -4.90%E -3.08%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.20%EV +1.77%E +0.296%K +0.356%G +0.006%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.09%EV -3.39%E -0.811%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 21:20
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.09%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -0.966%E -0.167%K -0.201%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 21:20
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -0.966%E -0.167%K -0.201%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 20:50
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.57%EV -5.50%E -3.48%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -1.82%E -0.316%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.93%E -0.697%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 20:55
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 60.37%EV -6.69%E -4.29%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -1.82%E -0.316%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.25%EV -6.39%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 21:15
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -1.82%E -0.316%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 21:00
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 59.29%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.20%EV -4.38%E -0.782%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -14.48%E -3.91%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 21:25
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.17%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.80%EV -5.23%E -0.943%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -6.39%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 21:00
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 60.01%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.54I 18.05%NM 16.79%EV -5.41%E -0.976%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.20%EV -7.32%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 21:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -2.93%E -0.697%K -0.914%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 21:10
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -2.93%E -0.697%K -0.914%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 21:10
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -2.93%E -0.697%K -0.914%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 21:10
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 21:25
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 21:20
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.50%E -3.48%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:20
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -2.93%E -0.697%K -0.914%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:20
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 21:24
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -12.17%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 21:20
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -8.70%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 21:00
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 20:50
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 20:45
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.60%EV -5.50%E -3.48%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -7.80%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 21:20
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.50%E -3.48%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -7.80%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.70%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 21:00
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.50%E -3.48%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -7.80%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.70%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 21:05
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -7.80%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -7.80%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 21:10
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 58.55%EV -0.711%E -0.429%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 18.20%EV -8.82%E -1.65%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.25%EV -3.39%E -0.811%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-17 21:25
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -10.36%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 21:00
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -10.36%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 21:20
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.23%EV -9.68%E -6.41%K -18.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.54%EV -12.92%E -2.53%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -11.02%E -2.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 21:19
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -7.89%E -5.12%K -14.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 21:20
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.17%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 21:25
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.17%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 21:20
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.17%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 21:25
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.17%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 21:20
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -12.17%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:05
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.17%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-17 21:20
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.17%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-17 21:20
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 58.65%EV -11.48%E -7.76%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.90%EV -17.19%E -3.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.46%EV -14.48%E -3.91%K -5.36%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-17 21:19
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.52%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.68%EV -19.75%E -4.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.80%EV -11.02%E -2.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-17 21:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.37%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60%0.6%2026-05-17 21:20
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 61.52%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%1.0%2026-05-17 21:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.52%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%1.0%2026-05-17 21:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.52%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%1.0%2026-05-17 21:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.52%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%1.0%2026-05-17 21:15
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.13%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.53%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.34%2.9%2026-05-17 21:25