Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bragantino-SP v Cruzeiro

2026-10-13 00:00 UTC — Brazil Série A

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bragantino-SP (Local)

Prediction 46.23%2.16fair odd
EV -4.30%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -4.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.23%46.23%46.23%47.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.931.992.002.0751.81%50.31%50.00%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cruzeiro (Visit)

Prediction 27.88%3.59fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.289%
Kelly -0.402%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.40%27.88%27.88%27.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.343.353.5530.77%29.98%29.85%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.89%3.86fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.427%
Kelly -0.579%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.55%25.89%25.89%25.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.613.653.8028.57%27.72%27.40%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Bragantino-SP (Local): 46.23%; Cruzeiro (Visit): 27.88%; Draw: 25.89%. For Cruzeiro (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.59. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.55, with an expected value of -1.02%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.00%EV -4.30%E -2.08%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%EV -1.02%E -0.289%K -0.402%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.60%EV -1.62%E -0.427%K -0.579%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-22 09:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.00%EV -4.30%E -2.08%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%EV -1.02%E -0.289%K -0.402%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.60%EV -1.62%E -0.427%K -0.579%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-22 09:14
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.60%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-22 09:14
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.60%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-22 09:13
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.60%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-22 09:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.60%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-22 09:14
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.60%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-22 09:14
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.60%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-22 09:13
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.23%EV -9.39%E -4.79%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-22 09:13
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.23%EV -9.39%E -4.79%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-22 09:14
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.23%EV -9.39%E -4.79%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-22 09:14
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.85%E -5.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-22 09:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -10.78%E -5.58%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-22 09:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -10.78%E -5.58%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-22 09:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.