L’École des cotes

Bragantino-SP v Palmeiras

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 21:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bragantino-SP (Local)

Prévision 30.41%3.29cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -0.648%
Kelly -0.940%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.28%30.45%30.44%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.023.003.2235.71%33.08%33.33%31.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Palmeiras (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.03%2.44cote équitable
EV -0.306%
Avantage -0.126%
Kelly -0.214%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.86%40.94%40.96%41.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.282.282.4347.62%43.92%43.86%41.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.57%3.50cote équitable
EV -2.88%
Avantage -0.846%
Kelly -1.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.78%28.61%28.60%30.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.243.273.4035.71%30.86%30.53%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets3.22I 31.06%NM 29.28%EV -2.09%E -0.648%K -0.940%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.35%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.37%EV -8.30%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 00:10
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -2.70%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 02:20
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 30.11%EV -3.00%E -0.940%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.87%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.02%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 22:39
Pinnacle3.16I 31.65%NM 30.17%EV -3.91%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.38%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 15:50
Bovada3.12I 32.05%NM 30.18%EV -5.13%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.29%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 15:40
LowVig.ag3.11I 32.15%NM 30.64%EV -5.43%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.08%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.28%EV -3.73%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-20 14:54
BetOnline.ag3.11I 32.15%NM 30.64%EV -5.43%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.08%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.28%EV -3.73%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-20 14:54
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.37%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.02%EV -0.306%E -0.126%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%EV -2.88%E -0.846%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-23 13:40
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 31.37%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.02%EV -0.306%E -0.126%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%EV -2.88%E -0.846%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-23 13:40
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.88%E -0.846%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 04:34
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 09:54
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 07:10
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:24
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:24
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:24
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:24
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:04
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.92%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -8.02%E -2.49%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 22:34
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.74%EV -6.05%E -2.64%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.59%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 21:35
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 18:20
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 18:18
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 07:50
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.26%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 21:34
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.26%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 21:34
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.26%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 21:34
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.26%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 12:44
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 01:35
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 01:35
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 01:35
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 01:35
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 01:34
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 01:35
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 09:55
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 04:34
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 04:34
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 04:39
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 04:34
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 21:34
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 15:38
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 15:34
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 15:38
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 15:34
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 15:38
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -10.30%E -3.49%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 01:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -10.30%E -3.49%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.00%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 01:35
Betclic (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 30.05%EV -11.21%E -3.84%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 41.19%EV -12.61%E -5.92%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -12.87%E -4.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-21 18:12
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -11.82%E -4.07%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 00:25
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -11.82%E -4.07%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.59%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 21:35
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -11.82%E -4.07%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.26%EV -11.79%E -5.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 21:54
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -11.82%E -4.07%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.88%EV -11.79%E -5.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -12.87%E -4.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-21 18:15
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 31.61%EV -12.43%E -4.31%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.93%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -8.59%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 00:20
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.61%EV -12.43%E -4.31%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.93%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -8.59%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 00:25
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -12.43%E -4.31%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 21:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -12.43%E -4.31%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -13.84%E -6.59%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -20.02%E -7.15%K -11.12%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-20 10:04
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -13.34%E -4.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 01:34
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -13.34%E -4.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 01:35
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.76%EV -14.86%E -5.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.01%EV -13.84%E -6.59%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.24%EV -12.87%E -4.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-23 21:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-04-24 00:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%3.3%2026-04-23 21:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%3.3%2026-04-23 21:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.19%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.64%3.8%2026-04-24 00:29
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%4.1%2026-04-24 02:55
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%5.0%2026-04-23 21:59