La escuela de los momios

Bragantino-SP v Palmeiras

Inicio: 2026-04-26 21:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bragantino-SP (Local)

Predicción 30.41%3.29momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -0.648%
Kelly -0.940%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.28%30.45%30.44%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.023.003.2235.71%33.08%33.33%31.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Palmeiras (Visitante)

Predicción 41.03%2.44momio equitativo
EV -0.306%
Ventaja -0.126%
Kelly -0.214%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.86%40.94%40.96%41.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.282.282.4347.62%43.92%43.86%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.57%3.50momio equitativo
EV -2.88%
Ventaja -0.846%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.78%28.61%28.60%30.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.243.273.4035.71%30.86%30.53%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
GTbets3.22I 31.06%NM 29.28%EV -2.09%E -0.648%K -0.940%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.35%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.37%EV -8.30%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 00:10
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -2.70%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 02:20
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 30.11%EV -3.00%E -0.940%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.87%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.02%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 22:39
Pinnacle3.16I 31.65%NM 30.17%EV -3.91%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.38%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 15:50
Bovada3.12I 32.05%NM 30.18%EV -5.13%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.29%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 15:40
LowVig.ag3.11I 32.15%NM 30.64%EV -5.43%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.08%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.28%EV -3.73%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-20 14:54
BetOnline.ag3.11I 32.15%NM 30.64%EV -5.43%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.08%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.28%EV -3.73%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-20 14:54
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.37%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.02%EV -0.306%E -0.126%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%EV -2.88%E -0.846%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-23 13:40
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 31.37%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.02%EV -0.306%E -0.126%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%EV -2.88%E -0.846%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-23 13:40
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.88%E -0.846%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 04:34
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 09:54
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 07:10
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:24
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:24
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:24
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:24
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:04
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.92%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -8.02%E -2.49%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 22:34
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.74%EV -6.05%E -2.64%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.59%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 21:35
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 18:20
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 18:18
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 07:50
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.26%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 21:34
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.26%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 21:34
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.26%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 21:34
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.26%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 12:44
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 01:35
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 01:35
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 01:35
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 01:35
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 01:34
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 01:35
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 09:55
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 04:34
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 04:34
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 04:39
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 04:34
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 21:34
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 15:38
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 15:34
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 15:38
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 15:34
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 15:38
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -10.30%E -3.49%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 01:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -10.30%E -3.49%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.00%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 01:35
Betclic (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 30.05%EV -11.21%E -3.84%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 41.19%EV -12.61%E -5.92%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -12.87%E -4.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-21 18:12
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -11.82%E -4.07%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 00:25
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -11.82%E -4.07%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.59%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 21:35
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -11.82%E -4.07%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.26%EV -11.79%E -5.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 21:54
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -11.82%E -4.07%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.88%EV -11.79%E -5.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -12.87%E -4.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-21 18:15
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 31.61%EV -12.43%E -4.31%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.93%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -8.59%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 00:20
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.61%EV -12.43%E -4.31%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.93%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -8.59%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 00:25
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -12.43%E -4.31%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 21:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -12.43%E -4.31%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -13.84%E -6.59%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -20.02%E -7.15%K -11.12%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-20 10:04
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -13.34%E -4.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 01:34
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -13.34%E -4.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 01:35
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.76%EV -14.86%E -5.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.01%EV -13.84%E -6.59%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.24%EV -12.87%E -4.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-23 21:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-04-24 00:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%3.3%2026-04-23 21:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%3.3%2026-04-23 21:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.19%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.64%3.8%2026-04-24 00:29
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%4.1%2026-04-24 02:55
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%5.0%2026-04-23 21:59